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Friday's Australian horse racing bet of the day - 16/1 chance can surprise at Moonee Valley

  • Way over the odds.
  • Trainer has good record when travelling.
  • Confidence rating: win 75% place 90%

Murray Bridge-based trainer Michael Hickmott has one runner engaged at Moonee Valley on Friday night and certainly isn’t making the long 10-hour float trip for fun. 


His exciting three-year-old filly, Cayman Dayze, was very disappointing when dropping out to finish four lengths from Posh Journey last start, but there were excuses and she is much better than the run suggested.

She showed good early speed and took up the running over the 1050m trip, but when it came to the business end of the race, she weakened in the last 200m to finish 5th.

A tongue tie goes on for the first time at Moonee Valley so the stable must think she choked down, while some minor lacerations on her near hind leg certainly wouldn’t have helped.

She’ll strip much fitter for her second-up run, and the slight drop back in trip can only be to her advantage.

She jumps from barrier 5 after scratchings and should be able to sit outside Fica Gal in the lead unless Balayage and Brugal Reward try and push on from their wider gates which will give Cayman Dayze the perfect trail.

Regardless, she maps extremely well in the race, has the class to win, and gets a 3kg claim with apprentice Jack Martin taking the ride.

She graduated from a maiden win to a BM64 win during the Oakbank Carnival at her second-up run last campaign, and I’d be expecting more second-up improvement second-up this time after things didn’t go her way last start.

At 16/1 in a nine-horse field, Cayman Dayze represents great value.


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Friday's Australian horse racing bet of the day - 16/1 chance can surprise at Moonee Valley

Murray Bridge-based trainer Michael Hickmott has one runner engaged at Moonee Valley on Friday night and certainly isn’t making the long 10-hour float trip for fun.

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