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Tuesday's Australian horse racing bet of the day - Value in the 02.30 Wangaratta

  • Up-comer takes on moderate bunch.
  • Confidence rating: 88%

I’m expecting a big performance spike from the Lee and Anthony Freedman-trained One Man Grand when he lines up in Race 1, the Bi-Rite Home Appliances Wangaratta Maiden Plate (2000m) at Wangaratta on Tuesday.

His 11 rivals have failed to break through in 125 combined starts to date, and without a doubt, One Man Grand has more upside than the lot of them.

The son of O’Reily is out of the Zabeel mare Grand Echezeaux, and it’s pretty obvious he will improve with racing as the trips get longer.

He debuted over 1200m and finished nine lengths off the pace before being sent for a spell.

The Freedmans have since given him two trials over 990m and 1190m in preparation for this campaign, in which he resumed over 1850m at Kyneton.

He was the only runner to sweat up before the race, and when the gates opened, he was last to begin.

Jockey Alan Creighton settled at the rear but was unhappy with the speed and went from last to first from between the 1000m and 800m marks.

The eventual winner, French Snitzel, kicked up and held the rail which forced One Man Grand to work harder, and when it came to the business end of the race, his lack of fitness told, and he weakened to finish six lengths 4th.

He looks like the sort of horse that will take massive improvement from his first-up run, and considering he sweated up quite badly, missed the start and was ridden upside down last time, he should be capable of running a much better race on Tuesday.

Race favourite Ponbar Finale ($2.90) finished 2.6 lengths 4th over 1850m at Kyneton two starts back in a time of 1:56.94, while One Man Grand’s six-length 4th at the track and trip was in 1:56.54 (approximately three lengths quicker).

Ponbar Finale should have been peaking at his sixth run from a spell, while One Man Grand was first-up and has loads of fitness improvement to come.

At double the odds, One Man Grand looks a far better wagering proposition.

Princess Gaila looks like the danger but has only placed once in 11 starts.


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Tuesday's Australian horse racing bet of the day - Value in the 02.30 Wangaratta

I’m expecting a big performance spike from the Lee and Anthony Freedman-trained One Man Grand when he lines up in Race 1, the Bi-Rite Home Appliances Wangaratta Maiden Plate (2000m) at Wangaratta on Tuesday.

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