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2016 Caulfield Cup tips - Expert predictions from our Australian tipsters

  • Our tipsters make their Caulfield Cup verdicts
  • Read who they are backing
Who will win the Caulfield Cup?

Who will win the Caulfield Cup (2400m) on Saturday? Our Australian tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph in the Spring Carnival feature.

Jameka looks set to start a clear favourite to win the $3.15 million Group 1, but she faces a serious challenge from a host of internationals including the heavily-backed German gallopers Articus and Godolphin's Scottish.

Aaron Hamilton

Jameka won the Crown Oaks (2500m) at her fifth run from a spell, then did too much work when finishing 2nd to Tavago in the Australian Derby (2400m) at her fifth run during the autumn. It took a rampant Hartnell to defeat her in the Turnbull Stakes (2000m) last start and she comes into the Caulfield Cup at her fifth run this preparation and is ready to peak. Clearly the one they all have to beat.

SELECTION - JAMEKA (11/4, bet365)

Ric Chapman

Trainer Darren Weir needs to be complimented for such a meticulous program getting Real Love ready for this. He has brought this mare on so well and timed her assault on this race so perfectly it looks like a perfect storm. She can stay all day and has a sprint that is electrifying when produced at the right time. She carried 58kg to an effortless win at Group 3 level over 2000m last start. She's a 6YO mare now - and she's by Desert King. The last time a 6YO mare by Desert King raced at Group 1 level in Victoria was Makybe Diva in winning the Melbourne Cup. Respect her.

SELECTION - REAL LOVE (6/1, bet365)

Adam Cusworth

I am going with Jameka in the big one. The Ciaron Maher-trained galloper has barely put a foot wrong her entire career and there was plenty to like about her last start performance that saw her finish 2nd behind the flying Hartnell in the Turnbull Stakes (2000m). That race has provided four of the past seven winners of the Caulfield Cup and while there are a number of solid international contenders, there are too many variables to confidently tip any of them. The daughter of Myboycharlie ticks a number of boxes. She has won over the distance and is a last start winner at the track, defeating a handy lot at Group 3 level in the Naturalism Stakes. She drops in weight from her recent runs and with an ounce of luck from Barrier 13, she looks to be the one. 

SELECTION - JAMEKA (11/4, bet365)

Steve Bennett

Weight is the key here, and the Darren Weir trained Real Love is weighted as the one to beat in this year’s Caulfield Cup. Her form this year has been outstanding with wins in the JRA Cup (2000m) and Premier’s Cup (2200m) at Doomben in the winter. This campaign she finished third in the Group 2 Dato’ Tan Chin Nam over 1600m at The Valley and her last start has got her set for this year’s Cup where she won the Group 3 JRA Cup at The Valley by three lengths. Statistics show Real Love has not carried less than 57kgs in her last four starts. She comes into the Caulfield Cup with Craig Williams aboard and a postage stamp to carry, with just 52.5kgs. She has the runs on the board which include finishing third in the Perth Cup (2400m) behind Delicacy and 3rd in the Adelaide Cup (3200m) carrying 55.5kgs. If she can get the jump on Jameka around the turn (who meets her at equal weights), she will be very hard to beat. 

SELECTION - REAL LOVE (6/1, bet365)

Trent Orwin

The Charlie Appleby-trained five-year-old gelding Scottish has been extremely consistent with two victories and two placings this preparation. He defeated Trip To Paris by 3.25 lengths in the Steventon Stakes and that horse was runner up in this race last year. Has previously beaten Exospheric and Mutakayyef in the Doonside Cup; Mutakayyef was 2.25 lengths off Postponed in the Juddmonte International Stakes, beating home Sir Isaac Newton and Exospheric. Should map well from barrier seven.

SELECTION - SCOTTISH (13/2, bet365)

Gary Emmerson

I can't go past Jameka. She doesn't represent great value in a race like the Caulfield Cup, but in truth this is not a strong renewal of the Group 1. If Hartnell was lining up, he'd be half the price at least of Jameka and her run behind him in the Turnbull Stakes is the best piece of form. She won the Crown Oaks last spring and can add another Group 1 win to her name with Sir Isaac Newton likely to be the biggest threat for mine. 

SELECTION - JAMEKA (11/4, bet365)

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2016 Caulfield Cup tips - Expert predictions from our Australian tipsters

Who will win the Caulfield Cup (2400m) on Saturday? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph in the Spring Carnival feature.

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