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Australian racing tips - 11/1 chance will be hard to hold out at Stawell

  • Should get the run of the race from gate 3.
  • Heavy track suits.
  • Confidence rating: 82%

The ultra-consistent Fine Embers has placed in seven of his past eight starts and looks over the odds in Race 9, the Stawell Windows and Glass BM64 Handicap (2000m) at Stawell on Tuesday (6.30am).

6.30am Stawell selection - FINE EMBERS (11/1, bet365)

Trained by Dan O'sullivan, the six-year-old son of Mount Nelson has been in sensational form of late with his only unplaced run in eight recent starts being in a BM78 on a Good track.

He has racked up three wins from 15 starts on Good tracks but with two wins and three placings from six starts on Heavy going, he looks better placed on Heavy tracks.

Stawell is rated a Heavy 9 for Tuesday, and from barrier 3, Fine Embers will get his chance in what looks a very open race.

He didn’t have much luck last start at Moonee Valley, and after getting squeezed up at the start and having to settle back further than he would have liked, he didn’t get clear until late when the race was all over.

Knight Star turned him sideways as he was trying to get clear, and although Knight Star and Thunder Connection had skipped clear, Fine Embers started to make ground on them in the last 100m.

There doesn’t appear to be a great deal of early speed in Tuesday’s event, and if jockey Jessica Payne can settle Fine Embers just forward of midfield on the outside, he’ll wind up strongly and figure in the finish.

Baja Moon and Volatile Mix come into the race with winning form and can run well, but having drawn barriers 16 and 18 respectively, they will need some luck while Fine Embers enjoys the run of the race.

He’ll have to carry top weight of 61kg too, but considering he has won in this grade with 59kg and has recently finished 2nd in a High Weight race with 70kg, I’m not deterred by his weight.

This is an even race with many, many chances, but value is key and when you see a very consistent type that has drawn perfectly and is at each-way odds, it’s hard to go past them.

Each-way is the way to go.

Selection - FINE EMBERS (11/1, bet365)


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Australian racing tips - 11/1 chance will be hard to hold out at Stawell

The ultra-consistent Fine Embers has placed in seven of his past eight starts and looks over the odds in Race 9, the Stawell Windows and Glass BM64 Handicap (2000m) at Stawell on Tuesday.

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