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2019 Fillies’ Mile tips – 3/1 shot to spice up Classic picture in Newmarket’s Friday feature

Iridessa (centre) beating Hermosa (centre) in last year's Fillies' Mile.

Our expert takes a look through the betting for Friday’s Group One highlight at Newmarket to provides readers with his tips.


Day one of Newmarket’s Future Champions Festival is stacked with pattern races, but the most important of all is the headline act of the afternoon, the Fillies’ Mile. This Group One has been claimed by greats like Height Of Fashion, Soviet Song and Oh So Sharp in it’s 45-year history and many of the fillies who'll take part in Friday’s renewal will return to the Rowley Mile in May to take their chance in the 1000 Guineas.

Topping the betting for both the Fillies’ Mile and next season’s Classic is Quadrilateral (9/4 Betfred), who was supplemented into Friday’s feature by trainer Roger Charlton. This beautifully bred daughter of Frankel is two-from-two this season, having followed a narrow debut victory with an excellent performance at Newbury in September, where the Khalid Abdullah-owned filly surged clear of her rivals to secure a nine-length triumph.

Yes, that performance was impressive, but I don’t think it was a run worthy of such a short price in the betting for a Group One as competitive as this. Roger Charlton clearly has an exciting sort on his hands. Yet, you would hardly say Frankel is a producer of precocious two-year-olds and leaping from a maiden to a Group One is a giant step. I’ll definitely be swerving Quadrilateral on Friday.

Two Irish fillies are lined up for a crack at the market leader, with Cayenne Pepper (3/1 Betfred) and Love (7/2 Unibet) sitting on similar prices. Jessica Harrington has been having a fantastic time of things with her juvenile fillies this term and she earmarked the Fillies’ Mile for Cayenne Pepper straight after watching her youngster win the Group Three Flame Of Tara Stakes at the Curragh.

Aidan O’Brien was quite vocal with his admiration for Love earlier in the campaign, so it was quite a surprise to see his filly beaten so convincingly in the Debutante Stakes. Love left that performance behind on Irish Champions Weekend, where she powered home to defeat Daahyeh in the Moyglare Stud Stakes and the form of that race was boosted when the runner-up came out and won the Shadwell Rockfel Stakes last month.

Like Quadrilateral, Powerful Breeze (6/1 bet365) had to be supplemented into Friday’s renewal and Hugo Palmer’s filly is sure to garner plenty of support. Power Breeze built on an impressive maiden triumph at Doncaster, where James Doyle’s mount pulled clear after sitting on the pace to win the Park Stakes by a comfortable margin.
Winners of that Group Two have an excellent recent record in the Fillies’ Mile, so it’s certainly a sensible move to give Powerful Breeze an opportunity at Newmarket. Whether this daughter of Iffraaz will handle the soft ground the runners are likely to face on Friday seems quite unlikely.

Neither of the Irish fillies at the head of the betting have faced soft ground before but, being by Galileo and Australia respectively, I can’t see the going being an issue for either. Aidan O’Brien clearly feels there’s more to come from Love and you’d be surprised if she didn’t continue to improve. However, I would rather stick with Harrington while her juveniles are is in such good heart and I’m expecting CAYENNE PEPPER to announce her Classic aspirations on Friday.

In a bid to keep her top stars apart, Harrington had to do some serious planning heading into the autumn campaign. Albigna may have disappointed in the Moyglare, where she was well-beaten as the favourite. However, Millisle and Alpine Star have both claimed Group One wins in the Middle Park and the Prix Marcel Boussac and now Cayenne Pepper will be given her time to shine in the Fillies’ Mile.

Cayenne Pepper was barely extended when winning the Flame Of Tara and the form of that Group Three looks quite strong strong. So Wonderful, who was beaten two-and-a-half-lengths that day, was only beaten a-length-and-a-half when third behind Love in the Moyglare and third-placed A New Dawn came within a neck of winning a Group Three of her own in the Weld Park Stakes on her following start.

Shane Foley, who has ridden all of Harrington’s top two-year-olds, is adamant Cayenne Pepper is the best of her bunch and he’ll take the ride on Friday. Australia’s progeny seem to do their best work on softer ground and Cayenne Pepper has already proven her staying ability when winning easily over a mile at the Curragh.

There are a few interesting horses entered running at bigger prices. However, John Gosden's Anastarsia (12/1 Unibet) would be sitting at a much shorter price if there was any confidence from the yard behind her and I'm not sure Boomer (12/1 Betfred) has much more progression left to come this season. At 3/1, Cayenne Pepper is the best value bet in this Friday's Fillies' Mile.

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2019 Fillies’ Mile tips – 3/1 shot to spice up Classic picture in Newmarket’s Friday feature

Our expert takes a look through the betting for Friday’s Group One highlight at Newmarket to provides readers with his tips on Friday 11th October

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