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grand national tips 2017

The Grand National is the world's most famous steeplechase and every year millions of people flock to their local bookies to place a bet on their leading fancies.

The four-mile war is the most daunting punting puzzle on the calendar and finding the winner for Saturday's race is almost as challenging as the National course itself.  Every year, horse racing fanatics spend hours on end ploughing through the form on offer trying to get an edge on the layers in the ante post market only to see their horse shirk away from the gruelling marathon and the unforgiving Aintree fences.

The bookmakers estimate that over £100 million will be gambled on the world’s most famous contest. 

aintree tips

Our expert takes a look at the field for the upcoming Grand National and picks out an outstanding candidate for punters to keep a close eye on next month at Aintree.

The Cheltenham Festival has been and gone, providing racing enthusiasts with its usual levels of entertainment and sporting drama. The next big Festival on National Hunt racing’s horizon is the Aintree Festival at the start of next month and when you talk about Aintree, there is one race at the forefront of everyone’s thought – the Grand National.

Last season, Rule The World produced a stunning display to keep The Last Samuri at bay and land the biggest prize pot jumps racing has to offer. The champion was sent into retirement after winning that prestigious prize, but Kim Bailey will send his gallant runner-up back to Aintree, as he looks to go one better than the finish he managed twelve months ago.

However, recent history won’t be on The Last Samuri’s side, as he looks to put his Aintree rivals to the sword. Silver Birch won the National on his second attempt back in 2007, but since then, only one winner of this mammoth handicap wasn’t a Grand National debutant and that was 100/1 shot, Mon Mome in 2009.

There are other noteworthy trends we can use to our advantage, as we painstakingly search for a potential winner in 2017.

All of the past ten winners had run at least 6 times over three mile trips, with only last year’s winner, Rule The World failing to record a win over three miles before winning the big one at Aintree. Eight of the last ten champions had previously appeared at the Cheltenham Festival and all of the last ten winners had been aged between eight and eleven.

Eight of the last ten victors had previously run at Aintree during their career, with four of those eight recording a victory in Merseyside before returning to win the National. Only 3 of the past 10 winners were rated below 142 – infact, Alvarado is the only horse in the past five years to have run his way into the places with a rating below that lofty mark.

Six of the past 10 winners had brought winning form with them to Aintree. Rule The World had finished second in the Irish Grand National, Auroras Encore finished fifth in the Betfred Classic at Warwick, Don’t Push it came home second in the BetVictor Handicap at Cheltenham and Neptune Collonges finished second in the Grand National Trial at Haydock – so bringing good seasonal form to Aintree is also very important.

Taking everything into account, there are several candidates you could argue have an excellent chance of landing this iconic prize, but there is one who makes a little more noise than any of the others.

For many purists, the highlight of the 2016 Cheltenham Festival was the celebrations of Nigel Twiston-Davies and his team when Blaklion won the RSA Chase. He and Shaneshill broke away from a chasing pack - which included fellow Grand National entrants, More Of That and Vyta Du Roc. Jumping the last, you expected Willie Mullins charge to get the better of Blaklion, but he couldn’t reel in the leader, who went on to land a maiden Grade 1 title on the biggest stage of them all.

Nigel Twiston-Davies’ charge followed up that Festival victory last year with a good performance in the Mildmay Novices’ Chase, when he came home third behind Native River. He has failed to land a victory so far this season, but the eight-year-old has finished fifth in the Hennessy Gold Cup, third in the Rowland Meyrick and a very close second in the Grand National Trial at Haydock. 

He was beaten by Definitly Red at Wetherby and by Vieux Lion Rouge on his last appearance, who are both listed ahead of him in the current Grand National betting. However, the former RSA champion was giving away a stack of weight to his victors on both those occasions, a gap which will be much narrower when they approach the line in the Grand National.

Blaklion is a proven performer of the highest calibre. He has only fallen once during his career, he’s won graded titles on all kinds of ground and has performed admirably in three big Grand National trials during the course of this season. He’s never been the biggest of horses and he doesn’t stand out in the paddock, but he has a tremendous amount of heart, tenacity and never knows when he is beaten – every ingredient you need to be a potential Grand National champion.

Aintree selection – BLAKLION 

GRAND NATIONAL TRENDS

No race captures the imagination of the general public year after year quite like the Grand National.
Run over a gruelling 4 miles and 514 yards, with 30 intimidating fences to jump, it provides a spectacle like no other, with around 40 runners each year bidding for glory. The date of the first ever Grand National is widely debated, but generally accepted as being 1839, when it was won by the aptly named ‘Lottery’. 

Part of the appeal of the National is the seemingly never-ending supply of fairy stories regarding winners of the race. One of the most famous winners was Bob Champion in 1981, when he rode Aldaniti to victory. Two years previous to the win, Champion was diagnosed with testicular cancer, and given just months to live by his doctors. He defied them to be passed fit to ride Aldaniti (a horse that had suffered chronic leg problems through his career), and the pair went on to a victory that would later be immortalised in the film ‘Champions’ starring John Hunt.

There have been many 100/1 winners of the National down through the years, including Tipperary Tim in 1928, who won the National when every single one of his 41 rivals fell during the race. In 1967 Foinavon took advantage of a pile up at the 23rd fence to win at 100/1 (he was over 100 yards behind when the pile up occurred, but the distance allowed him to anticipate the trouble ahead and steer clear of it).


Red Rum is the most famous horse in the history of the National. Trained by Ginger McCain, he won the race an incredible three times (in 1973, 1974 and 1977), and finished second in the two years between (1975 and 1976). In more recent times, Ginger McCain’s son Donald won the race with Ballabriggs in 2011.

Another major component of the races appeal are the obstacles the horses cross during the race. The thirty fences are unique to the Aintree course, made of spruce instead of the birch found at all other racecourses. Many of the fences have names, and no two fences are identical on the course. Becher’s Brook is jumped twice during the Grand National, and stands at five feet on the take-off side of the fence. The landing side is notorious, as there is a drop of between six and ten inches more there. Modifications to the fence through the years have seen the fence made easier for the horses to jump, with the brook being filled in, and the drop being reduced by five inches on the landing side.

The Chair is the tallest fence on the course, at five feet six inches. The landing side is actually higher than the take-off side, and the fence is so called because a judge used to sit at this fence during the early days of the race. Ironically, Foinavon’s fence (where the big pile up occurred in 1967) is one of the smallest on the course, standing at just four feet six inches.

The course record for the National is held by Mr Frisk, who took just 8 minutes and 47 seconds to complete in 1990. Given the unbelievable spectacle that the field of 40 horses create charging down to the first fence, many are surprised to find out that an incredible 66 horses took part in the 1929 running.
Stamina is the number one requirement when looking for a National winner, as the trip is longer than the vast majority of races held throughout the jumps season. Solid jumping is also a must, and with such a big field, luck in running also plays a big part. The last mare to win the race was Nickel Coin in 1951. In recent times, the trends have changed regarding weights in the National. Historically, light weight was deemed essential for a winner, but the trend towards a classier type of animal competing means that winners since the turn of the millennium have carried weights in excess of 11 stone (including Many Clouds who shouldered 11st 9lbs).  

An estimated 600 million people tune in to watch the Grand National in over 140 countries, as the horses chase a prize fund of £1,000,000. Year after year, the Grand National is the favourite race for the ‘once a year’ punters, and the betting turnover is huge. The race becomes stronger and stronger every year, and there are few that racing fans anticipate more eagerly each season.

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