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2019 Preis Von Baden tips – 7/2 shot can bring Group One trophy back to Britain

A view of the finish in last year's thrilling renewal of the Preis von Baden.

Our expert takes a look through the betting for this year’s Preis Von Baden and provides readers with his tips for Baden Baden on Sunday 1st September.

Flat racing fans will look to Germany for their fix of Group One action today, with a classy field set to line up in the Preis Von Baden. This mile-and-a-half contest has been won by some of Germany’s biggest and horses, with the names of Lando, Tiger Hill and Danedream standing out on the illustrious roll of honour.

With two British horses and a German Classic winner sitting at the head of the betting, punters across Europe will be taking a keen interest in the outcome of this Sunday’s Preis Von Baden. Our expert has taken a look through the betting and provided readers with his tips.

4:10pm Baden-Baden 147th Longines Grosser Preis von Baden (Group 1) 1m4f

Ghaiyyath has been pushed to the head of the betting for this Group One, but I’m keen to take Charlie Appleby’s charge on. When last seen, the Prix d’Harcourt winner was comfortably seen off by Waldgeist in the Prix Ganay, despite carrying a very short price into battle. Several dates on British soil have been cancelled since then, indicating Appleby has had trouble keeping his four-year-old fit. 

Ghaiyyath will need to be at the peak of his powers if he wants to triumph on his first start over a mile-and-a-half and, with doubts next to both his fitness and stamina, I feel the two just behind him in the betting may have the favourite’s number.

Despite the fact only one three-year-old has won this race in the last ten years, Andreas Wohler will be hopeful German Derby winner, Laccario can hand him a second victory in this famous race. On the back of an effortless victory in a Group Two, Laccario sealed a four-timer at Hamburg, staying strong down the inside rail to fend off Django Freeman and prove he’s the best three-year-old Germany has to offer.

Laccario has winning form and a weight-for-age allowance on his side. Yet, there were still signs of immaturity during that Derby win. Eduardo Pedroza’s mount didn’t take kindly to the whip, drifting around a little at the front just when his rider asked him to lengthen over the final 300 yards. That inexperience could be his downfall as he tackles a battle-hardened campaigner like COMMUNIQUE (7/2 William Hill), and I think Mark Johnston’s colt will be very hard to pass at the head of the field.

After a progressive three-year-old campaign, Communique proved he was still on the upgrade at Newmarket in May. Silvestre De Sousa’s mount  went off as a 12/1 outsider, but the champion jockey judged his fractions perfectly down the Rowley Mile and Communique held off some capable rivals to win the Group Two Jockey Club Stakes. 
At the time, some suggested that was a fairly lucky victory, considering some of his rivals under-performed. However, both Defoe and Coronet – who finished second and fourth at Newmarket – have both won Group Ones since and Communique silenced any remaining doubters in the Tattersalls Stakes, by carrying a penalty to victory over Mirage Dancer and Desert Encounter.

A maiden voyage to Germany followed last month, as Communique took his chance in the Preis von Berlin. A wide draw meant Joe Fanning had to work hard to grasp control of the race at the front end and those early efforts came back to haunt Communique, as French King came from off the pace to snatch Group One glory.

Despite finishing second, Johnston can be very proud of Communique’s performance. Half-way down the home straight, it looked like the pacesetter was going to fade, but Fanning’s mount picked up again in the closing stages to keep Old Persian – himself a Group One winner – behind him in third.

Communique is drawn much better this time around, having been placed in stall four and Fanning won’t have to tred a wide berth early on to guide his mount to the front. The left-handed track here at Baden-Baden is similar to both Newbury and the July Course, tracks Communique has shown a great liking for during his career, so there seems to be plenty going in Johnston's charge's favour.

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2019 Preis Von Baden tips – 7/2 shot can bring Group One trophy back to Britain

Our expert takes a look through the betting for this year’s Preis Von Baden and provides readers with his tips for Baden Baden on Sunday 1st September.

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