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2019 Royal Ascot day four tips – Tips for every race on Coronation Stakes day

Ten Sovereigns (left) and Jash (right) will clash once again in this year's Commonwealth Cup.

Our expert takes a look through the ante-post betting for the feature races on day three at Royal Ascot and provides readers with his tips for Friday 21st June

Attendees on day four at Royal Ascot will be in for a real treat, with the Commonwealth Cup and the Coronation Stakes headlining a thrilling afternoon of flat racing. Before we reach that Group One double-header, there’s a fascinating renewal of the King Edward VII Stakes to take in, with several of the beaten horses in this year’s Derby set to clash once again.

Our expert has taken a look through the ante-post betting for every race on day four at Royal Ascot and provided readers with his ante-post tips.

2019 Royal Ascot Day Four Tips

2:30pm Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) 6f

Heading into Royal Ascot, Wesley Ward sung the praises of Nayibeth, claiming she was the most impressive of his talented rank of juveniles. It’s no surprise to see Nayibeth top the betting for the Albany and stepping up to six furlongs should suit. Only five favourites have prospered in the short history of this race, however, so it’s worth looking down the market to find some value.

Charlie Appleby boasts an excellent record with two-year-olds this term and Silent Wave looks to be the best of his bunch. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Just Wonderful break her maiden tag in the Albany, but the one I really want to back is Roger Varian’s DAAHYEH (7/1 Totesport).

David Egan guided Daahyeh into a very competitive looking maiden on the Rowley Mile last month, where she entered the stalls as the 3/1 joint-favourite. Egan held his mount up in the middle of the pack for much of the race, striking just as the leaders came out of the dip before asserting in the final furlong to secure a near-two length victory.

The runner-up that day was Raffle Prize, who boosted the form significantly by winning the Queen Mary Stakes here on Wednesday. Varian has a 50% strike record with his two-year-olds this term and, if Daahyeh has come on between runs, she has the ability to challenge for this Group Three.

Another horse I will be watching carefully, along with Aidan O'Brien's Just Wonderful, is Kevin Ryan's GALADRIEL. Ryan pitched his filly into the big two-year-old race at York on her stable debut and it looked a step too far, as the debutante fell out of the blocks. Yet, Galadriel flew home in the closing stages, going from last to fourth in the final furlong and the step up to six furlongs looks a wise choice.

Main Bet – DAAHYEH (7/1 Totesport)
Next Best – GALADRIEL e/w (20/1 Coral)

3:05pm King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) 1m4f

Private Secretary skipped the Derby to prepare for Royal Ascot and John Gosden’s colt was much better value for his Cocked Hat Stakes victory than the winning margin suggests. He’s sure to garner support, but the fact that Aidan O’Brien has been so dominant with his Derby colts this season – saddling six of the first eight passed the post at Epsom – I think it would be foolish not to back one of his runners and it looks like JAPAN (5/4 Coral) will be his main arrow in this yea'rs renewal

O’Brien expected Japan to take a big step forward after disappointing on his reappearance in the Derby. Wayne Lordan tracked Broome’s move through around the outside of the pack and, with a late charge reminiscent of that his former stablemate Wings Of Eagles produced in the Derby two years previous, almost snatched Derby glory from right under Anthony Van Dyck’s nose.

My first thought after the Derby was that Japan looks the ideal type for the St Leger. Before that inevitable step up in trip, a visit to Royal Ascot seems in order and it will take a fine performance to deny Japan victory.

Sadly, there may only be two paid places available behind the favourite, with only eight runners currently sitting in the betting. Despite that, I still think EAGLES BY DAY is overpriced.

Michael Bell’s colt entered the Lingfield Derby Trial on the back of a powerful maiden triumph at Salisbury, where he sauntered to a seven length triumph over a subsequent winner. Danny Tudhope looked to be minding his mount for much of the race at Lingfield, but was perfectly positioned to track Anthony Van Dyck’s winning move, only to find very little in the final two furlongs

Eagles By Day travelled comfortably for much of the race and just looked to be bogged down by the soft going in the closing stages. I expect this son of Sea The Stars will take a big step forward for that educational run and conditions at Ascot should be much more suitable. I think he’s worthy of a small wager at 25/1.

Main Bet – JAPAN (5/4 Coral)
Next Best – EAGLES BY DAY e/w (25/1 Totesport)

3:40pm Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) 6f

I always thought last season that Ten Sovereigns was a speed merchant, so it’s no surprise to see Aidan O’Brien drop his colt back down in trip after a decent fifth in the Guineas. O’Brien’s colt jumped to the head of the betting after my initial fancy, Calyx was beaten and then ruled out of Ascot. Ten Sovereigns could be the class act in this surprisingly small field, but at such a short price in a race as unpredictable as this, I'm keen to take the favourite on.

Eqtidaar carried Hamdan Al Maktoum’s colours to a surprise victory in this race 12 months ago and the superstar owner will have high hopes of winning the Commonwealth Cup again. Jash is a horse I really like, but I fear the soft ground has gone against him. Khaadem is another talented young sprinter, but he's yet to be tested at anything like this level and could wilt under the Royal spotlight.

One who would surely relish the testing conditions is HELLO YOUMZAIN (5/1 Totesport). Yes, Calyx was clearly amiss when Kevin Ryan's colt beat him in the Sandy Lane Stakes. Yet, a fully-fit Calyx would have been hard-pushed to deny Hello Youmzain that day and he can give the favourite a real headache.

Ryan's youngster ran on nothing but good-to-soft or soft ground as a juvenile, travelling to France to land the Group Two Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte in excellent fashion. Hello Youmzain was bumped up to seven furlongs on his first start of the campaign, in the hope he might turn into a sturdy miler, but after failing to see out the trip Ryan wisely decided to fall back to sprinting distances.

Beating a horse of the quality of Calyx would surely have earned an Aidan O'Brien horse, or even John Gosden contender quotes of 2/1 or 5/2. As it is, Hello Youmzain remains a 5/1 chance in this year's Commonwealth Cup and conditions remain totally in his favour.

Main Bet – HELLO YOUMZAIN (5/1 Totesport)
Next Best – JASH (5/1 Totesport)

4:20pm (Rnd) Coronation Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) 1m

Jubiloso looked a cut above her rivals when winning at Newbury and looks a Grouped winner in the making. Fellow unbeaten filly, Dream Castle travels to England for the first time on the back of a solid victory in the French Guineas and she has to be respected. Both, however, have never experienced a race like this before and will likely be playing catch-up to this season’s outstanding three-year-old.

The Prix de Diane had been talked about as HERMOSA’S (5/4 Totesport) next stop this summer. Yet, it was pointless for Aidan O’Brien to step his dual-Guineas heroine up in trip for the French Oaks, when there are plenty of big prizes to be won over a mile during the summer. 

Those who thought Hermosa’s make-all victory at Newmarket was a fluke were proven wrong at the Curragh, as Ryan Moore’s mount made use of those front-running tactics again to hand her fellow fillies a sound thrashing. Hermosa has been the outstanding filly in this year’s Classic crop so far and I don’t think there’s a surprise contender who will come out of the woodwork to lower the favourite’s colours. 

Switching from straight miles to a round track will be no problem at all and the dual-Guineas winner has good form on all kinds of ground. I expect Hermosa will follow in the footsteps of Winter and Alpha Centauri and dominate the Group Ones over a mile this term. Anything above evens looks decent value.

Main Bet – HERMOSA (5/4 Totesport)
Next Best – PRETTY POLLYANNA e/w (10/1 Coral)

Hermosa powers home to win the first of her two Classic's at Newmarket.

5:00pm (Str) Sandringham Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies) 1m

John Gosden and Frankie Dettori teamed up to win this race with Persuasive a couple of years ago and NONCHALANCE (7/1 Coral) looks set to run a big race for flat racing’s power couple. After finishing fourth on her debut, this daughter of Dubawi is two-from-two on turf, clocking an RPR of 92 when winning a competitive maiden under Dettori last month.

Nonchalance entered the stalls at Newmarket as the odds-on favourite that day and Dettori’s mount rose to the challenge, sealing a comfortable victory over a couple of last-time-out winners. Stepping back up to a mile should certainly suit and her official rating of 91 looks rather generous.

Classy horses often come to the fore in the Sandringham, so I wouldn't put anyone off back Magnetic Charm at the top of the weights and she looks to have a solid chance of handicap her owner, The Queen a famous victory. Second in the ratings is CORAL BEACH (16/1 Totesport), who drops into handicap company after two runs in Group One company and she looks dangerously overpriced.

After ten unsuccessful efforts in maidens, a Listed race and a solitary handicap outing, it finally seemed like Aidan O'Brien had found a filly he wasn't able to extract gold out of. On her eleventh start, Coral Beach finally broke her duck. Two starts later, she was winning the Group Three Killavullan Stakes over seven furlongs at the Curragh.

O'Brien handed his filly a tough task on her reappearance, throwing her into the French 1000 Guineas. Coral Beach ran nicely on very testing ground that day, coming home strongly to finish fourth. Although she was unable to make an impact behind stablemate, Hermosa on her most recent run in the Irish Guineas, this represents a steep drop in quality and softer underfoot conditions won't cause her any bother. 16/1 looks an excellent each-way price.

Bet One – NONCHALANCE (7/1 Coral)
Bet Two – CORAL BEACH e/w (16/1 Totesport)

5:35pm Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) 1m4f

Last year’s King George V Stakes winner, Baghdad has only run twice since last year’s meeting, claiming victory over Corelli and Koeman on 1000 Guineas day at Newmarket. Being a former Festival winner, Baghdad has to be in with a chance. However, I fancy the handicap won by First Eleven may be the strong piece of form to go on and FUJAIRA PRINCE (7/1 Coral), who came out second best that day, is worth backing in Friday’s curtain closer.

Roger Varian’s charge was stepping up to a mile-and-a-half for the first time that day, having completed a hat-trick of ten-furlong triumphs on his handicap debut at Doncaster the previous month. First Eleven was my selection that day and I was pleased to see John Gosden’s colt get the win. It was hard, however, not to be impressed by Fujaira Prince’s display, as he pushed First Eleven all the way to the line.

Andrea Atzeni’s mount comfortably beat Corgi and Collide that day and I think a four-pound rise after losing out by just a neck to a classy horse like First Eleven isn’t particularly harsh. There’s clearly more to come from this talented, lightly-raced five-year-old. It might not be the most imaginative selection, but I think the current market leader could be very difficult to beat.

Main Bet – FUJAIRA PRINCE (7/1 Coral)
Next Best – BAGHDAD (7/1 Totesport)

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2019 Royal Ascot day four tips – Tips for every race on Coronation Stakes day

Our expert takes a look through the ante-post betting for every race on day four at Royal Ascot and provides readers with his tips for Friday 21st June

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