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2018 Royal Ascot placepot tips - Selections and permutation for day five of the Royal Meeting

Brian Healy 23 Jun 2018
The view from Royal Ascot.

Brian Healy gives his selections and permutation to land a share of the Saturday's Royal Ascot Placepot.

We again came up short in our attempt to land a share of Friday’s Royal Ascot placepot which paid £403.30 to £1 stakes; we have one more chance on Saturday to win a share of the day’s placepot pie, and with tough contests to predict with big fields going to post in the Windsor Castle Stakes and Wokingham Stakes, another big dividend could be paid out.

Leg 1 - 2:30 Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

(7) SAN DONATO shaped well on debut at Yarmouth last month, looking green under pressure behind a highly regarded sort. Although beaten four lengths, he was a similar distance in front of the third horse home, and he looked a useful prospect.

Roger Varian’s Lope De Vega colt ought to have learnt plenty for the experience, and sure to improve he can go well.

(9) BEYOND REASON found only the reopposing New Winds too strong when making a promising debut at Newmarket last month. Charlie Appleby’s charge has since stepped up on that peformance to score at Kempton earlier in June, and the Australia filly can build again on the experience to post another big effort.

She won impressively, posting a four lengths’ winning margin, and with the extra yardage sure to suit, she ought to be in the mix.

Leg 2 - 3:05 Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV 

(3)CRYSTAL OCEAN fills the banker slot of Saturday’s permuation, and while siding with favourites is generally shunned, Sir Michael Stoute’s charge looks hard to leave out, and the Sea The Stars colt is by far the safest option.
 
Last season’s St Leger runner-up, he has won both starts this term with successes at Sandown and Newbury respectively, posting a wide-margin six lengths victory over Second Step to land the Aston Park.

The yard boasts an excellent record in this contest, and in this small-field contest he can stamp his class on his rivals.

Ryan Moore riding Crystal Ocean win The Al Rayyan Stakes at Newbury.


Leg 3 - 3:40 Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV4

(5) JAMES WATT arrives in search of a hat-trick and will bid to preserve his unbeaten record in this competitive big field contest.

Michael Bell’s progressive Morpheus colt has won at Brighton and Windsor already this term, both under Hayley Turner who rides again, and the form of that first success has been franked with the runner-up and third both winning since.

He showed a good turn of foot to score last time at Windsor, where despite hanging right he had enough in reserve to repel Adam Tiler; this straight course will suit, and he ought to get a strong pace to aim at. 

While he does need to find a jolt of improvement on his bare form, he looks a progressive sort who could take the step up in class in his stride.

(15) MUTAWAFFER stepped up on a promising debut effort over course and distance behind Blown By Wind to score readily at Goodwood, and Charlie Hills’ charge can get competitive.

That success came over an additional furlong, but the drop to the minimum trip is unlikely to hinder given the likely strong pace, and the form of that Goodwood win is working out.

The yard has been quiet of late, but this could be a shot-in-the-arm for the stable, and no surprise to see him competitive if the low draw doesn’t prove an issue.

(26) CHAPELLI is 2-2 in her starts, and Mark Johnston’s Poet’s Voice filly can post a big effort in her bit to make it a hat-trick of wins.

A well-related sort, she has toughed out wins at Catterick and York, showing good speed each time; while she faces plenty of competition for the lead, she looks a tough sort who should benefit from this stiff track and another bold bid looks assured.

Leg 4 - 4:20 Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (4yo+) 6f ITV4

(12) THE TIN MAN bids to retain the crown he won twelve months ago, and James Fanshawe’s charge ought to be involved again in a high-class renewal of this contest.

The Equiano gelding often saves his best form for this track, over which he has won three times, and he warmed up for this contest with a straightforward success at Windsor last month.

Back at the scene of his biggest triumph, this is probably a stronger renewal of the race he won last year; but given his course record he ought to make his presence felt again under ideal conditions, while the likely strong pace will help the hold-up performer get a good tow into the contest.

Tom Queally riding The Tin Man to victory in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes on day five.


Leg 5 - 5:00 Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV4

(8) UNDRAFTED returns to the scene of his greatest triumph, having won the 2015 Diamond Jubilee Stakes, and Wesley Ward’s charge can’t be underestimated dropping into a handicap.

The Purim gelding has struggled to get his head in front since that Group One success, failing to defend his crown twelve months on having struck at Keeneland.

He has won again back there, beating Made Bail last April; but he has failed to add to his tally since sincs scoring at Churchill Downs back in November, and he was beaten at Belmont Park when last seen in April. That was over seven furlongs though, and he ought to appreciate the return to this trip.

He is thrown in on his old form, and while he arguably isn’t as good as he was, he has to be feared given his old exploits and there could be one more big win in him.

(10) GROWL was a three-time winner during the 2016 flat season, scoring at Nottingham and Windsor, and snapping a five-run losing streak when landing a Listed contest at Doncaster.

In between, the Oasis Dream gelding ran with credit in some hot handicaps where he made the frame in the Stewards’ Cup and Ayr Gold Cup, and he went close in Group One company over course and distance when finding only The Tin Man too strong in the Champion Sprint.

Things didn’t go to plan for the six-year old last term, and he was largely disappointing throughout the campaign with his best finish coming when crossing the line in fourth behind Lancelot Du Lac in the 2017 Stewards’ Cup.

However, he ought to strip fitter for a solid return effort at Chester last month when chasing home the rejuvenated Kachy, and the handicapper has given him a big chance. He’ll need things to drop right in this big field, but the likely strong pace will suit and he can post a big run.

(21) GEORGE BOWEN appreciated the return to faster ground when snapping a barren run at York in May where he ran out an easy six lengths winner.

Richard Fahey’s charge had a few of these in behind, and the Dark Angel gelding lost nothing in defeat under a penalty at Goodwood last month, going down only by a neck having been outbattled by his rival.

The pair had pulled clear of the third, and while his revised mark demands another jolt of improvement, he relishes fast ground and stays further than this trip so his stamina could prove an asset in what is usually a truly-run contest where there is no hiding place.

Leg 6- 5:35 Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5½f ITV4

(3) NEARLY CAUGHT doesn’t win often, but Hughie Morrison’s charge rarely runs a bad race and he has some smart form in the book which makes him of interest in this marathon closer.

The New Approach gelding won at Sandown last July, beating Montaly in the Coral Marathon after which he clashed with the likes of Marmelo, Vazirabad and Order Of St George without success.

He has shaped well on both outings this term, finishing fourth to Mount Moriah in the Further Flight Stakes, and then finishing first past the post in the Group Two Oleander-Rennen at Hoppegarten last month only to lose the race in the stewards’ room.

Last season’s Gold Cup ninth, this represents a drop in class from the races he usually contests, and he can give a good account.

(8) PALLASATOR returns to the flat having enjoyed a spell over hurdles for Gordon Elliott last term which saw the Motivator gelding win twice, including in a Fairyhouse Grade Two contest.

A smart stayer in his prime for Sir Mark Prescott, the nine-year old can often get worked up prior to the start, and those tendencies may have curtailed what otherwise might have been a top-class career; but he still managed to win his fair share, including a Doncaster Cup and he has to be of interest back in this sphere following his hurdling exploits.

Potentially rejuvenated by his spell in Ireland, the Elliott runner features on a handy weight for this return to the level, and if reproducing something akin to the pick of his old form then he could go close.

2018 ROYAL ASCOT PLACEPOT TIPS - SELECTIONS AND PERMUTATION


Leg 1 - (7) San Donato, (9) Beyond Reason

Leg 2 - (3) Crystal Ocean

Leg 3 - (5) James Watt, (15) Mutawaffer, (26), Chapelli

Leg 4 - (12) The Tin Man

Leg 5 - (8) Undrafted, (10) Growl, (21) George Bowen

Leg 6 - (3) Nearly Caught, (8) Pallasator

Permutation - 2x1x3x1x3x2 = 36 bets


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2018 Royal Ascot placepot tips - Selections and permutation for day five of the Royal Meeting

Brian Healy gives his selections and permutation to land a share of the Saturday's Royal Ascot Placepot.

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