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2019 Commonwealth Cup tips - Meade's 16/1 chance can Advertise classy credentials in Friday's feature sprint

Brian Healy 15 Jun 2019
Advertise can bounce back from a below-par run in the 2000 Guineas to go close in the Commonwealth Cup.

The first of two top-class Group One contests on day four of the 2019 Royal Ascot Festival, the Commonwealth Cup goes to post at 3.40pm as the third race of the afternoon at the Berkshire venue.

A relatively new addition to the Royal Ascot roster, there have only been four previous renewals of the contest which already features some top-class names amongst its’ roll-call of winners. The previous four winners of this race feature Eqtidaar, Caravaggio, Quiet Reflection and Muhaarar who won the inaugral running of the race and a top-quality maximum field of 28 runners could go to post for the six-furlong contest which boasts a first prize in excess of £280,000 to the winner.

The race took a slight blow with the news that the exciting Calyx would take no part in the race having suffered an injury when unsuccessfully defending his unbeaten record at Haydock behind Hello Youmzain in the Sandy Lane Stakes.

However, despite the loss of John Gosden’s Kingman colt there is sure to be a very strong field for the fifth renewal of the contest which could include Hello Youmzain (6/1, Bet365) who was winning for the third time in five starts.

Kevin Ryan’s Kodiac colt won two of his three starts as a juvenile, which included a Group Two contest in France; and having made a pleasing return to action in the Greenham Stakes where he finished fourth to Mohaather.

There was a lot to like about the way he won at Haydock last time, pinching a lead on Calyx which he wouldn’t relinquish although it is debatable whether he would have won so easily - or at all - if the Gosden runner didn’t suffer an injury during the contest.

It would however be unfair to discredit that success, and he should continue to give a good account for all he may need to find a shade more.

A strong Ballydoyle challenge is likely to be headed by Ten Sovereigns (7/4, Coral) who was unbeaten in three starts over six furlongs as a juvenile, which included a defeat of Jash to win the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on his final outing of the campaign.

Aidan O’Brien’s charge may just have needed his return to action in the Qipco 2000 Guineas, but there was a doubt over his stamina lasting one mile; those doubts seemed justified as he faded to finish five lengths’ fifth behind Magna Grecia, although he should come on markedly for the run.

A drop back to six furlongs could prove a good move, and sure to strip fitter for his Classic reappearance he may well prove a tough nut to crack with the potential for improvement to come.

Potentially also representing Aidan O’Brien could be So Perfect (12/1, Paddy Power) who may not quite be up to this level.

A dual-winner last term, including a defeat of Skitter Scatter at the Curragh, she had finished fourth in the Queen Mary Stakes here twelve months ago behind Signora Cabello, and she subsequently found both Advertise and stablemate Fairyland too strong in a pair of Group One outings at the Curragh and Newmarket respectively.

Third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint, the Scat Daddy filly built on a promising near-miss third behind Dandhu at Newbury in the Fred Darling Stakes to get back on the scoresheet at Naas when running out a ready winner of the Lacken Stakes from Gustavus Weston and she could build on that although she probably will need to find some improvement if she’s to be a factor in this stronger race.

It would also be dangerous to discount Fairyland (14/1, Coral) from calculations given that she may just have found one mile to be stretching her stamina in both the Newmarket 1000 Guineas and the Irish 1000 Guineas. 

The Kodiac filly is 3-4 over six furlongs, which includes winning the Cheveley Park Stakes on her final outing of last season, and she ought to appreciate a return to this shorter trip. However, her sole defeat over this trip did come here when finishing third to Main Edition in the Albany Stakes.

Jash (8/1, Coral) suffered his only defeat to date when denied by Ten Sovereigns at Newmarket last term, but Simon Crisford’s Kodiac colt made a winning return to action when taking the Listed King Charles II Stakes back at Newmarket last month where he defeated Azano by a neck.

He had posted two impressive victories at Newmarket on the July Course and at Salisbury - beating Ginger Fox by nine lengths in the latter - prior to coming up short in that Group One defeat, and there may not be too much between the pair again if the Crisford runner improves as expected on the back of that reappearance.

Khaadem (10/1, William Hill) meanwhile runs in the same colours as Jash, and Charles Hills’ charge can’t be overlooked either as a potential winner of the race as he comes into the contest on the back of three successive wins which include the Listed Carnarvon  Stakes on his reappearance.

Also a winner last term over the Newmarket July course and Doncaster, the Dark Angel colt has to step up his game a notch moving into the top rank; but he may well have more to offer and he gave the impression in that reappearance success that there was still more in the locker.

This is much tougher however, and the yard have been quiet of late; but with the potential to further improve, he could post a big run.

It could however be worth keeping ADVERTISE (16/1, Paddy Power, each-way) onside despite a below-par run in the Qipco 2000 Guineas where the Showcasing colt beat only four home behind Magna Grecia.

That run came at a time when Martyn Meade’s yard was out of sorts, but there have been signs of a revival in recent days and he is surely better than he was able to show in the colts’ Classic.

His juvenile form certainly stands up to scrutiny, and he won three of his five outings last term which include the Group Two July Stakes from Konchek, and a defeat of So Perfect to claim the prize in the Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh.

His two defeats last term came in the Coventry Stakes, where he was denied only by one length behind Calyx; while Too Darn Hot lowered his colours in the Dewhurst at Newmarket, although he finished ahead of subsequent Epsom Derby hero Anthony Van Dyck on that occasion.

The 2000 Guineas reappearance might well have been needed, and he probably didn’t aid his cause by racing keenly over the longer trip. Potentially a non-stayer over the trip, he could fare better dropping back to six furlongs given he has shown plenty of speed in his races while his only defeat over the distance has come behind Calyx in the Coventry Stakes.

He may well leave the form of his Guineas flop behind him now he drops back to this shorter trip, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him bouncing back. He may well prove over-priced in the betting, and he could be flying under the radar given his yard has been quiet.

With the ground at Ascot drying out, and the prospect of a strong pace to aim at, he can post a big effort. While he probably does need to find a shade more improvement, he should be spot on now following his Guineas exploits and he has the form in the book to rate as a big player despite his double-digit price.

2019 COMMONWEALTH CUP SELECTION - ADVERTISE (16/1, Paddy Power, each-way)

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2019 Commonwealth Cup tips - Meade's 16/1 chance can Advertise classy credentials in Friday's feature sprint

Brian Healy takes a look at some of the contenders for Friday's Group One feature sprint at Royal Ascot and picks out a big-priced contender who could go close.

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