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Friday 15 March horse racing tips - Stay Loyal to Shaw's 7/4 chance at Lingfield

Brian Healy 14 Mar 2019
Fakenham are racing on Friday as the Cheltenham Festival enters its' final day.

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Friday's UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

Five meetings head to post across the UK and Ireland on Friday, with the fourth and final day of the Cheltenham Festival headed up by the Gold Cup again taking centre-stage.

There is also jumps racing from Fakenham, while on the all-weather there is afternoon action on the Lingfield polytrack.

Meanwhile in the evening there is further all-weather action from Chelmsford, and also Dundalk in Ireland as Irish racing returns to the fold.

Fakenham (jumps) - 1.20 - 5.10pm (7 races)
Cheltenham (jumps) - 1.30 - 5.30pm (7 races)
Lingfield (flat, aw) - 2.20 - 5.40pm (6 races)
Dundalk (flat, aw) - 5.15 - 8.45pm (8 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) - 6.00 - 8.30pm (6 races)

FRIDAY 15 MARCH NAP SELECTION



FAKENHAM


(1.55) NOBEL LEADER (9/4, Bet365) and Cap Du Nord both arrive here in search of a hat-trick of wins, and James Evans’ charge gets a narrow vote to come out on top in what could be a match between the pair.

The Alflora gelding was a Southwell winner in March 2017 after which he was absent for more than 600 days before returning at Uttoxeter in November where he finished eighth having needed the run. He stepped up on that performance to win next time, beating Knocknamona at Bangor, and following wind surgery he duly followed up at Huntingdon where he ran out a four lengths’ winner over Astracad.

That runner-up and the third have both won since, and while he has been raised 8lbs in the weights following his last outing he could continue to find further improvement and can land the three-timer.

(3.15) SIDEWAYS (13/8, Paddy Power) was a winner between the flags for Robert Tyner, and having fared satisfactorily over hurdles for David Dennis the Gamut gelding has been steadily progressive over fences and struck back-to-back successes at this venue and Sedgefield back in January.

He hasn’t added to his tally in two subsequent outings, but he has made the frame in each and latterly found only Moving In Style too strong back at Sedgefield earlier in the month when denied by four lengths.

He is due to go up 4lbs in future races, so he could take advantage of his current mark to get back on the scoresheet and he remains with handicapping scope over the larger obstacles so every chance he can find more.

1.20 - Clayton
1.55 - Nobel Leader
2.35 - Grand Inquisitor
3.15 - Sideways
3.55 - Thistimenextyear
4.35 - Come On Charlie
5.10 - Sir Jack Yeats

CHELTENHAM


(2.50) COMMANDER OF FLEET (7/1, BetVictor) bounced back from defeat at Fairyhouse in December when contesting the Royal Bond Hurdle behind Quick Grabim to register a next-time success at Leopardstown in February to claim the Grade One Nathaniel Lacy and Partners’ Hurdle in February and Gordon Elliott’s charge could follow up.

A winner between the flags previously, he made a winning introduction under Rules for Gordon Elliott in a Punchestown bumper prior to then scoring over hurdles back at that venue when routing Kalum River by six lengths. 

He probably found the two mile trip of the Royal Bond Hurdle far too sharp next time; but he looked a strong stayer when stepped back up in trip at Leopardstown latest where he saw off Rhinestone by a comfortable half-length.

He found plenty for pressure to hold off the runner-up, and he earlier survived what might have been a costly mistake jumping the third last. He left some decent sorts trailing in his wake in that success, and he could have more to offer upped again in distance to this three miles trip.

He looks sure to remain competitive, and every chance he can strike again given he has looked every inch a staying type with proven form in softer ground.

Gordon Elliott can have a good final day at the Cheltenham Festival.


(5.30) Gordon Elliott won this race twelve months ago with Champagne Classic, and the Meath handler could strike again with his DALLAS DES PICTONS (5/1, William Hill) who has shown very progressive form over hurdles since finishing fourth on his debut at Naas behind Borderline Chatho.

A smart bumper performer in France for Alain Couetil previously, rounding off his time there with a pair of wins at Loudeac and Le Pin au Haras, the Spanish Moon gelding stepped up on that Naas fourth to find only the potentially high-class City Island too strong at Leopardstown on Boxing Day.

But, stepping up in trip next time he ran out a ready ten lengths’ victor over Lighthouse Warrier at Punchestown prior to following up back at Leoaprdstown last time, beating Calie Du Mesnil by a neck.

He showed a really willing attitude to register that success, leading the field turning in and then battling to victory where he was all-out to hold off his challengers. That was over three miles, but he has shown good versatility over a range of trips, finding City Island too good over two miles before winning at this trip.

While both wins have come on good ground, he won a French bumper on heavy ground so underfoot conditions are unlikely to faze him, and while he probably needs to find a shade more from this mark he can continue his progression to post another solid effort.

1.30 - Sir Erec
2.10 - Cut The Mustard
2.50 - Commander Of Fleet
3.30 - Native River
4.10 - Haymount
4.50 - Brelan D’as
5.30 - Dallas Des Pictons

LINGFIELD


(3.40) LOYALTY (7/4, Bet365) knows how to win at this track, winning here latest when beating Florencio in Feburary making all and sticking well to his task to cross the line one length to the good.

Derek Shaw’s Medicean gelding now finds himself back in a claimer, and he ought to remain competitive at these weights. 

A five-time winner here, he could be given an easy time of things up front and he is well drawn towards the inside to attack this field; he ought to go close in this contest and he can follow up that latest success.

(4.20) DISTANT MIRAGE (7/4, Ladbrokes) has found race-by-race progress in maiden company, bettering her finishing position with every start, and the Toronado filly got off the mark switched to a handicap when scoring at Kempton latest back in February.

James Tate’s charge ran out a one length winner over Xtara, staying on well and appearing to score readily. She is 5lbs higher here, but clearly going the right way she could have better still to come, and likely to improve again she can follow up here.

2.20 - Dashing Poet
3.00 - Dame Freya Stark
3.40 - Loyalty
4.20 - Distant Mirage
5.00 - Fearsome
5.40 - Allocator

Lingfield are racing on Friday afternoon.


CHELMSFORD


(5.20) LALANIA (7/2, Paddy Power) has gone close to getting off the mark on the all-weather in each of her last two outings, and the Kheleyf filly can strike here.

Stuart Williams’ charge was a turf winner last May at Yarmouth, after which she ran consistently without adding to her tally in five subsequent outings; but she finished third on three occasions, and having found the drop to five furlongs too sharp on her return from a three month break, she has quickly resumed her earlier consistency.

Third to Agueroo at Lingfield in January, she went one better here last time out, beaten just under two lengths behind Always A Drama where she may have done too much too soon. Eased 1lb subsequently, she could continue in form and no surprise to see her go close here.

(6.30) PRIMO’S COMET (11/2, Paddy Power) is a three-time winner on polytrack, and Jim Goldie’s charge could add to his tally here switching to polytrack.

The Orientor gelding ran out a neck winner at Newcastle last month from Fendale, getting up almost on the line to register the victory; that form has subsequently been boosted by the third winning next time out, and he could remain handicapped to follow up from just 2lbs higher.

Phil Dennis returns to the saddlie, and the rider’s 3lbs claim can prove invaluable; he can win again here with a repeat of that last run. 

4.40 - The Groove
5.20 - Lalania
6.00 - Hurricane Alert
6.30 - Primo’s Comet
7.00 - Jack Berry House
7.30 - Pride’s Gold
8.00 - Irish Times
8.30 - Sea Shack

DUNDALK


(6.15) CIAO (4/1, Bet365) has finished third on each of her first two starts for Cheltenham Festival-winning trainer Gavin Cromwell, but the Lord Shanakill filly found a jolt of improvement equipped with first-time blinkers to open his account over course and distance in January.

He ran out a near-three lengths’ winner over Bright Eyed, and he subsequently posted a solid run back here two weeks later behind Mcguigan where he was beaten three lengths but had to give weight away to the field. 

He was possibly just anchored by a 7lbs rise in the weights for his previous run, but with a good claimer up now to help ease his burden then he could bounce back to resume winning ways.

(7.15) ROYAL COURT (6/1, William Hill) has only once finished out of the first three in his six career starts, and that came on his debut at Gowran Park last October; Joseph O’Brien’s charge has since found the frame in all subsequent starts which include latest behind USS Michigan over course and distance.

The Zoffany gelding had no answer to the easy winner, but he finished clear of the third and open still to further improvement he could get off the mark now under his excellent 5lbs claimer who takes off a handy chunk of weight.

5.15 - Ty Rock Brandy
5.45 - Georgian Bay
6.15 - Ciao
6.45 - Sleepy Head
7.15 - Royal Court
7.45 - Pedro De Styles
8.15 - Secret Wizard
8.45 - Isosceles

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Friday 15 March horse racing tips - Stay Loyal to Shaw's 7/4 chance at Lingfield

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Friday's UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

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