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Monday 11 March horse racing tips - Hobbs' 9/4 chance can Show rivals the Road at Stratford

Brian Healy 11 Mar 2019
Stratford are racing on Monday.

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all four of Monday's UK horse racing meetings on the eve of the Cheltenham Festival.

Monday is Cheltenham Festival eve, and a last chance for punters to pad out their Festival warchests, and four UK horse racing meetings go to post with afternoon jumps racing from Stratford, Plumpton and Taunton; while on the all-weather there is a fixture in the evening at Kempton.

Stratford (jumps) - 2.10 - 5.10pm (7 races)
Plumpton (jumps) - 2.20 - 4.55pm (6 races)
Taunton (jumps) - 2.30 - 5.40pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) - 5.00 - 8.30pm (8 races)

MONDAY 11 MARCH NAP SELECTION


STRATFORD


(2.40) PADDYS POEM (9/2, Bet365) showed some useful form over hurdles last term without managing to win. But he did make the frame in four of his six starts, and Richard Phillips’ charge belatedly got off the mark at the third attempt over fences when beating the reopposing Master Vintage by a half-length at Huntingdon latest.

The Proclamation gelding found plenty to land the spoils having looked to hand the prize to the runner-up with a bad mistake at the last; but he recovered well to keep the second at bay, and while he has more to do to uphold that form on worse terms, it can be argued that he’d have won readily had he not made that final fence blunder.

He is taken to follow up here despite his rise in the weights, and he can confirm form with the runner-up partnered again with James Davies.

(3.10) With the Cheltenham Festival about to kick off, SHOW ON THE ROAD (9/4, Bet365) could provide a topical winner, and Philip Hobbs’ charge can open his chase win account here.

The Flemensfirth gelding won twice over hurdles last term ,scoring both at Exeter, and he showed some promise over the larger obstacles when finishing third to the useful The Russian Doyen on his chase debut at Exeter back in November.

His subsequent failure to complete the Exeter course is overlooked as he slipped up badly on the bend when still travelling well enough to get involved; and while his last hurdles run was underwhelming, he could do better returning to the larger obstacles here.

He remains with potential, and having been eased 1lb in the weights he looks capable of winning from this mark; while Sean Houlihan’s claim adds further credence to his chances. It would be no surprise to see him bounce back here, and he can get back on the winning trail.

2.10 - Red Force One
2.40 - Paddys Poem
3.10 - Show On The Road
3.40 - Dino Velvet
4.10 - Cyrius Moriviere
4.40 - Shang Tang
5.10 - Prussia With Love

Dino Velvet is in action at Stratford on Monday.


PLUMPTON


(2.50) TEMPLIER (5/2, William Hill) is given another chance to do better over fences having finished fourth of six runners on his chase debut at Huntingdon last month behind Paddy’s Poem; Gary Moore’s charge might have needed the experience and he can do better.

A hurdles winner at this venue back in December 2016, he largely ran respectably thereafter, making the frame in outings at Wincanton and Kempton; and he had two starts on the flat prior to that chase debut.

He beaten around 12 lengths, not always fluent, but there were signs of some promise and likely to find some improvement for that outing he could do better back at the scene of his last win in a race which doesn’t look very strong.

(3.20) The form of Venetia Williams’ runners continues to impress, and LONGHOUSESIGNORA (4/1, Unibet) can continue the yard’s good spell by getting back on the scoresheet.

The Milan mare is a relatively lightly raced sort, but he showed some aptitude over fences with in-the-frame efforts at Bangor and Ludlow prior to falling at Wetherby in December.

A winner between the flags in Ireland prior to joining this yard, she had shown some fair form over timber without winning; but she opened her account on the back of that tumble, scoring readily at Ludlow and then finding only Viva Vittoria too strong at Market Rasen when last seen out.

She could have more to come now she steps up to three miles, and with a good claimer taking a handy 5lbs off her back then she ought to remain competitive. 

2.20 - Myplaceatmidnight
2.50 - Templier
3.20 - Longhousesignora
3.50 - Ruby Yeats
4.20 - Belmont Park
4.55 - Press Gang

TAUNTON


(4.00) ACHILLE (11/4, William Hill) can continue the good spell of form enjoyed by Venetia Williams, and the Dom Alco gelding arrives here in search of a hat-trick of wins having already registered successes at Exeter and Sandown this term.

Although he only had three-parts of a length to spare over Scotchtown latest, the pair had pulled clear and he might have won easier had he not hung left on the run to the line; but he found enough to hold off the challenging runner-up, and he might do better still for this marked step up in trip.

He has an 8lbs rise in the weights to overcome, but he remains with scope to do better given he is relatively low mileage for a nine-year old; he can find further improvement stepped up in distance and he can land the three-timer.

Achille can land the hat-trick with success at Taunton.


(5.05) SHINTORI (3/1, William Hill) was a fair performer for Robert Woollacott prior to joining up with Jack Barber, but he remains a frustrating customer who often promises more than he delivers and he is a notoriously weak finisher.

That said, everything fell right for him when he got off the mark at Plumpton back in December, where he beat Chivers by almost four lengths; but he failed to back up that effort next time when beaten almost twenty lengths behind Goodgirlteresa at Chepstow.

Returned to Plumpton for his last outing, he was denied by less than one length behind Micquus where he led over the last fence before finding nil for pressure and folding to finish third. The runner-up in that race has gone on to land a hat-trick of wins to boost the form.

He has the ability to win off this rating, but his weak finishing continued to give cause for concern; he’ll need to be produced at the death to win this, but he turns out from the same mark and if seeing his effort through then he can get back on the scoresheet.  

2.30 - Mauna Kea
3.00 - Scaramanga
3.30 - Oriental Flame
4.00 - Achille
4.30 - Smarty Wild
5.05 - Shintori
5.40 - Toodlepip

KEMPTON


(5.30) BUBBELAH (13/8, William Hill) didn’t show a great deal in a trio of maidens on turf last term, but David Simcock’s charge took a big step forward switching to handicaps and the all-weather when finding only Zmhar too strong at Chelmsford last month.

Although beaten six lengths, he probably bumped into a well-handicapped rival who ran out an impressive winner and has struck again since.

The Zoffany gelding has been left alone at the weights following that runner-up effort, and he could be capable of going one better in this contest.

(6.00) SIMBA SAMBA (9/4, Bet365) drew clear of runner-up Macs Blessing when getting off the mark at Newcastle on his handicap debut on Friday, scoring by three lengths; Paul McBride’s charge could follow up turned out quickly.

He looked to score readily, and a 6lbs penalty for that success may not be enough of a burden to him following up, assuming he can repeat that level of performance.

He could have further scope to improve within the handicap ranks, and he is chanced to strike again here and make of the most of the considerable weight she receives from standard-setting Red Phoenix.

5.00 - Brigadier
5.30 - Bubbelah
6.00 - Simba Samba
6.30 - Whisper Aloud
7.00 - Call Me Grumpy
7.30 - Elysees Palace
8.00 - Harry Callahan
8.30 - Chief Sittingbull


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Monday 11 March horse racing tips - Hobbs' 9/4 chance can Show rivals the Road at Stratford

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all four of Monday's UK horse racing meetings on the eve of the Cheltenham Festival.

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