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Saturday’s ITV Racing tips - Four overpriced challengers to back at Goodwood, Haydock and York

Jonathan Vine 24 May 2019
Copper Knight (near, right) beats Eeh Bah Gum (left) in a handicap here at York earlier this month.

Our expert takes a look at four televised races coming to us live from Goodwood, Haydock and York on Saturday afternoon and highlights four horses he feels are particularly overpriced.

ITV Racing viewers will be in for a rare treat tomorrow afternoon, with live coverage of the Irish 2000 Guineas from the Curragh lighting up our television screens. Alongside that fabled classic, there are excellent races to take in from Goodwood, Haydock and York tomorrow, with two Group Two contests headlining proceedings here in Britain.

Our expert has taken a look through all of Saturday’s televised races and highlighted four horses he feels have been significantly overlooked in their respective races.

Saturday’s ITV Racing Tips

1:55pm Goodwood Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Festival Stakes (Listed Race) 1m2f

Now, I know exactly what you’re thinking when you see the price of this tip, “How can you say a horse sitting on 5/1 has been overlooked?”. However, considering the undoubted quality ELARQAM possesses and the strength of the race he’s been thrown into, 5/1 looks an extremely generous price.

Mark Johnston's colt carried shorter prices into the British and Irish Guineas last season, as well as the York Stakes, the Sovereign Stakes and the Earl Of Sefton on his reappearance. Yes, Elarqam was disappointingly beaten in all of those races, but he was only touched off by half-a-length over this trip in a Group Two at York, where Thundering Blue pounced late in the day to deny the long-time leader.

Stepping back up to ten furlongs could be a wise move, especially here at Goodwood, where Elarqam’s natural speed should come to the fore. This is, by far, the weakest race Elarqam has entered since the beginning of his Classic campaign and I’m extremely hopeful the former Guineas favourite will come on from his underwhelming reappearance.

2:30pm Goodwood Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap (Class 2) 7f

A fascinatingly open seven-furlong handicap, where many of the principals at the head of the betting have very little form on ground as fast as this. Looking further down the market, the name that stands out for me is CHYNNA, who was campaigned at a high-level as a two-year-old and Jason Watson’s mount could be nicely treated on her handicap debut.

Twice last season, Chynna placed third in Group Three company. Firstly here at Goodwood, where she followed Antonia De Vega home in the Prestige Stakes, before Chynna repeated that placing behind future Guineas winner Hermosa in Naas’ Weld Park Stakes.

After coming within a nose of securing black-type on her final start in 2018, Mick Channon’s filly has come up short in two Listed races so far this season and travels to Goodwood on the back of a two-length defeat in the Kilvington Stakes at Nottingham. Chynna clocked an RPR in excess of her current rating of 92 on four occasions last season. She’s won on fast ground, run well around this tricky track and her trainer won this race with a filly back in 2014.

2:50pm Haydock Amix Silver Bowl Handicap (Class 2) 1m

Tom Dascombe is a trainer to be feared here at Haydock. While some would see the fact that his regular jockey, Richard Kingscote is riding a prime contender for Alan King as a knock to BARRISTAN THE BOLD’S chances, Liam Jones is a highly-able deputy and Dascombe's three-year-old has plenty to build on after an excellent reappearance at Chester.

Barristan The Bold was forced to sit tight after a wide draw that day, as Lincoln Park took the field along. The pacesetter wasn’t for catching that day, but Dascombe’s colt powered home along the inside rail to carry 9-6 into the places, a performance which suggests a mile would certainly not be beyond his capabilities.

Jones was in the saddle when Barristan The Bold secured the most impressive win of his juvenile season, storming to a three length triumph under the burden of a seven-pound penalty. This son of Excelebration has acquitted himself well on fast ground in the past and a wide draw in stall 15 could be ideal as Barristan The Bold tackles this extended trip.

3:45pm York William Hill Leading On Course Bookmaker Sprint Handicap (Class 2) 5f

El Astronaute and Copper Knight are the clear class-angles in this handicap and the in-form Leodis Dream is a hardy sprinter on the up. One sprinter who shouldn’t be ignored further down the betting is EEH BAH GUM, who finished fourth behind Copper Knight in a similar race earlier this month and there’s no reason why he can’t match, or even better, that result on Saturday.

Tim Easterby’s charge rose rapidly through the weights last season, with a run of four straight victories helping him reach a mark of 85. Eeh Bah Gum then struck off 83 over course-and-distance here in August, surging to an excellent victory over Fool For You and Marnie James on similarly speedy ground.

Copper Knight proved too classy here two weeks ago, but Eeh Bah Gum proved he could beat some of the best off this mark when staying on to place fourth. Copper Knight, drawn just two stalls on his outside, should give Rachel Richardson something to aim at early on and Eeh Bah Gum has the ability to run beyond his current odds.

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Saturday’s ITV Racing tips - Four overpriced challengers to back at Goodwood, Haydock and York

Our expert takes a look at four televised races coming to us live from Goodwood, Haydock and York on Saturday afternoon and highlights four horses he feels are particularly overpriced on Saturday 25th May.

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