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Sunday 10 March horse racing tips - Murphy's evens chance can Knock out Musselburgh rivals

Brian Healy 10 Mar 2019
Knockgraffon can make it 3-3 at Musselburgh.

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selection and best bets across each of Sunday's scheduled UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

The week ends with a three-fixture schedule of horse racing fixtures which takes in jumps racing at Musselburgh and Warwick, and jumps racing from Naas in Ireland where the Leinster National takes centre stage of the day at the Irish track on a racecard which also features Listed and Grade Three action.

Warwick (jumps) - 1.50 - 5.30pm (8 races)
Musselburgh (jumps) - 2.00 - 5.10pm (7 races)
Naas (jumps) - 2.10 - 5.20pm (7 races)

SUNDAY 10 MARCH NAP SELECTION


WARWICK


(2.50) Lucy Wadham has her string in good heart, and ECLAIR DE GUYE (9/2, Paddy Power) could go close in this contest despite some uninspiring form figures to his name.

The figures don’t tell the whole story however, and the Lord Du Sud gelding has been running better than the numbers suggest, and he was far from disgraced at Plumpton two starts ago in a race which featured two next-time winners.

Although not seen to best effect at Sandown last month on his handicap debut, where he finished almost 20 lengths’ eighth behind Duarigle, he could appreciate this lesser grade and longer trip; and having been dropped 2lbs in the weights he could go close with the better ground here no hindrance to his chances.

(3.55) SHENEEDEDTHERUN (9/2, Bet365) was a dual-winner last term for then-handler Michael Scudamore, and the Kayf Tara mare has hinted in recent outings that her return to the winners’ enclosure may not be too far away with runner-up efforts on two of her last three starts following wind surgery.

The latter of those silver medal finishes came at this venue last month on her first outing for new handler Ben Pauling, where she finished four lengths behind The Bay Birch, outpaced before finishing strongly.

She gave the impression that an even stiffer test could suit, and this considerable rise in trip could deliver a further jolt of progress; and from the same she could get back to winning ways having won from higher marks in the past.

1.50 - Flash The Steel
2.20 - Dalia Du Seuil
2.50 - Eclair De Guye
3.25 - Espoir De Loire
3.55 - Sheneededtherun
4.30 - Bahama Moon
5.00 - Newtide
5.30 - Chantry House

Warwick are racing on Sunday.


MUSSELBURGH


(2.30) WISHFULL THINKING (13/8, William Hill) has made a better fist of things over fences in his second spell chasing, and a move to Sam Drake seems to have gleaned some improvement from the Alflora gelding.

A fairly useful hurdler for Olly Murphy previously, the eight-year old moved to his current yard having beaten only one home in a Uttoxeter seller on his final outing for Murphy; he subsequently underwent wind surgery for his new yard, and having shaped as if in need of the run on his reappearance at Carlisle, he has made the frame on all starts since.

His last two runs have come over fences, winning at Doncaster in January by a neck from Ballasalla, and then running to a similar level despite only finishing third at Leicester latest behind Night Of Sin.

He met with some trouble in running that day, so he could be counted an unfortunate loser; he drops back in trip today, and he looks well-handicapped on what he has shown thus far over the larger obstacles so every chance he can get back on the scoresheet.

(3.05) KNOCKGRAFFON (Evens, Betway) had proven himself a useful sort for Dan Skelton previously, the Flemensfirth gelding can be hard to win with and he doesn’t alway consent to give maximum effort.

However, he is 2-2 at Musselburgh, and he is chanced to keep his good form going having struck here last time out following a break, where he had Forth Bridge two lengths in arrears.

Olly Murphy’s charge had wind surgery prior to that start, which seems to have helped deliver a small joilt of improvement and he appeared to win a shade readily latest, so every chance that he could continue to find more.

A 3lbs rise in the weights for that latest success still leaves him 1lb the mark from which he registered his first win at the Scottish venue, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him follow up here.

2.00 - Torrid
2.30 -Wishfull Dreaming
3.05 - Knockgraffon
3.35 - Indian Opera
4.10 - Flying Jack
4.40 - Kelpies Myth
5.10 - Betancourt

Willie Mullins can saddle winners on Naas' Sunday racecard.


NAAS


(2.40) CHACUN POUR SOI (Evens, Willie Mullins) hasn’t been seen for three years, and the Policy Maker gelding can make a winning start for Willie Mullins having shown some useful form in France previously.

The seven-year old was placed both over hurdles and fences in France for Emmanuel Clayeux prior to joining this camp, finishing third over the larger obstacles at Enghien when last seen; but this is a very winnable contest on his first outing for the County Carlow trainer and he is sure to be well prepared in advance for this test.

He wouldn’t need to be a superstar in order to despatch some relatively ordinary rivals; and given that the Closutton maestro has kept faith with him then he can make a successful - if belated - debut.

(3.15) MISTER BLUE SKY (3/1, Paddy Power) was a useful performer on the flat for Sylvester Kirk, winning four times for that yard which included a success at Windsor back in July.

The Royal Applause gelding was then absent for more than one year, and he was sent to Willie Mullins ahead of a winning hurdles debut at Wexford back in October where he ran out a comfortable winner over Put The Kettle On, scoring by almost nine lengths.

That runner-up has won since, and he is sure to improve for that first experience of hurdling. While he hasn’t been seen out since, he is likely to have further progress to come, and he could develop into a very useful performer in this discipline.

2.10 - Momus
2.40 - Chacun Pour Soi
3.15 - Mister Blue Sky
3.45 - Kaiser Black
4.20 - Mount Pelier
4.50 - Wishmoor
5.20 - Gypsy Island


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Sunday 10 March horse racing tips - Murphy's evens chance can Knock out Musselburgh rivals

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selection and best bets across each of Sunday's scheduled UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

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