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2018 Welsh Grand National tips – 50/1 outsider backed into 20/1 in Chepstow's historic handicap

Dawson City (centre) makes his winning move during the Devonshire National at Exeter.

Our expert takes a look through the ante-post betting of the Welsh Grand National and provides readers with two ante-post tips for Chepstow on Thursday 27th December.

All eyes may be on Kempton and Leopardstown during the festive period, but for the well over a century, some of the finest stayers in the land have been travelling to Chepstow during Christmas week to take part in the Coral Welsh Grand National. This 29-and-a-half-furlong handicap chase has been won by Grand National and Gold Cup winners alike, with the names of Burrough Hill Lad, Master Oats and Synchronised shining on the famous trophy.

A strong field has been entered into this year’s renewal of the Welsh Grand National and the betting is starting to hot up. Our expert has taken a look through the vast betting market and identified two horses for punters to back.

2018 Welsh Grand National Tip



15 of the previous 20 runnings of the Welsh Grand National have been won by horses weighted 10-10 or lower, so it’s sensible to look towards to bottom half of the weights for my second selection. Kimberlite Candy is a promising stayer to be watched and Another Venture is entitled to come on from his fifth in the trial, but I want to place my faith in a confirmed stayer and DAWSON CITY boasts National form in abundance.

Last February, Dawson City handed Devonshire-native Polly Gundry a romantic victory in the Devon National, holding on to beat Shotgun Paddy by two lengths. That performance came on the back of a good third under 11-10 in the Somerset National, his second such result in a National-type event, having narrowly lost out to Morny Wing in the 2017 renewal of the Sussex Grand National.

After falling when prominent on his reappearance at Haydock, Gundry will have been pleased to see her stayer complete the course in the Scottish Borders National up at Kelso. Dawson City never looked like troubling the leaders, but his jumping got better with every furlong of that four-mile marathon and he was only ten lengths behind the winner when crossing the line fifth.

Off his current mark of 133, Dawson City stayed on for second behind Thomas Patrick at Newbury in March. Dawson City ran well before being hampered by a loose horse on his only previous visit to Chepstow and Gundry’s nine-year-old has the experience to challenge the young pretenders near the upper-end of the betting.

UPDATE

Since this tip was written and the field was confirmed, DAWSON CITY has been pushed into 20/1 with most bookmakers. I can't image it will be cut any further, so you can still get plenty of value!


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2018 Welsh Grand National tips – 50/1 outsider backed into 20/1 in Chepstow's historic handicap

Our expert takes a look through the ante-post betting of the Welsh Grand National and provides readers with two ante-post tips for Chepstow on Thursday 27th December.

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