July 26 / 16.10 Goodwood

16.10

Good

Nicholson Gin Handicap

  • Prize money: £18039
  • 0m 5f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 15 runners
ITV
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Nicholson Gin Handicap

Runners: 15 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Form: 37-997 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 98

Form & Verdict
Below best in first two outings this year but his recent Listed run was better and he has dropped a few pounds since his latest handicap run, when a close third at Haydock last September (5f, good to firm); needs a bit more now tackling a downhill track for the first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(9)

3rd Sep 2022

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 2

16:05 Haydock

Atalis Bay

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Robert Cowell

prominent, ridden and weakened over 1f out (trainer said, regarding the poor form shown, he had no explanation other than the jockey reported that the gelding hung left and stopped quickly)

9/2

3rd

11

(6)

17th Aug 2022

Good To Firm

0m 5f 89y

Class 2

13:50 York

Atalis Bay

9st 2lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Robert Cowell

towards far side, prominent, hung left and ridden 2f out, kept on (jockey said gelding hung left under pressure)

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: 4-1330 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
Said to prefer fast ground but he gave a barnstorming performance to win on good to soft on return at Windsor (5f); has not lived up to that effort since going up in the weights, including when third in the Dash at Epsom, but he did lead home his group at Ascot 17 days ago and may yet do better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(4)

10th Sep 2023

Good

0m 5f 0y

14:55 Curragh

Equality

9st 6lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Charles Hills

prominent up the centre, soon went second, led 2f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra and lost second inside final 110yds

20/1

6th

1

(11)

25th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:35 York

Equality

9st 13lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Charles Hills

Has improved in the hood this season, easily winning a handicap at Windsor (5f, good) in June and following up in Group 3 Coral Charge at Sandown (5f, good); this prominent-racer had excuses at Goodwood (including an early stumble) and he's an each-way possible at a track that should suit his style.

25/1

7th

1

(1)

4th Aug 2023

Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:35 Goodwood

Equality

9st 4lb

J: Ryan Moore

T: Charles Hills

towards rear, edged left and hampered rivals after 1f, some headway 3f out

6/1

Form: 222512 C BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Has 6f form here but he acts particularly well at Windsor, having the rail to race against when making all for a convincing win there in June (6f); continued good run of form with a close second at Epsom (6f) since but this first-ever 5f run asks a question.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

(11)

15th Oct 2023

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:00 Goodwood

Indian Creak

9st 9lb

J: Rose Dawes

T: Jack Channon

prominent

16/1

9th

3

(9)

30th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:30 Ripon

Indian Creak

9st 7lb

J: Rose Dawes

T: Jack Channon

raced near side

10/1

5th

4

(1)

27th Aug 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

14:25 Goodwood

Indian Creak

9st 5lb

J: Rose Dawes

T: Jack Channon

led at steady pace, increased tempo over 2f out, headed and weakened final 110yds

9/2

Form: 337085 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
Just one turf handicap win, over 5f at Chester last August; had excellent AW season for new connections over the winter and although needing some excuses back on turf since, he did race alone when a creditable fifth to Celsius at Newmarket 18 days ago (5f, good to firm; in these aids, retained); needs very best form to win today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(6)

8th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

18:45 Newcastle (AW)

Night On Earth

9st 6lb

J: David Egan

T: Ian Williams

swerved left start, led

7/1

3rd

8

(4)

21st Nov 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

18:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Night On Earth

8st 4lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Ian Williams

Yet to win for this stable but he's dropped a long way in the weights and there have been flickers of promise; if he is to revive it looks more likely to be over 5f though.

14/1

5th

13

(1)

13th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 3

20:15 Southwell (AW)

Night On Earth

8st 6lb

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Ian Williams

Has been running on turf this year and his 4-13 strike-rate on AW catches the eye; has dropped down the weights but it's been a patchy campaign and it's hard to be confident in his claims.

25/1

Form: 47-104 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
Looked the likely winner from some way out on Newmarket return (5f, good to firm) but lost two shoes when never involved in the Dash at Epsom next time; things didn't fall his way but still a good fourth to Celsius on the July course since and he remains unexposed; fitting cheekpieces could help.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

12

(4)

6th Oct 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

17:05 Ascot

Dusky Lord

8st 13lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Stuart Williams

Signed off for 2022 with a convincing win in the Ayr Silver Cup but has been down the field in four runs since joining current yard; failed to beat a rival with headgear back on in the Portland last time; plenty to prove.

33/1

22th

18

(16)

16th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 5f 143y

Class 2

14:25 Doncaster

Dusky Lord

8st 12lb

J: Stefano Cherchi

T: Stuart Williams

Mid-division in this race last year but ran two of his best races the only times cheekpieces were fitted for Roger Varian, at Glorious Goodwood and when racing away with the Ayr Silver Cup (both on good); has lain relatively low for new yard but returning cheekpieces make him of major interest.

40/1

Form: 946-11 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Got himself out of a tight spot to win the 3yo C&D handicap at this meeting in 2019; was never right in 2021 but has looked his old self with two 5f wins this season, at Ascot and Newmarket (both on good to firm); neither was emphatic but he's not the type to stretch away, his last five handicap wins coming by fairly narrow margins; looks good for another big run.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(6)

21st Nov 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

18:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Celsius

9st 3lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Tom Clover

Not stood much racing since 2021, but he's feasibly treated on his best and he looked to retain ability when last seen in May; another absence to contend with and others have less to prove.

12/1

7th

3

(8)

20th May 2023

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 3

17:00 Newmarket

Celsius

9st 7lb

J: David Egan

T: Tom Clover

7yo with a strike-rate of 7-24 on turf; ran only four times last season but he won the first two (including over 5f on the July course) and ended the campaign with a close call over 6f here; only 1lb higher today and has an excellent record when fresh so must be considered after 245 days off.

4/1

Form: -36676 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 8st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Needs improvement on recent efforts but he won the big 3yo handicap at this meeting in 2018 (good) and gave his yard its second win in this race in five years when scooting clear 12 months ago (soft; stablemate second); is now 1lb lower and this looks sure to have been the aim.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(4)

23rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 3

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lord Riddiford

9st 11lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John Quinn

slowly into stride, in rear, headway over 1f out, went second inside final furlong, kept on

7/2

3rd

7

(8)

10th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 3

16:45 Newcastle (AW)

Lord Riddiford

9st 4lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John Quinn

Impressed at Goodwood in August, winning the same 5f handicap for the third year in succession; not in quite the same form twice since and although he's a multiple AW winner, he has been unplaced in two course runs.

16/1

7th

2

(4)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 5f 15y

Class 3

15:10 Chester

Lord Riddiford

9st 9lb

J: Franny Norton

T: John Quinn

Produced in top shape to win a 5f Glorious Goodwood handicap for the third time (fourth success at that meeting) last month; only sixth of seven behind Lihou back at Goodwood five weeks ago when a slow start did him no favours; no surprise to see him fare better today.

13/2

Form: 9-8527 D

Last run: 24 days

W: 8st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Ran well over C&D at this meeting much earlier in career but hasn't been back here for nearly two years; beaten a head at Sandown last month but didn't repeat that close call when returning there 24 days ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(8)

16th Oct 2023

Soft

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

16:50 Windsor

Just Glamorous

9st 9lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: Christopher Mason

Won a veterans' race at Salisbury in June but hasn't repeated that form since; ideally wants faster ground.

20/1

0

11

(5)

2nd Sep 2023

Good To Firm

0m 5f 10y

Class 4

17:20 Sandown

Just Glamorous

9st 3lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Christopher Mason

Took advantage of a weights drop when making a winning return in veterans' race at Salisbury in June; hasn't repeated the form, including over C&D, and others make more appeal.

14/1

Form: 076600 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 8st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Capable of smart form, including over C&D, but everything needs to be just so and he is frustratingly hard to place; rather muted this year but is favourably treated if first-time cheekpieces help (blinkers made no difference in June), and promising Harry Davies rides for the first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

9

(4)

25th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 4

12:35 Lingfield (AW)

Stone Of Destiny

8st 12lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

towards rear

12/1

Form: -17033 D

Last run: 1 day

W: 8st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
All three wins at 5f on stiff tracks, the most recent two at Pontefract (good/good to soft); seemingly not the same force elsewhere these days and was a remote third of four at Windsor last night.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(1)

22nd Sep 2022

Good

0m 5f 3y

Class 3

16:03 Pontefract

Rayong

9st 2lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

prominent, ridden 2f out, no extra inside final 110yds

5/1

9th

5

(12)

25th Aug 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 3

20:45 Newcastle (AW)

Rayong

9st 5lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: K R Burke

in touch with leaders, weakened over 1f out

9/1

11 (11)
Embour

Form: 02-083 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 8st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Rather mixed these days but is well treated on best 5f and 6f form and he only just failed over 5f on AW in September; has gone close here in the past and ran well enough at Catterick recently on first start since wind surgery to think he could have a say.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

1

(12)

7th Jul 2023

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Beverley

Embour

10st 1lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Ruth Carr

towards rear

50/1

6th

2

(3)

20th Jun 2023

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 3

19:15 Beverley

Embour

9st 10lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Ruth Carr

Won three times (5f/6f) on the AW last autumn/winter and he's equally good on turf; however, he's not known for his reliability and his last two efforts have been poor ones; bit to prove after an absence.

14/1

10th

10

(6)

3rd Mar 2023

Standard

0m 6f 1y

Class 3

15:00 Lingfield (AW)

Embour

9st 3lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Ruth Carr

Deserves some credit for winning three times this autumn/winter, including here; however, the negative is his inconsistency, as reflected in his form figures; not entirely sure what to expect.

14/1

Form: 384417 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Has course form at both sprint trips; took the initiative when ending losing spell at Salisbury in June (5f, good to firm) but had no answer when seventh to Celsius at Newmarket since and has share of weight for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

(6)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 5f 15y

Class 3

15:10 Chester

Lihou

9st 3lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: David Evans

Stablemate of Democracy Dilemma; five wins in 5f handicaps this year, the latest at Goodwood five weeks ago; never threatened at Haydock last time but his course record dictates he needs a second look.

8/1

8th

9

(2)

9th Sep 2023

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 2

16:10 Haydock

Lihou

8st 7lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: David Evans

Had dropped a long way in the weights and has enjoyed a resurgence in 2023, winning for the fifth time when seeing off six rivals at Goodwood two weeks ago (5f, soft); ran well in one start here in 2021; this looks too competitive though.

15/2

Form: 497780 D

Last run: 87 days

W: 8st 4lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Front-runs; terrific career includes two thirds in the King George over C&D but well held in this race last year and hasn't been getting close enough on turf to fancy from out of the weights; had wind surgery since last seen.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

9

(10)

23rd Jan 2023

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 5

17:10 Southwell (AW)

Ornate

9st 1lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: David C Griffiths

led, headed but pressed leader from under 4f out

14/1

3rd

8

(6)

17th Jan 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

12:40 Kempton (AW)

Ornate

9st 4lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: David C Griffiths

Shadow of his former self but he rolled back the years to make all at Chelmsford in October (5f; off a 1lb higher mark); mixed bag since and others look stronger today.

20/1

8th

8

(8)

5th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

15:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Ornate

8st 10lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: David C Griffiths

prominent, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out

25/1

Form: 142023 D

Last run: 3 days

W: 8st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Has been running well at a lesser level over 5f on AW and turf but has a daunting task from so far out of the handicap here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(7)

19th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 60y

Class 5

17:40 Brighton

The Defiant

9st 9lb

J: Joshua Bryan

T: Luke Dace

took keen hold, led, switched to centre 3f out, hampered when headed over 1f out, soon weakened

14/1

4th

4

(8)

9th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The Defiant

9st 6lb

J: Joshua Bryan

T: Luke Dace

pressed leader, headway to lead but hung right over 1f out, headed and weakened inside final furlong

10/1

Form: 607290 CD

Last run: 3 days

W: 8st 4lb

13 yo Gelding

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
Has often run well on downhill tracks, including this one, and he ended a muted spell when a spunky runner-up on AW (5f) this month; subsequent turf runs offer no hope from so far out of the weights, though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11

(1)

30th Dec 2022

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Duke Of Firenze

9st 2lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: David C Griffiths

Classy sprinter in his time but rising 14 and recent efforts haven't suggested he is poised to gain a 13th career win.

14/1

9th

8

(10)

27th Dec 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Duke Of Firenze

8st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: David C Griffiths

took keen hold, in rear

16/1

6th

7

(8)

12th Dec 2022

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Duke Of Firenze

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: David C Griffiths

Classy sprinter in his time but he's rising 14 and is a shadow of his former glory; last two runs haven't been too bad but others appeal more for win purposes.

10/1

Betting Forcast

8/1 Atalis Bay, 6/1 Equality, 9/1 Indian Creak, 9/1 Night On Earth, 5/1 Dusky Lord, 5/1 Celsius, 10/1 Lord Riddiford, 25/1 Just Glamorous, 10/1 Stone Of Destiny, 12/1 Rayong, 12/1 Embour, 14/1 Lihou, 50/1 Ornate, 40/1 The Defiant, 100/1 Duke Of Firenze

Verdict

Dusky Lord did not have quite the same luck in running as the winner CELSIUS at Newmarket recently but the latter, with his proven C&D form and his tendency to do things by halves, can show he is still ahead of the handicapper. Dusky Lord is likely to play a part but perhaps last year's winner Lord Riddiford can prove the main danger with this race likely to have been the aim for some time now. Equality, Stone Of Destiny and Embour are all capable of taking a hand on their good days.[Emily Weber]

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Celsius

LAMBOURN:

Equality

The Times:

Dusky Lord

Daily Mirror:

Atalis Bay

Daily Mail:

Indian Creak

TOPSPEED:

Rayong

RP Ratings:

Stone Of Destiny

The Guardian:

Lord Riddiford

The Sun:

Equality

Daily Express:

Dusky Lord

POSTDATA:

Celsius

Telegraph:

Celsius

The Star:

Celsius

Daily Record:

Celsius