July 17 / 15.45 Chepstow

15.45

Good To Firm

Bailey Family Handicap

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 6f 16y
  • Class 5
  • 6 runners
SKY
View Course
Bailey Family Handicap

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £5.00
  • Place: £2.30

Form: 160444 D BF

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
AW maiden winner in January; yet to win a handicap but clear signs this summer that his mark is in range; should make another bold bid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(3)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 4

19:20 Windsor

Em Four

9st 10lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Two turf wins last summer and three AW wins this year, the latest at Wolverhampton in April; ran well when third of five at Salisbury next time but three lesser runs have followed and he needs to raise his game.

12/1

8th

5

(1)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:50 Newmarket (July)

Em Four

9st 7lb

J: William Carver

T: Jamie Osborne

Two turf wins last summer and three AW wins this year, the latest at Wolverhampton in April; ran well when third of five at Salisbury next time but two lesser runs have followed and he needs to raise his game.

20/1

7th

1

(5)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 10y

Class 4

14:13 Sandown

Em Four

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Has won over 6f and 5f on the AW since March and he's perfectly capable on turf, though perhaps not on ground easier than good judged on latest run at Chepstow.

10/1

100/30

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 3-2419 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Ran on well to collar Connie's Rose over C&D last month; pulled hard when disappointing at Kempton a fortnight ago but she's still a leading contender back on turf with Oisin Murphy booked to ride.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(1)

9th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 160y

Class 5

16:47 Bath

Papabella

8st 13lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Stuart Kittow

Denied Connie's Rose close home off 2lb higher at Chepstow in June (6f, good to firm), but behind that rival the last twice (softer ground not to blame) and her season is starting to trail off; others persuade more.

20/1

11

(12)

22nd Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:38 Leicester

Papabella

9st 6lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Stuart Kittow

Again inclined to hang left behind Connie's Rose last time, when well below market expectations; won over C&D this time last year but that was off a 7lb lower mark and she's weighted to her best.

10/1

2

(8)

2nd Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

16:20 Chepstow

Papabella

9st 7lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Stuart Kittow

Added a C&D win (a little to find with the runner-up Connie's Rose) in June to two over 6f (good to firm and soft) in 2024; shade below best at Ffos Las four weeks ago but can't rule out back on this course.

8/1

Form: 327723 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 10lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Six of her nine wins have come here and she has had a couple of near misses this time around, including when second to Papabella over C&D 31 days ago; 3lb better off with that rival today and possible a change of headgear will help (won when tried in cheekpieces for the first time and also when wearing a tongue-tie for the first time); contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(6)

16th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

17:00 Chepstow

Connies Rose

9st 7lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Grace Harris

Multiple course winner, the latest last September (6f, soft) off a 1lb lower mark; she has run some solid races in defeat this year but consistency has been an issue and others appeal more in today's field.

6/1

4th

6

(1)

30th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:37 Salisbury

Connies Rose

9st 2lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Grace Harris

Seven-time winner at Chepstow and finished a solid second, splitting subsequent winners, there last time; has form over this C&D and warrants respect up just 1lb.

9/4

2nd

2

(1)

15th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 16y

Class 5

15:30 Chepstow

Connies Rose

9st 7lb

J: William Carson

T: Grace Harris

Seven-time course winner (4-12 over this trip); has been running over 7f of late but should be all right with the return to 5f and is back at the right sort of level off her last winning mark; enters calculations.

7/1

11/4

Form: 375533 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
Both wins on AW but he has run two fine races on turf since cheekpieces were fitted, third over C&D before a career best at Newbury last week (6f, good to firm), keeping on well once headed; 2lb well in and should give it another good go.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(4)

18th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

16:59 Wolverhampton (AW)

Saffredi

9st 8lb

J: William Carson

T: Grace Harris

Ended 2024 by winning the corresponding race off 5lb lower; returned from 170 days off to win another C&D handicap in April (off this mark); not at his best in a Class 5 here two weeks ago but he was caught wide and shouldn't have that issue from stall 4; one to consider.

9/2

10

(9)

4th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Saffredi

9st 4lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Grace Harris

Handy sort who has been running well on turf lately including when second of five at Chepstow (6f, good) last time; looks interesting now returned here with his record over C&D reading 113; high on list.

6/1

2nd

3

(7)

19th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

19:00 Chepstow

Saffredi

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Grace Harris

Largely consistent since returning from break with 6f AW win in April, and lost out only by two necks when third in slightly better race than this at Newbury (6f, good to firm) last month; below that form when favourite over C&D soon afterwards but still features prominently in calculations.

4/1

OUR TIP

Form: 22-2 BF

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
He has finished second in all three starts in maiden/novice company (up to 6f on a variety of ground); could be sharper with last month's reappearance behind him and he moves into handicaps with the potential for more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(5)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:05 Salisbury

Rory Rocket

10st 5lb

J: Jude Fernandes

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Can miss the break and is usually ridden from off the pace; won a Brighton handicap (5.3f) by a wide margin on Tuesday for Jude Fernandes; that made it three wins from his last four starts and he is a leading player under his penalty.

4/6

1st

1

(2)

7th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 60y

Class 6

20:50 Brighton

Rory Rocket

9st 13lb

J: Jude Fernandes

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Scored on the AW in March and recorded his first win on turf over C&D (good) four weeks ago; tends to be slowly away but finishes strongly; holds strong claims to go in again off 4lb higher.

9/4

1st

4

(5)

9th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 60y

Class 5

20:51 Brighton

Rory Rocket

9st 0lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Gary & Josh Moore

Sole success in 12 starts came on the AW but he has run well on various surfaces on turf; has proved inconsistent since returning in February, though, and he can miss the break.

7/1

Form: 16456- D

Last run: 259 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Won three of his first four starts for Tony Carroll last season; the handicapper seemed to have his measure in the autumn but he returns from his 259-day break on a winning mark; betting to guide.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(11)

8th Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

20:55 Kempton (AW)

Sub Thirteen

8st 12lb

J: Georgia Dobie

T: Jeremy Scott

Got back on song for his new yard with third of ten in 1m Chepstow handicap 23 days ago; no forlorn hope off an easing mark.

11/1

3rd

1

(8)

15th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 14y

Class 6

17:05 Chepstow

Sub Thirteen

9st 9lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: Jeremy Scott

Has done most racing, and gained all his wins, in sprints, apparently not seeing it out in a few runs over 7f; having a first run in a 0-55 but has regressed this year and stamina would have to be a concern.

10/1

8th

6

(10)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

20:25 Chepstow

Sub Thirteen

9st 6lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: Jeremy Scott

A fair 6f scorer for Tony Carroll but largely below par this season for his present handler, 13th of 14 in 6f Windsor handicap two weeks ago; others are preferred.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £14.20
Straight Forecast £13.65
Trifecta £37.70

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Saffredi

The Star:

Rory Rocket

SPOTLIGHT:

Papabella

LAMBOURN:

Em Four

Daily Record:

Rory Rocket

TOPSPEED:

Saffredi

POSTDATA:

Saffredi

The Times:

Saffredi

Telegraph:

Saffredi

The Guardian:

Saffredi

Daily Mail:

Saffredi

Daily Mirror:

Saffredi

The Sun:

Saffredi

D Express:

Papabella