2021 Irish Derby Ante-Post Preview – 25/1 Selection Fernando Can Fly
2021 Irish Derby Ante-Post Preview
It’s Irish Derby weekend at the Curragh and in anticipation of what promises to be a vintage renewal of this prestigious classic, we are back with an ante-post preview of the big race. Having successfully identified 50/1 Derby winner Adayar, RacingTips have found a 25/1 selection for the Irish equivalent that they feel will outrun his odds.
Definition High On Betting List
It’s a mixed forecast on the build-up to Saturday’s Irish Derby. Some weather sites are forecasting a good drop of rain in the next few days, whilst others are expecting next to nothing.
On the basis that there is little rain, this year’s Irish Derby is blown wide open.
Current market leader High Definition was 2-2 as a juvenile – both wins coming here – but he was below his best in the Dante on return when two lengths behind Hurricane Lane.
This greater stamina test is almost certain to suit, as will the return to this track, but he probably wouldn’t want the ground to turn up anywhere near as quick as it is likely to, and therefore the current 7/4 available makes little appeal.
Derby Form On Show
Hurricane Lane and the supplemented Mojo Star bid to frank the Derby form, but much like High Definition neither would be at their best on rattling fast ground, and it remains to be seen how much their respective Epsom runs took out of them.
Mac Swiney finished fourth in the aforementioned Derby and has winning classic form to his name courtesy of his Irish 2000 Guineas win.
He is a hardy horse and his overall profile on the back of a defeat is exemplary (4-4) yet he looks another that would want significant rainfall and it remains to be seen whether he really wants this 1m4f trip.
Eagle Has Potential To Fly
Lone Eagle looks an interesting contender here on the back of his Cocked Hat win, a performance that can be marked up as he had to concede five pounds to the remainder of the field.
Frankie Dettori is a notable booking for Lone Eagle, but whether he really wants fast ground is far from certain, and it is enough to swerve him at this stage, albeit that would change should conditions worsen significantly.
One horse who will appreciate fast ground conditions, however, is FERNANDO VICHI, and he looks worth chancing at around the 25/1 mark.
A very impressive winner of a Leopardstown maiden last summer, Fernando Vichi twice chased home Bolshoi Ballet in Group 3’s at that venue earlier this year.
He finished ahead of Mac Swiney in the most recent of those, yet that rival finds himself priced up at 8/1 here and there just appears to be too big a difference in prices between the two.
Fernando Vichi appreciated the step up to this distance when landing a Listed event back at Leopardstown last time out and the 3/4 length margin of victory achieved there can be upgraded as Fernando Vichi just appeared to get a little lonely out in front.
If Gavin Ryan can keep hold of him for longer on Saturday it would be no surprise to see him right in the thick of the action in what looks a wide-open race.