Brown Advisory Handicap Chase Tips – Espoir De Guye can claim Cheltenham Festival glory
Brown Advisory Tips
Daryl Carter (@DarylCarter7) gives the latest of his Cheltenham day 3 tips here as he runs the rule over the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase.
Cheltenham Festival handicaps are always tough to predict but it has often paid to be rated in the mid-to-low 140’s in this race. This contest also produces well-handicapped horses who can go on to better things and here are a select few in the betting who it could pay to focus on.
Brown Advisory Tips – Primed for huge run
GLENLOE Has failed to win a race since 2016 but was rated as high as 144 when last seen in Britain. Connections have pitched him in the deep end on three occasions this season, including behind superstar Faugheen on reappearance, and he has suspiciously been given a very easy time of things.
He has shown enough over fences to think that he can make his presence felt in handicap company and, on the pick of his form, his Irish handicap mark of 135 (will likely get another 7lb) makes him look a tempting proposition here.
He boasts previous Cheltenham Festival form when a nose second in the 2018 Pertemps Handicap Hurdle behind leading Gold Cup contender Delta Work, and he could also run in the Ultima Handicap Chase rather than here, but he rates a danger to all if showing up.
Improver has fantastic chance
ESPOIR DE GUYE is a progressive young horse who fits the profile of this race and has already improved to the tune of 24lb in three runs this term.
The form of his Ascot run when last seen in December has been boosted on more than one occasion and he comes into this race with a fantastic chance. Could rate much higher yet and it could be wise to use a couple of your Cheltenham free bets on him.
Irish contender on decent mark
EX PATRIOT was a talented hurdler, is a winner of two of his eight chase runs and has been seen over a variety of trips this term.
Connections gave him a run over course and distance on New Year’s Day and he showed up very well before a mistake at the last under a sympathetic ride likely cost him a place in the frame.
He finished nicely clear of the remainder that day and the front three have all gone up in the ratings since suggesting that a 1lb lower mark could well be in Ex Patriot’s favour. A leading Irish contender on Cheltenham Festival day three.
Don’t write Cepage off
CEPAGE may be too high in the weights for this contest, but he does have a class angle about him and with a fantastic record at this course you write him off at this year’s Cheltenham Festival at your peril.
Irish contender is under the radar
Beakstown is considered by many to have been laid out for a tilt at Cheltenham but I think differently.
He is one to avoid and has shown a poor jumping technique in his three starts this term, while he also showed a dislike for the Cheltenham track when pulling up in the Ballymore Novice Hurdle last season.
He looks more a work in progress than a plot job so please don’t use your Cheltenham bonus offers on this one.
Don’t rule out this 50/1 shot
Four of the last five runnings of this contest has been on ground with good in the description and that could be a huge positive for the chances of Count Meribel.
He has run with credit this season on soft ground, despite dropping down the handicap to a mark of 142 from a height of 147. His past three runs at Cheltenham have come on soft ground, but he was a winner of the Steel Plate Novice Chase back in 2018 when the going was good and he rates a dark horse in here at a wild 50/1.
Brown Advisory Chase big-race verdict
Its tough to pin your colours to one until the weights are out but I’ve had a small each-way bet on 50/1 shot Count Meribel and he and Espoir De De Guye have been added to my Cheltenham Festival Tips.