Cheltenham Festival Tote Placepot tips – Selections and permutation for day three of the Festival
Cheltenham Festival Tote Placepot tips on day three
The ever-popular Tote Placepot will again prove a big attraction for punters on day three of the Cheltenham Festival as they look to land a big win for relatively little outlay and many will try their hand at landing a share of the pot that can offer big returns, especially if the favourites flop!
One of the biggest attractions of playing the Tote Placepot lies in the fact that a punters’ selections don’t need to win the race; they only need to run well enough to make the frame and reach the places which is determined by the type of race and the number of runners.
Punters can also choose more than one horse per race of the Tote Placepot although while this increases the chances of winning, it also increases the punter’s stakes.
Understanding the Tote Placepot
The popular Tote Placepot involves choosing one or more runners in each of the first six races of a particular meeting and the number of available places per race varies depending on the type of race and the number of runners.
The more selections per race the higher the stakes and to work out how much stakes to pay multiply the numbers of selections together in each race. For example, if you have two horses in every race your permutation would be 2x2x2x2x2x2 = 64 bets; bear in mind the minimum total stake for a Tote Placepot is £1 with minimum unit stake 10p.
Ideally to win big the favourites should fail to make the places and as a rule of thumb when playing the Tote Placepot the more favourites who lose out the bigger the likely payout should be.
That’s not to say don’t use favourites in Placepot bets; sometimes choosing the favourite is a sensible play, such as when there are relatively few runners in a race or if the favourite is well ahead in the betting market and likely to be hard to keep out of the places.
However, to win big on the Tote Placepot it is best that favourites underperform and bigger dividends tend to come when less-fancied runners make the places over favourites. To illustrate, day one saw favourites make the frame in all six races of the placepot so the returned dividend was small at £5.80 to a £1 winning line; while the second day was a bit better at £25.70 per £1 winning line but four favourites made the frame while some fancied horses also placed in the races where favourites missed out which helped to keep the dividend low.
Our Tote Placepot selections on day two returned four winning lines and we’ve looked over the third day racecard at the Cheltenham Festival and give our day three Tote placepot tips as we try to land another share of the pot.
2021 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL PLACEPOT TIPS – DAY THREE SELECTIONS
1:20 Cheltenham – Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (Registered as The Golden Miller) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4f
6 ENVOI ALLEN – Top-class chaser who is unbeaten in his career over obstacles and a dual-winner at the Cheltenham Festival.
The Muhtathir gelding is 3-3 this term over fences and is likely to prove very hard to beat. He is very much a Festival banker and it will be a huge shock if he were to come up short here and even moreso if he finishes out of the frame.
1:55 Cheltenham – Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m
3 BRINKLEY – Won on his debut for David Pipe having previously been trained in Ireland and bounced back from a blip at Exeter on his reappearance to register back-to-back wins at Wincanton and Exeter, the latter coming over this trip.
He won a shade comfortably there and while bare form requires improvement having been raised 8lbs he could have more to give.
5 IMPERIAL ALCAZAR – Proved progressive last term winning three of his four starts over hurdles which included here last New Years’ Day when narrowly beating Protektorat.
Fergal O’Brien’s charge looked in need of the run when disappointing at Haydock behind Main Fact but stepped up with that under his belt to rout rivals at Warwick next time and while a 8lbs rise demands more he looks one to keep onside with further improvement likely and every chance he can go close.
10 STORM ARISING – Has found a jolt of improvement since being stepped up in trip this season, winning two of his three starts and Paul Nicholls’ charge can continue to progress.
Last seen beating Ask Dillon at Chepstow in January he has form on better ground and still an unexposed sort over this longer trip he can continue on his upward curve. A 4lbs rise for his last run ought not to prevent a bold show and he’s 2-2 under Bryony Frost so could run well.
2:30 Cheltenham – Ryanair Chase (Registered as The Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4½f
4 FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES – Consistent high-class performer who while seemingly hard to win with rarely runs a bad race and Joseph O’Brien’s charge has made the frame on both previous Cheltenham Festival starts.
The Kapgarde gelding is winless since taking the 2019 Drinmore Novices’ Chase but he found only Put The Kettle On too strong in last season’s Arkle; that form has been boosted and he’s finished runner-up in two of his three runs this term, latterly behind Chacun Pour Soi.
A return to this longer trip should suit and he’s not to be underestimated if running his race again.
8 MELON – Has been hard to win with since scoring at Leopardstown back in 2019 but Willie Mullins’ charge rarely runs a bad race here and was just denied by Samcro in last season’s Marsh Novices’ Chase.
Has made the frame twice this year but let down by his jumping when last seen finishing last of five in the Irish Gold Cup. It would be no surprise to see him bounce back though.
13 SAMCRO – High-class performer at his best and comes alive in the spring, only once being beaten in the first half of the year (fell) and is 2-2 at the Cheltenham Festival with wins in the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle and Marsh Novices’ Chase where he beat Melon who reopposes here.
Possibly needed his first run back at Down Royal and likely failed to see out three miles latest in the Savills Chase; but he’s dangerous to discount back here and his record when fresh offers hope he can run well.
3:05 Cheltenham – Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m
9 PAISLEY PARK – Outstanding stayer who won this in 2019 with one of the great performances in the race during a seven-race winning run; but he relinquished his crown twelve months ago although there were mitigating circumstances behind that defeat.
Emma Lavelle’s charge has looked as good as ever this term having been nursed back to full health, only narrowly denied by Thyme Hill at Newbury but gaining revenge in the Long Walk Hurdle next time.
He looks hard to beat here assuming all is well and he should go close in his bid to regain his crown.
3:40 Cheltenham – Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4½f
7 FARCLAS – Former Triumph Hurdle winner who looked a hugely progressive chaser with three wins from three starts during the 2019 summer.
The Jukebox Jury gelding has returned from a lengthy absence in good form, shaping as if he’d be better for the run behind Daly Tiger at Punchestown before making the frame in a pair of valuable handicaps at Leopardstown in the big festivals.
Only beaten three lengths latest behind Off You Go he is only 3lbs higher and better ground will suit so a big run is expected from Denise Foster’s charge.
8 HAPPY DIVA – Likes it here and while it’s been a little while since she last tasted success Kerry Lee’s charge can run well.
The King’s Theatre mare won the 2019 BetVictor Gold Cup and finished runner-up here in last season’s Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate.
Things haven’t quite gone to plan since and she was a shade disappointing when last seen behind Annie Mc at Warwick although the handicapper has given her a chance easing her 4lbs for that defeat and back at this venue she can be expected to fare better.
4:15 Cheltenham – Parnell Properties Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered as The Dawn Run) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m1f
2 ROSEYS HOLLOW – Got the better of Royal Kahala and Gauloise who both reoppose when winning the Solerina Mares’ Hurdle at Fairyhouse and Jonathan Sweeney’s charge likely has more to offer.
The Beat Hollow mare had won previously at the same venue and found some improvement to run out a ready two lengths’ winner. She can run well again here assuming the better ground doesn’t prove an inconvenience and with further improvement anticipated she ought to be in the mix.
14 TELMESOMETHINGGIRL – Representing the all-conquering De Bromhead/Blackmore combination the Stowaway mare has solid form in the book and can go well in this contest.
A three-time winner this term, beating Darrens Hope at Listowel in September – that rival has won twice since and placed in Grade Two company – she was only three lengths’ adrift of Coral Cup winner Heaven Help Us when last seen and there could be better to come from her on that evidence despite her rise in the handicap.
Good ground suits and with trainer and jockey in top form at the Festival she could deliver a big performance.
CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL PLACEPOT TIPS – DAY THREE PERMUTATION
1 x 3 x 3 x 1 x 2 x 2 = 36 bets