Stayers Hurdle tips – best Cheltenham tips as Paisley Park attempts to defend his Festival crown
Stayers Hurdle Tips
Daryl Carter (@darylcarter7) casts his eye over the Stayers Hurdle and gives his Cheltenham Festival day three tips.
This years Stayers Hurdle market suggests that’s it is a one-horse race and many would struggle to disagree with that but let’s try to assess any potential dangers as I reveal my Stayers’ Hurdle tips
Stayers Hurdle Tips – the staying superstar
There is only one place to start in the Stayers’ Hurdle and that’s at the head of the market, with PAISLEY PARK odds-on in many places. Last season’s story of the Cheltenham Festival in many ways, he looks a solid bet even at those short odds to retain his title.
A winner of the Grade 2 Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury on return saw him take care of 2016 Stayers Hurdle winner Thistlecrack in workmanlike fashion, but it was on his latest win in the Cleeve Hurdle on Cheltenham Trials Day, where he really laid a marker, brushing aside his closest market rival If The Cap Fits, who could only manage fifth.
An outstanding record of four Grade 2 victories and two Grade 1 wins and unbeaten in his last seven starts, it really is difficult to pick holes in his performances. He fits every single race stat and trend for the race in March and the manner in which he races suggests that we have not seen the ceiling of his ability at this stage. In terms of Cheltenham tips, he is simply impossible to oppose.
A big challenger but will she run?
Outstanding mare BENIE DES DIEUX could pose the biggest danger if she turns up in this race, but that looks unlikely. She has been at her brilliant best in her two starts over three miles, winning a Grade 1 in France when beating the French superstar hurdler De Bon Coeur, who had been beaten only once in four years, by six lengths and winning the Galmoy Hurdle.
Plenty of the races trends sit in her favour and we could be in for one hell of a race if she shows up on Cheltenham Festival day three.
Chase campaign aborted
Last season’s Ballymore Novice Hurdle winner CITY ISLAND has caught many eyes now his chase campaign has been abandoned. He failed to impress over fences in two starts this term and the change of plan this late in the day after schooling all summer over fences is not ideal.
He is yet to run over a trip this far in his career but the Ballymore win at last year’s Cheltenham Festival suggests that the extra three furlongs should pose no problem, but with the front two in the market such strong candidates, it’s hard to envisage him playing a leading role in this contest.
New kid on the block
The Supreme Novices Hurdle winner in 2018, SUMMERVILLE BOY, has had his price cut to the fury of each-way punters after a good showing on his first start over three miles when runner-up to Paisley Park in the Cleeve Hurdle on Trials Day.
Summerville Boy made all of the running, jumped fluently for the first time in his career and looked to have the market leader in trouble for a nanosecond before Paisley Park’s overdrive kicked into gear. Summerville Boy may well have more to offer over this sort of trip in the future but it’s asking a lot for him to reverse Trials Day form.
Best of the outsiders
Looking through the market is like clutching at straws to find anything to take on Paisley Park such is his dominance over this division, so if you’re going to take a chance each-way why not have a crack at a huge price?
The 66/1 about TOBEFAIR is not to be laughed at. He ran a mighty race to finish fourth in the Cleeve Hurdle behind Paisley Park in a race that favoured those on the front end and his second-place finish in the Pertempts Handicap Final last season at the Cheltenham Festival gave him likeable claims for hitting the frame. His form figures at the course in recent times read 43112 and with a likeable attitude and a strongly run race to suit, my Cheltenham tip is that there are far worse bets at shorter odds to be found.
Stayers Hurdle Tips – Big race verdict
It’s incredibly hard to take on Paisley Park in this Cheltenham Day 3 highlight as he ticks a lot of boxes including winning the race last year. However there may be a bigger price angle to exploit in this race with 66/1 shot TOBEFAIR. His run in the Cleeve Hurdle in January was impressive and he offers each way punters with a rewarding alternative to the hot favourite.