Fred Winter Tips – 25/1 shot can land hot Festival handicap
Fred Winter Tips
Daryl Carter (@DarylCarter7) gives the latest of his Cheltenham tips here as he runs the rule over this Day 2 race, the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle.
This race had proved notoriously difficult for punters to work out, but Band Of Outlaws was sent off 7/2 favourite when winning last year.
Only two favourites in the past ten years have obliged here, with six of the last ten winners going off at double-figure odds and the shortest price of those was 25/1.
I have taken a somewhat delicate look at the head of the market and punters could well be advised to use their Cheltenham free bets on this race. Rather than splashing your own cash, why not bet with the bookmakers’ money?
Fred Winter Tips – Elliott on same path
BATTLE OF WILLS has had just the one start for trainer Gordon Elliott, who won this race with Veneer Of Charm in 2018.
Battle Of Wills was a cosy winner on hurdles debut at Navan with a, let’s say intended winning margin of half a length over a 100/1 outsider.
Jockey Davy Russell clearly had plenty of horse under him and there is every reason to think that this will be the target for a horse to get fairly handicapped before Cheltenham.
Elliott ran Lethal Steps in the same race last term before going on to run in this race on Cheltenham Festival Day 2.
Fred Winter Tips – Leading contender
WOLF PRINCE has twice finished behind leading Triumph Hurdle contender Aspire Tower in his four starts, but is also twice a winner and sits on a handy looking Irish handicap mark of 135. He will need to take another step forward but looks the ideal type for this race.
Fred Winter Tips – Improvement needed from French star
ARAMAX finished behind Wolf Prince at Fairyhouse in January but boasts a positive reputation from France and it’s very early days with him still.
At the time of writing, he sits on an Irish mark of 126 and that could underestimate him with improvement certainly forthcoming.
Fred Winter Tips – Big weight, big chance
MICK PASTOR is a similar price for this race and the Triumph Hurdle and an opening handicap mark of 140 looks more than fair on his impressive performance at Ludlow.
The form of his French exploits are tough to assess but recent form has been boosted by those behind on more than one occasion, and the visual aspects of his Ludlow performance suggests he could be useful. Connections must be tempted to come here even off likely top weight.
Fred Winter Tips – Fancy Some Botox?
BOTOX HAS is trained by Gary Moore, who is likely to separate this horse from Goshen in the Triumph.
Botox Has looks fairly treated after finishing within three lengths of leading Triumph Hurdle fancy Allmankind, who has been given a rating of 148, and the pair finished nicely clear of the remainder (9l). The third has since gone up 12lb in the ratings after winning a competitive handicap and the fourth 4lb.
Botox Has looks fairly treated on that run and has improved since. He could be well worth adding to your Cheltenham tips.
Fred Winter Tips – Outsider to back
It would be unwise not to pick one out at a big price given the record of outsiders and I was quite taken with the performance of Sir Psycho at Wincanton.
He was impressive, running out a ready winner that day and while he may have a little to find through collateral form lines with a few of these, he is a rapid improver .
He is battle-hardened already and at 25/1 he would be a fair poke in this competitive heat.