Friday’s 5,089/1 Lucky 15 – Four Confident Picks For 2nd September
Four meetings go to post across the UK, including the next round of the Racing League at Windsor. Our Lucky 15 for Thursday, 1st September includes two on the Racing League card, plus two runners at Salisbury.
Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Thursday Lucky 15.
*Odds correct at time of posting – 4:45pm Thursday 1st September*
Amor De Mi Vida (3.38 Haydock) – 10/1
This race is a bit of a tricky affair, but it could be worth siding with Archie Watson’s AMOR DE MI VIDA, who has an excellent record at the course. In her three races here, she’s won two and placed in the other.
If you ignore her recent run at Salisbury, which was too bad to be true, her record this year reads 321212 (2-6), so a placed finish looks the minimum we can expect. The fact she’s won twice over C&D from three races suggests this course brings the best out of her and a win isn’t out of reach.
Hollie Doyle is a solid booking and has been on board for three of her five career victories, so a bold bid at the selections favourite course looks likely and she’s a strong each-way fancy.
Recommended BetAMOR DE MI VIDA (3:38 Haydock) 10/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Frankelio (4.01 Newcastle) – 13/2
The switch to an all-weather track looked to have sparked a bit of a revival in FRANKELIO, and returning the same track on Thursday could see him make a long overdue return to the winners enclosure.
Micky Hammond’s runner finished three quarters of a length behind Old News who lines up again here, with our selection now much better off at the weights with that runner. He was also short of room when bidding to make his run, and with a clearer path would’ve undoubtedly gone closer.
Rab Havlin takes over in the saddle and he’s in fine form of late (21% strike-rate in the past two weeks), and having won off a mark of 69 in the past, Frankelio is more than capable of winning off 57. The switch to AW looks to be a positive move, so we’re confident of a big performance.
Recommended BetFRANKELIO (4:01 Newcastle) 13/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Dubai Mirage (4.20 Ascot) – 9/2
DUBAI MIRAGE has run some excellent races this year, and she looks an excellent price against the two at the top of the market – Rebel Territory and Greatgadian.
Having started the year over at Meydan, she returned with a solid second at Nottingham behind Dark Shift, who followed up at Royal Ascot next time out. He then went to Salisbury and ran a cracking race to win off top weight, with recent Listed scorer Rousay back in fourth.
His most recent run was better than the result looks, finishing just over three lengths behind Tempus. That horse has since gone out and won two Group 3 races, so the form has taken a nice boost!
Jockey Tom Marquand is on board for the first time, but he does have a 20% strike-rate in the past five years when riding for Saeed Bin Suroor, so that’s no bad thing. He’s more than capable of winning a race of this nature.
Recommended BetDUBAI MIRAGE (4:20 Ascot) 9/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Love De Vega (5.25 Ascot) – 5/1
The last race may have come too soon for LOVE DE VEGA, and with a bit of a break he should be well up to winning the final race on the Ascot card.
After over a year off, he returned at Newmarket and resumed his winning ways in comfortable style, making all and pushed out to win cosily enough. Connections decided to put him up in class just one week later and that clearly came too soon for him, finishing fifth and outpaced in the final furlong.
He drops back into class 4 company here, and following a break he should prove difficult to beat. We expect to see him go off much shorter than this, so the current price of 5/1 looks excellent value.
Frankie Dettori is still one of the best in the business and knows Ascot like the back of his hand – he’s had 1470 rides there and he’s only ridden more winners at Newmarket than at the Berkshire course, so he’s a solid jockey booking. He was on board for Love De Vega’s win at Newmarket and he’ll hopefully steer him to another winner here!