Friday’s 5,131/1 Lucky 15 – Four E/W Fancies For 16th September

Four meetings go to post across the UK on Friday 16th September, with action coming from Ayr, Kempton, Newbury and Newton Abbot. Our lucky 15 focuses on the two flat turf meetings, with two tips for Newbury and two for Ayr’s card.

Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Friday Lucky 15.

*Odds correct at time of posting – 4:20pm Thursday 15th September*

Shandy Star (2.00 Ayr) – 8/1

SHANDY STAR does her best work in smaller fields and this ten runner affair looks right up her street. With Clifford Lee back on board (who was on for her last win), she looks to have a superb chance in this. 

She was a short head behind Jm Jungle last time out when finishing third in a similar event at Hamilton last month, but she couldn’t find a gap when bidding to make her run and if she gets in a better position she can finish ahead of that rival here. 

Of her rivals, Ramazan and Jm Jungle will be in the mix, and Reward Smile will be interesting on his handicap debut, but trainer Roger Fell has a solid record when sending horses to Ayr (25% strike-rate this year) and he can land another winner with Shandy Star.

Crystallium (2.18 Newbury) – 9/2

She may be short odds here, but CRYSTALLIUM was hugely impressive when winning on debut and has a big chance of following up here. 

It’s hard to read too much into the form of that race as only two have come out since, but she did beat plenty of horses who already had race experience, including a previous winner in Peace Of Mine. She travelled strongly throughout in that race and could’ve been called the winner a long way out. This is a step up in class but she’s clearly a talented filly and has arguably the best form of those who have run already here. 

Peony looks to be the main danger after going close in a class 2 on debut, but trainer Tom Clover is operating at a 35% strike-rate with his 2YO’s this year and there’s every chance Crystallium can follow up that impressive debut win with another victory here.

Music Society (3.45 Ayr) – 7/1

The Bronze Cup looks wide open as you would expect, but one we’re confident of at least running into a place is the 2019 winner of the race, MUSIC SOCIETY

He has a mixed record of 07921958842 (1 win and 3 places from 11 races) this year, but that improves to 92152 (1 win and 2 places from 5 races) when only looking at races over 6f on good ground. 

He was just touched off last time out at Thirsk, and would’ve probably won had he not had a wall of horses in front of him when trying to make his effort. He runs here off a mark of 79, which he’s more than capable of winning off, having won the 2019 renewal off of 81. 

Of the rest, jockey Paul Mulrennan was on board Music Society when he won in 2019 and also steered Call Me Ginger to victory last year, so his ride Le Beau Garcon has to be taken seriously. But, Music Society looks the most solid option here and is our pick to continue Tim Easterby’s fine record at Ayr this year.

Secret Box (5.05 Newbury) – 6/1

Vee Sight got the better of SECRET BOX at Sandown last month, but that was the latters first run for over a year, and providing he comes on for that run we expect them to reverse placings and Sir Mark Prescott’s gelding can land a second career victory in the finale at Newbury. 

He was just under three lengths behind Vee Sight in that run at Sandown, but the majority of those that finished ahead of him that day were racing prominently and it didn’t suit his hold up style. He’s 1lb better off with that rival today and this is a steep drop in grade. 

He’s proved in the past that he improves with each run of the season and we’re expecting a much better performance this time. The lightly-raced 4YO can land this, with Vee Sight chasing him home.