Friday’s race of the day – Tips for the big Mares’ Handicap at Chepstow
Jon Vine takes a look through the runners in the Mares’ Handicap Hurdle at Chepstow and provides readers with his tips in Friday’s race of the day on Friday 17th January.
As part of our Daily Tips, I’ve taken a look through the runners in tomorrow’s feature at Chepstow and tipped an outsider to run well beyond her odds.
Friday’s Race Of The Day at Chepstow
Ended long winless run with a surprise victory at Exeter on New Years Day, beating a couple of promising juveniles in the process. Has failed to win when rated 104 or above. Now back up to 106. Could have a say, but others are prefered.
Comfortably beaten on all five of her career starts so far. Best RPR she has managed is 96, so opening handicap mark of 101 looks a little harsh. Holds little appeal.
Just A Thought
Still a maiden after nine starts over jumps. Unlucky to run into some useful sorts during her novice campaign in 2017/18. Ran well to finish fourth in a high-quality race on return from 540-days out in October. Unlucky again to finish second on most recent handicap start. Has plenty of talent, but will to win has to be questioned and she’s carrying plenty of weight.
Won nicely on heavy ground at Southwell on first start of new season. Disappointed when fourth behind Daytime Ahead last time though. Both wins have come over two miles on the back of breaks. Has a little to prove here.
Queen Of The Wind
Won twice when rated 104 at the start of last season. Was then well-beaten in the same race at Taunton two years in a row, with a year-long absence in between. This mark could be beyond her.
Didn’t enjoy running through the summer. Has won three of last five starts, placing on the other two occasions. Up to a career-high mark now, but will definitely see out the trip. Won on heavy in a bumper too.
Didn’t appreciate drop back to two miles the last day. Has won two of last four starts over two-and-a-half, and ran well to place second under 12-00 on heavy ground in December. One to watch.
Hasn’t enjoyed chasing of late. Won over hurdles on first start of the new season though, and hurdles mark of 117 doesn’t look excessive. Has won twice on soft, but was beaten in this race in 2018 off this very mark.
Just A Thought really deserves a win in her form book, but she could struggle carrying top-weight on ground this deep. Runasimi River comes in with leading claims, but I’m going to bank on an upset and back the outsider of the eight, SHE’S GINA (14/1 Coral) at a massive price.
Over two-and-a-half miles, She’s Gina has shown a good level of form, running up to an RPR of 110 on two occasions. Seamus Mullins’ charge has decent form on heavy ground too, having run a blinder under Gina Andrews at Southwell in December.
A recreation of that run could see She’s Gina give the market leaders a real scare. It’s a big risk, but 14/1 looks a cracking each-way price.