ITV Racing Selections – Tips For All Nine ITV Races On Saturday
It’s Ayr Gold Cup day and the ITV cameras are showing five of the key races from their card, along with four big races from Newbury – including the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes.
We talk you through our selections for each race in the afternoon, including our the four Group races across the cards. Check those out below, alongside today’s best bets – which are free to view on-site now.
*Odds Correct at time of posting – 2:20pm Friday 16th September*
Dutch Decoy (1.20 Ayr) – 16/1
This is a wide open handicap but we’ve found an interesting stat to rule some out. In the last 10 years, no horse has won this race carrying 9st 6lb or higher. That leaves just five runners, plus one extra who is effectively carrying 9st 5lb thanks to the jockey’s claim, and that’s DUTCH DECOY.
The Charlie & Mark Johnston runner has been running well of late, winning three and placing in two of his last six races, and he can run well again in this. He disappointed on the all-weather last time out but he’s been running well on turf and will appreciate the return to this surface.
He did well to finish third on his most recent turf run at Ripon, where he motored home on the outside when it paid to be nearer the pace and closer to the rail. A repeat of that effort will see him go close here and we think he’s been missed in the betting. Hopefully he can get us off to a fantastic start to the ITV racing!
Recommended BetDUTCH DECOY (1:20 Ayr) 16/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Dubai Future (1.40 Newbury) – 10/3
Godolphin have the top three in the betting, and it’s one of those who we’re siding with – DUBAI FUTURE. After a poor reappearance run at Sandown, he was a cosy winner in the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot, before a solid third in the York Stakes.
The form of that Wolferton Stakes win has worked out well, with the runner-up Cadillac going close in Listed company next time out, and the fourth-placed Regal Reality winning a Group 3 last time out.
Siskany hasn’t been seen on course for over 6 months and may not appreciate the drop down in trip here, and last year’s winner Solid Stone has disappointed in his last couple of runs. Having gone close on his sole race here previously, we’re backing Dubai Future to get us off to a winning start at Newbury.
Recommended BetDUBAI FUTURE (1:40 Nebwury) 10/3 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Phantom Flight (1.55 Ayr) – 13/8
PHANTOM FLIGHT looks banker material on Saturday following a hugely impressive display at York’s Ebor Festival, where he bolted up by five lengths and looked one destined for pattern company.
He demolished the field last time, staying on powerfully in the final two furlongs. None of his rivals could live with him as he powered clear – and the form has been backed up by the time figures.
Previous to that win, he finished just over three lengths behind New London when third at Newmarket. The winner that day has since won the Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood and was runner-up in the St Leger, so that gives a welcome boost to the form of our selection.
Phantom Flight is clear on ratings in this and is a horse who should have plenty more to come. Simply put, he should take the world of beating in this.
Recommended BetPHANTOM FLIGHT (1:55 Ayr) 13/8 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Manaccan (2.15 Newbury) – 7/2
There’s a couple of key stats to focus on when looking at this race:
- Just one winner at double-figure odds in the last ten renewals.
- 9 of the last 10 winners were less than 6 years old.
That narrows it down to three – Manaccan, Mitbaahy and Diligent Harry. Of the three, we’re confident that MANACCAN will continue both trends and run out a comfortable winner.
It was hard not to be impressed by his performance when winning the Scarborough Stakes last time out, and backed up his previous win in the Shergar Cup Dash. Look Out Louis beat him the time before that, but there’s a big swing in the weights that should see that form reversed here.
Look Out Louis is becoming a bit of a specialist over this trip and he’s earned his chance in Group company here. This looks an excellent opportunity for him to gain a third successive win over 5f.
Hyperfocus (2.30 Ayr) – 16/1
The Silver Cup is wide open, but trainer Tim Easterby has won two of the last three renewals and we’re backing him to land another winner with HYPERFOCUS.
Snash may be his best prospect in the betting, but Hyperfocus has been running consistently well all year, and he’s a huge price in this. Having won once and placed in four of his nine races this year, a place is the minimum we’re expecting from him.
Nine of the last ten winners returned at double-figure odds, so we’re happy to avoid those towards the head of the betting, and coming out of stall 23 is a boost, with four of the last nine runners coming from stalls 20 or higher.
Recommended BetHYPERFOCUS (2:30 Ayr) 16/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Shouldvebeenaring (2.50 Newbury) – 11/4
Sakheer could be absolutely anything here, and it’s no surprise to see him top of the betting following his impressive showing at Haydock last time out. But it’s hard to know what he beat that day, and at the odds we’d sooner side with SHOULDVEBEENARING.
Richard Hannon’s colt was supplemented for this, and has gone from strength to strength in his four runs so far, with his Listed win last time out the best form on offer here. Al Karrar finished over five lengths behind him that day, and he had previously finished runner-up in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes.
Sakheer could romp home and prove he’s a horse to take seriously, but with doubts about that form, we’re happy to take him on with Shouldvebeenaring.
Recommended BetSHOULDVEBEENARING (2:50 Newbury) 11/4 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Bonny Angel (3.05 Ayr) – 6/1
Queen Me will be a tough nut to crack after her neck second in the Lowther Stakes, but we’re taking her on with BONNY ANGEL. She was an impressive winner at Doncaster last time out and deserves a crack in Group company.
Clive Cox’s filly ran out a four length winner that day, and a further three lengths back to third placed Misty Blues. Although the form is yet to be proved from that race, the form of her previous win at Leicester has worked out nicely.
Favourites don’t have a great record in the race (just two winners in the last nine years), so the biggest threat to the selection could be All The Time, for the red hot Simon & Ed Crisford yard. However, Bonnie Angel keeps improving and can make this first start in group company a winning one.
Recommended BetBONNY ANGEL (3:05 Ayr) 6/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Ottoman Fleet (3.25 Newbury) – 6/1
Warren Point heads the betting after his win in the Kinscem Handicap at Glorious Goodwood, but at the odds we’d rather try and take him on, and OTTOMAN FLEET looks to have an excellent chance of getting back to winning ways here.
He won on his sole attempt at this trip, when winning the Listed Fairway Stakes despite stumbling badly at the start, and the form of that race has worked out well. Three of the five horses who finished behind him have won since, and the other two have gone close in Listed races too.
He failed to handle the step up in class and trip in the King Edward VII Stakes last time out, but back down in trip and class he can gain a deserved victory at the main expense of Warren Point and Special Envoy, who are second and third choice respectively.
Recommended BetOTTOMAN FLEET (3:25 Newbury) 6/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Bielsa (3.40 Ayr) – 10/1
On to the big one! The Ayr Gold Cup is always a cracking race, and we’re keen to side with last year’s winner BIELSA. He won off 98 last year and is back down to 99 here, the lowest mark he’s had since that win last year.
The Kevin Ryan gelding has been running well of late, including a third in the Chipchase Stakes in the summer, and he’s been dropped 1lb since his fifth in the Queensferry Stakes when last seen in July.
He ran out a cosy winner of the race last year, and considering he raced alone on the near rail you can boost that effort. He had plenty of these in behind last year and he should be primed for a bold bid at making it back-to-back wins in the race here.