Cheltenham tips – Can Faugheen raise the roof in the Marsh?
Marsh Novice Chase Tips
Daryl Carter (@DarylCarter7) gives the latest of his Cheltenham tips in the Marsh Novice Chase, which takes place on Cheltenham Festival Day three, Thursday, March 12.
Formally known as the JLT Novices’ Chase. this Grade 1 contest is difficult to assess with many of the runners having options over shorter or longer trips. Ante-post betting in this race can often prove a minefield but here’s a look at the runners at the head of the market below.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips – Raising the roof
FAUGHEEN heads the market and the 12-year-old will bring the house down if he wins here. He’s been impressive in three starts over fences to date and his most eye-catching victory came on his latest start when he won his second Grade 1 over the bigger obstacles at the Dublin Racing Festival.
On paper, he’s matched the best of his hurdles form with his last two wins and he sets the standard in what could turn out to be a below-par renewal of the race. But let’s listen to the head over the heart for one minute and Faugheen has shown previously that he is prone to the odd mistake both over hurdles and fences and the Cheltenham course, notably three from home (the danger fence), could pose a serious issue if his jumping is not brushed up.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips – An interesting alternative
FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES has been spoken about as an Arkle horse but it’s interesting that connections have kept this race option open for him as arguably his best performance came over this trip at Fairyhouse when running out a comfortable winner by 22 lengths over Ronald Pump.
The second is yet to frank that form but the third has over hurdles next time, Samcro, who fell in the race when in contention, went on to be brushed aside by market leader Faugheen. Joseph O’Brien’s runner still has plenty more to offer over this trip and rates a leading player.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips – British chance
BLACK OP heads the British entries and his best performance came over three miles at Kempton when readily held by Slate House.
He looks a likely runner in this field considering this has proved an easier option than the RSA Chase but it’s difficult to see where the required improvement will come from. His jumping technique means that he is prone to mistakes at his fences and the loss of momentum, especially around Cheltenham, will likely put pay to his chances.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips – Big player
MISTER FISHER is one of the more interesting contenders for Britain in this line up boasting a perfect 11 record over this trip. A winner of two of his three starts over fences, he has raw untapped ability and looks to be coming to hand at the right time.
His jumping technique has improved with every start and a step back up in trip for this race looks the right move by connections and he rates a leading contender to scupper the excellent Irish record in this race over the years.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips – Watch out for 40/1 shot
It may be worth mentioning TORNADO FLYER at 40/1. He fits most of the key trends for this race being a seven-year-old, Irish trained horse with course experience, rated close to 149 (148) who has won more than once this season.
The former Champion Bumper winner has a class edge to his profile and he may be one to throw up a shock result if turning up in this race. Tornado Flyer was discovered to have a respiratory infection after his penultimate run and performed well when third to Faugheen last time. he could pose a threat.
Marsh Novice Chase Tips –Big race verdict
It would be great to see Faugheen triumph at the Festival, five years after his Champion Hurdle win, but at the prices head has to rule over heart. MISTER FISHER looks an exciting, progressive horse and I’m taking him here to oblige in this fascinating contest.