Monday 14 October horse racing tips – Tate’s 5/2 chance can Rock his Musselburgh rivals
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Monday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
The week kicks off with a five-fixture schedule of UK and Irish racemeetings which include afternoon flat racing from Musselburgh, Windsor and Yarmouth; while Gowran Park in Ireland also race on the level.
Meanwhile, completing Monday’s fixture list is an all-weather fixture on the tapeta at Wolverhampton.
Musselburgh (flat) – 1.20 – 4.30pm (7 races)
Windsor (flat) – 2.00 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Gowran Park (flat) – 2.05 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Yarmouth (flat) – 2.10 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.25 – 8.25pm (7 races)
MONDAY 14 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(1.50) Bottom-weight UGO GREGORY (7/1, William Hill) could be worth chancing to get back to winning ways, and Tim Easterby’s charge can go close here.
The Gregorian gelding struck back-to-back wins at Nottingham in August, scoring the latter under a penalty, and he bounced back from a lesser effort under a double-penalty to finish a close fourth behind Fantasy Keeper back at Nottingham in heavy ground earlier in the month where he finished only a head behind a subseqeunt winner.
He has better ground here, and he is worth another chance at seven furlongs from a mark which isn’t beyond his capabilities to exploit. He can give another good account and no surprise to see him firmly in the mix here.
(2.20) KYLLANG ROCK (5/2, Ladbrokes) wasn’t seen to best effect in the mud at Beverley latest behind the reopposing Tarboosh, but with the drying ground here likely to prove more to his liking the Kyllachy gelding can gain revenge on that rival.
A smart sort at his best, as he showed when beating Alpha Delphini here in heavy ground back in March, he struggled latest but may not have been suited by the track and a return to this venue may suit him better.
He was beaten almost five lengths on that latest outing, but he has a 6lbs pull at the weights now which could prove crucial and he can overturn that form back at this venue.
1.20 – Not On Your Nellie
1.50 – Ugo Gregory
2.20 – Kyllang Rock
2.55 – Astrophysics
3.25 – Shawaamekh
4.00 – First Flight
4.30 – Catch My Breath
(2.35) CALONNE (9/2, Paddy Power) is progressing with each start, bettering his finishing position each time, and the Alhebayeb gelding can get off the mark at the fourth attempt.
Latterly third over this course behind Istoria, finding only one pace, he possibly wasn’t suited by the steady pace there; but the prospect of a stronger pace this time around over a furlong shorter trip could yield an improved effort and he doesn’t look harshly treated on his handicap debut from a mark of 70.
This doesn’t look a particularly strong contest, and open to further progress he can make his presence felt.
(4.45) IRRADIATE (9/1, Paddy Power) could prove to be the pick of the Joseph O’Brien-trained pair, and the thrice-raced Australia filly can get off the mark here.
She had improved on her debut at Killarney in July to chase home Invitation on her next outing at Galway although he was a shade disappointing at Tipperary when last seen although he was squeezed for room and dropped back through the field where he couldn’t recover.
He could do better here and he is closely matched with his stablemate so it will be interesting to see which one comes out on top in the betting. But he is lightly raced and may have more to offer so every chance he can progress to open his account.
1.35 – Arthur’s Kingdom
2.05 – Gin Blossom
2.35 – Calonne
3.10 – The King Of Kells
3.40 – Conversant
4.15 – Sayesse
4.45 – Irradiate
5.20 – Pasley
(2.30) SANTORINI SAL (9/2, Coral) could be worth chancing to get off the mark, and the Gregorian filly has finished in the frame in two of her last three starts which includes behind Lara Silver at Chepstow latest where she was denied only by a neck.
John Bridger’s charge was just denied having come with a strong run over the minimum trip, and that form has been boosted by the winner scoring again since while the third home ran well next time out.
She is only 3lbs higher here back up in distance, and if the testing ground doesn’t present any issues then it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her going close and she can get off the mark.
(3.35) SMOKEY LANE (4/1, William Hill) carries a double-penalty here following a quick double at this venue and Leicester in the past week, and David Evans’ charge can strike again while the iron remains hot.
The Zebedee gelding is 2-3 at this venue, beating Bahuta Acha last Monday by just over one length and turning out 24 hours later to strike again at Leicester in heavy ground with a defeat of Zapper Cass where he scored by a neck.
Another quick turnaround just 6 days on will demand more from him, but if continuing in the same form he could still be fairly treated despite his double penalty and he can post another big effort here.
2.00 – Elegant Love
2.30 – Santorini Sal
3.05 – Tambourine Girl
3.35 – Smokey Lane
4.10 – Kripke
4.40 – Field Of Dreams
5.10 – Critical Time
(3.15) SOCIETY LION (6/4, Paddy Power) ran well on his debut to finish fourth behind New World Tapestry at Newmarket last month, and with that experience under his belt Sir Michael Stoute’s charge can build on the outing to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Invincible Spirit colt was beaten around five lengths on that debut outing, racing green throughout. But that experience won’t have been lost on him and like many from the yard he should improve for the run.
If he does progress as expected on the back of that first run then there is every chance he can make his presence felt in this contest, and he could open his account.
(4.20) YVETTE (10/3, William Hill) has raced solely on the all-weather to date, but the Le Havre filly posted her best run to date at Kempton earlier in the month when finishing runner-up behind Sandy Steve and a repeat of that run may see Sir Mark Prescott’s charge go one better now making her turf debut.
She has been tried over a wide range of trips in 2019 from one mile to two miles, and she contests here over ten furlongs having gone closest last time over a similar yardage.
A mark of 59 on her turf debut could prove lenient, and if she proves effective on grass then she can take advantage of this mark to strike a first career win for her shrewd handler.
2.10 – Light The Fuse
2.45 – Donnybrook
3.15 – Society Lion
3.50 – Mistress Nellie
4.20 – Yvette
4.55 – Purgatory
5.30 – Stallone
(6.55) PYTILIA (5/1, Ladbrokes) posted a career-best effort when scoring at Lingfield last month on the back of a three-month break, and the Mizzen Mast filly can follow up here.
Richard Hughes’ charge scored her only previous win over the same course, and her best form has come on the all-weather although on polytrack so she will have to prove her effectiveness on tapeta. She has raced on this surface once, finishing sixth, so has to improve on that run.
However, still relatively low-mileage she could have more to offer and she appeared to win a shade readily latest. Her subsequent 4lbs rise in the ratings has been offset by the claim of Angus Villiers whose 7lbs allowance is good value, while she won her maiden off 77 so has the scope to run well off this mark.
Assuming she can run to a similar level as last time now switched to tapeta then she can go close here.
(7.55) OUR CHARLIE BROWN (5/1, Bet365) was a winner two starts back at Catterick, beating Kodimoor by three lengths, and the American Post gelding can get back to winning ways here having ran creditably under a penalty latest to finish four lengths’ fourth behind Echo Of Lightning.
Tim Easterby’s charge was possibly given too much to do on that occasion, not finding much under pressure; he is 2lbs higher here which will demand more from him, but he is thoroughly unexposed on the all-weather and makes his Wolverhampton debut having had two all-weather starts at Newcastle in his career.
A turf-winner from much higher marks than this in the past he could go well if recapturing his best on this surface.
5.25 – Aquadabra
5.55 – On Tick
6.25 – Continuum
6.55 – Pytilia
7.25 – River Spirits
7.55 – Our Charlie Brown
8.25 – Forbidden Dance