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Monday’s 4,141/1 Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets On May 16

The new week begins with plenty of racing both on the flat and over jumps in the UK and Ireland. Our 4,141/1 Lucky 15 best bets centre around Carlisle and Redcar on a busy Monday.


Macho Pride (2.30 Carlisle)

This looks set to be a very open handicap, but MACHO PRIDE  is extremely well treated on his turf form for Ben Haslam.

He was campaigned on the all-weather between November and March with distinctly limited results. However, that served to drop his mark to the tune of 12lb, which he almost took advantage of when back on grass at Haydock last month.

He was beaten only a neck by Dream Together that day and is only back up 1lb for this test. Once again, he faces a substantial number of rivals, but Haslam’s runners are generally going well and you only have to go back to this time last year to find Macho Pride running well off marks in the high 70s.

Despite that marginal rise, he is still off just 68 in this contest, which is 7lb lower than his last winning mark from last summer. Harry Russell continues to take off 3lb and he looks one of the likeliest winners in the race.


Hello Zabeel (3.05 Carlisle)

Largely consistent as a three-year-old in novice and maiden company last season, HELLO ZABEEL can collect his second victory at the course from two attempts.

His only other appearance at Carlisle saw him win a 7f maiden by five lengths after being frustrated previously with three runner-up efforts in his first four career starts. His only underperformances have come on soft ground and on his return on the all-weather at Chelmsford.

However, those three second-placed efforts largely showed him to be a consistent performer. Connections clearly felt something was amiss in that aforementioned reappearance at Chelmsford as he has undergone a wind operation since.

That surgery, coupled with being upped to 1m, should see him back to something nearer his best. In fact, there is every chance that he may well improve on all previous efforts, as he is a son of Frankel, who should be even more at home at this distance.


Imenso (3.20 Redcar)

Legend Of Xanadu is definitely the one to beat after going close on all three occasions so far for Mick Channon. His colt was beaten just a short head at Hamilton last time.

However, his RPRs for all three runs have been identical, which means he remains vulnerable to an improving type. IMENSO could well be that type as a big, rangy juvenile who did a lot wrong on debut.

He was fourth at Pontefract over 5f, but Ollie Pears’ charge missed the break, regularly galloped green up the straight and was also denied a clear run when attempting to come from the very back of the field. This step up to 6f is surely a good move by his trainer.

If he can iron out those immature errors, he would not have much to find to give the favourite a real fright here. He looks a significantly better value option at the prices.


Murbih (4.25 Redcar)

While competitive enough on the all-weather since starting his career on that surface in January, MURBIH went closer to winning on his only turf start most recently than on any of his four efforts on the tapeta surfaces he had raced on previously.

Over the sharp 5f at Ripon, Anthony Brittain’s gelding was just narrowly reeled towards the end on his turf debut. That was a very strong effort off which it is only likely he will build.

The handicapper has only punished him to the tune of 1lb and that could prove pivotal. He had raced over 6f and 7f on his first three starts, running particularly well over the former. There is also a suggestion that he may well improve further for getting a lead over this trip.

The son of Kodiac is still unexposed after only five runs so far and Cam Hardie’s mount can round off the Lucky 15 in style.