Home » News » Monday’s 5,032/1 Lucky 15 – Four Top E/W Picks For 10th October

Monday’s 5,032/1 Lucky 15 – Four Top E/W Picks For 10th October

There are four meetings across the UK to kick off the week on Monday, 10th October, with the action coming from Musselburgh, Windsor, Wolverhampton and Yarmouth. Our lucky 15 focuses on two of those cards, with two tips apiece from Windsor and Yarmouth.

Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Monday Lucky 15.

Odds correct at time of posting – 4:20pm Sunday 9th October

Spider Murphy (1.45 Windsor) – 10/1

There’s plenty of runners here who could come on for their debut runs, but they’ll have to improve plenty to beat either Kerdos or SPIDER MURPHY, and it’s the latter who gets our vote. 

David Evans’ colt just missed out on making a winning debut over 7 furlongs when caught late on by Tyrone’s Poppy, and that runner went out to win a class 2 race next time out to boost the form. Connections then stepped him up to a mile and tried him in Listed company, but failed to last and finished well beaten. 

The drop down to six furlongs looks the right move and he looks a solid option to take on the favourite Kerdos with, who won well on debut but has to give a fair bit of weight away to his rivals here. The safer option looks to be Spider Murphy, who looks a decent price to land this.

Dark Trooper (2.20 Windsor) – 13/2

There’s only three previous winners in the line up here – Magic Merlin, The Big Board and Whistle And Flute. Of the three, only The Big Board has won a race of this quality, and although he is a danger, we’d sooner side with Ed Walker’s DARK TROOPER

The Dark Angel colt appears to be improving with each run and won’t need to improve much to win this. He didn’t have much luck in running when fourth at Salisbury in August, and it was a similar story on his last run at Newbury last time out, where he had trouble in running before staying on strongly to finish second. With a clearer path here likely he can gain a first career victory at the fourth time of asking. 

It’s notable that Richard Kingscote was on board when Magical Merlin won over C&D last time, but is now on board our selection here. That runner could give Dark Trooper most to think about, but he has to step up in class here and may not be able to handle giving weight away to his rivals, so the safer option looks to be Dark Trooper.

Super Chief (3.30 Yarmouth) – 4/1

Team Gosden’s SUPER CHIEF was staying on strongly when winning at Newmarket last time out, and with the step up in trip looking to suit him, he looks a cracking bet to land a double. 

The Kingman colt never looked like losing when getting his nose in front and trainer John Gosden came out afterwards and said he should be able to handle the step up to a mile and a half, so this trip shouldn’t be an issue. 

That piece is of form is some of the best on offer here, with Sea Speedwell another with some nice form to her name. However, our selection receives 6lb from her (when taking into account Adam Farragher’s claim on Sea Speedwell) and that should be more than enough to see Frankie Dettori’s ride claim back-to-back wins.

Perfect Alibi (4.00 Yarmouth) – 11/2

The Listed feature at Yarmouth has gone to 3YO’s in three of the six runnings, including last year with Goolwa, and we’re backing another 3YO this year with PERFECT ALIBI

He was no match for Eldar Eldarov on his first effort over this trip, but followed that up with a comfortable win at Newbury over slightly shorter, before finishing second in the G3 March Stakes at Goodwood.

His 3YO allowance means he receives weight from a lot of his market rivals and should appreciate this drop back into Listed company, plus he has the bonus of having Tom Marquand back on board (ridden him in both of his victories) – everything points to him have an excellent opportunity of giving The King another winner. 

Strawberri finished ahead of Viola last time out at Goodwood but we expect James Fanshawe’s runner to reverse that form off level weights here, so she rates the biggest danger to the selection.