Park Hill Stakes – Our 1-2-3 Prediction For Thursday’s Feature At Doncaster

One of two Group 2 races on the second day of Doncaster’s St Leger Festival, the Park Hill Fillies’ Stakes is usually a cracker of a race. We’ve studied all eight runners chances to give our 1-2-3 prediction for the feature.

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1st – Believe In Love (9/2)

Roger Varian has an extremely strong hand in this, with the market leader Eshaada and Believe In Love also prominent in the betting. Eshaada is an extremely talented horse, but we’re siding with BELIEVE IN LOVE, who looks an excellent price to take on those at the top of the betting. Her best efforts have come over this trip and after a close third in the race back in 2020, we’re expecting her to land the honours on Thursday. 

Her record over this trip reads 113171621 (4-9), and includes a close second in Group 1 company at Longchamp last year. This is undoubtedly her optimum trip, which she proved when winning the Bronte Cup earlier this year, after staying on strongly to see off the challenge of the opposing Urban Artist. 

She failed to handle the step back in trip in the Lancashire Oaks when finishing behind Eshaada, but she still did best of those racing off the pace, and coming back up in trip she will be seen to best effect and can reverse that form with her stablemate. 

Roger Varian has top jockey Andrea Atzeni booked for the ride, which with all due respect to Ray Dawson has to be seen as an upgrade. The Italian jockey won this race in 2014 on board Silk Sari and he can steer Believe In Love to a deserved victory here at a cracking price.


2nd – Eshaada (6/4)

Roger Varian’s ESHAADA is some way clear on official ratings, and if she can repeat the effort of her win in the British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes, she will be extremely tough to beat. However, this will be the first time she’s tackled this trip and she has yet to get her head in front this year, so there are doubts around her. 

She was staying on well when third in the Lancashire Oaks, so the step up in trip should suit her. The form of that race has worked out nicely too, with the runner-up Sea La Rosa coming out and winning the Lillie Langtry Stakes and following up in the Prix de Pomone at Deauville. 

Eshaada was over two lengths ahead of Believe In Love in the Lancashire Oaks, but our selections best efforts have been over this 1m 6f trip, so we’re expecting that form to be reversed here. There’s no doubting Eshaada is a seriously talented mare, but the extra couple of furlongs here may not suit her as much as some of her rivals and at the odds, we’re happy to take her on.


3rd – Urban Artist (15/2)

URBAN ARTIST hasn’t won for almost two years but has gone close on multiple occasions since, including when runner-up in the Lillie Langtry Stakes in the summer. It may be the case that she just finds a couple of these too good again. 

Her three races this year have been full of promise – she was just over a length behind Believe In Love in the Bronte Cup, before taking a marked step up in trip when sixth in the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot. Her most recent run was most impressive though, when trying to make all in the Lillie Langtry. She just failed to hold on, with Sea La Rosa snatching victory in the final furlong, but she still finished ahead of the favourite Emily Dickenson and the reopposing Yesyes. 

She could only finish sixth in this race last year, with Yesyes in third, but is 10lb better off with that rival this time and can reverse that form. However, her winless run stretches back to nine races now, always finding one too good, and we think it could be a similar story again here.


RACING TIPS PREDICTION

1st – Believe In Love

2nd – Eshaada

3rd – Urban Artist


*Odds correct at time of posting – 11am Wednesday 7th September*

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