Royal Ascot 2021 – Commonwealth Cup Ante-Post Preview and 14/1 Selection!
Commonwealth Cup (6f, Friday, June 18, 3.40pm)
Royal Ascot continues to captivate audiences worldwide, with the 2021 meeting promising to be yet another star-studded affair. With this in mind, we have decided to produce our own in-depth previews of all the big races in prospect at Royal Ascot 2021.
Here, our expert tipster has produced their ante-post preview of the Commonwealth Cup – which is the feature race on Day 4 of Royal Ascot. The 2021 renewal sees several exciting young sprinters taking on horses who looked non-stayers in British classics.
Commonwealth Cup Ante-Post Preview
This year’s Commonwealth Cup market is currently headed by Campanelle, who took the Queen Mary Stakes at this meeting last year. Not seen on the track since failing to see out the mile in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf at Keeneland back in November, this 6f distance may well prove her optimum.
The concerns surrounding Campanelle are that she is arriving here without a recent run under her belt, and perhaps more significant, that her juvenile form doesn’t appear to be that strong.
Her Prix Morny win ahead of Nando Parrado, Rhythm Master and Acapulco Gold looks a seriously weak piece of Group 1 form, with the trio a combined 0-6 in their starts since.
With this in mind, the 9/2 currently available on Campanelle makes little appeal.
The international flavour to this year’s Commonwealth Cup continues with the second-favourite Suesa – who represents France.
Francois Rohaut’s filly arrives with an unblemished 4-4 career record, her latest victory coming in a Chantilly Group 3. In fact, all career starts have now come at that venue, and she is yet to encounter ground conditions officially described as quicker than good to soft.
She certainly brings plenty of potential into this race, yet that is offset by her position in the betting and the slight concerns over her ability to handle the ground and track – therefore she is another who can be passed over.
Andrew Balding’s Alcohol Free ensures that it is a fillies’ 1-2-3 at the top of the market for this race, and the obvious positive regarding Alcohol Free is that she is one of few proven Group 1 operators, having taken last season’s Cheveley Park Stakes.
Despite winning over 7f on reappearance she has long given the impression that a stiff 6f would ultimately prove her optimum, yet this is no easy assignment on her first start against the boys.
Supremacy was ultra-progressive as a juvenile, and it can be argued that his Middle Park win is the strongest piece of form on offer in this line-up. He completely bombed out in the trial for this race on seasonal reappearance, however, and it would be best to tread carefully with him until proving that run was a one-off.
This race does have the potential to set up for something slightly overlooked in the market.
Johnny Murtagh’s Measure Of Magic has taken her form to a new level this season, looking a sure-fire future Group performer when bolting up in Listed company at Cork last time out.
She warrants serious respect here, but at slightly bigger odds, preference is for the fellow Irish raider A CASE OF YOU.
This son of Hot Streak had some useful form to his name as a juvenile, running away with a Group 3 at the Curragh last October.
He left John McConnell’s yard after that success and subsequently joined up with the burgeoning Adrian McGuinness, and so far, has a 2-3 record for current connections.
A Case Of You came with a strong late run to land a Group 3 at Naas last month, despite arguably challenging on a disadvantageous part of the track.
It is his Dundalk win back in March, however, which is the standout piece of form in his career to date. A Case Of You justified odds-on favouritism to score that day, but with the second (Logo Hunter) a subsequent Listed winner and the third home (Mooneista) also taking Listed honours on her next start, the task ultimately was much harder than the market suggested. A Case Of You ultimately won by almost four lengths at Dundalk, despite having to concede five pounds, and ten pounds, to the horses directly behind him.
That run strongly suggests that he can prove competitive at this level, and whilst rain would clearly be welcomed (all turf wins on soft ground), that Dundalk victory proved that he was far from ground dependant.
Current quotes of 14/1 look a touch too big in a race which – at this stage – looks wide-open.