Saturday 19 October horse racing tips – Cromwell’s 13/8 chance can Curry favour and make successful Wolverhampton raid
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for all of Saturday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Saturday plays host to seven UK and Irish horse racing meetings where Qipco Champions Day at Ascot dominates the week’s proceedings, and there are four Group One races on Saturday’s six-race card which includes the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes and the Champion Stakes.
There is also flat racing action from Catterick and also Leopardstown on Saturday; while the afternoon’s jumps racing comes from Ffos Las where it is Welsh Champion Hurdle day; as well as Stratford and Market Rasen.
Completing Saturday’s fixture list is an evening all-weather meeting on the Wolverhampton tapeta.
Leopardstown (flat) – 1.25 – 5.15pm (8 races)
Ascot (flat) – 1.35 – 4.40pm (6 races)
Catterick (flat) – 1.40 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Ffos Las (jumps) – 1.45 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Stratford (jumps) – 1.55 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Market Rasen (jumps) – 2.00 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.05 – 8.15pm (7 races)
SATURDAY 19 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(1.55) AGITARE (11/10, William Hill) has been running with credit in his four career outings to date, latterly finishing three lengths’ third behind Mogul in the Group Two Champions Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown last month, and a repeat of that effort should see Jim Bolger’s Teofilo colt get off the mark now.
Not helped by being denied a clear run on more than one occasion, he ran on well late for the bronze medal although was never going to trouble the front pair; but that outing sets a decent standard, and dropping back in grade he could take advantage if posting a similar effort here.
(4.10) L’EMPATHIE (12/1, Paddy Power) stepped up on her debut to get off the mark at the second attempt, beating Jazz Lady at Listowel, and Joseph Murphy’s charge can follow up here on his handicap debut.
She won a shade readily that day, asserting between the final two furlongs and keeping on strongly to put rivals to the sword; the form has since seen the runner-up and third horses both score subsequent wins, and an opening rating of 78 doesn’t look harsh given she remains open to plenty of improvement.
This looks a strong race on paper, but she looks sure to progress and ought to give a good account of herself.
1.25 – Amma Grace
1.55 – Agitare
2.30 – Simply True
3.05 – Spanish Tenor
3.40 – Geometrical
4.10 – L’Empathie
4.45 – Riven Light
5.15 – Tranchee
(2.45) Ribblesdale Stakes winner STAR CATCHER (13/8, William Hill) can continue to rack up the wins by landing a Group One hat-trick with success in this contest.
John Gosden’s charge has won four of her six career starts, stepping up on her Group Two course and distance win to collect a first Group One success in the Irish Oaks in July. The Sea The Stars filly then returned from a short break to strike a second top-level success with a defeat of Musis Amica to land the Prix Vermeille when last seen.
The fourth – Villa Marina – and seventh horse home, Anapurna, have both won Group Ones since, and with the potential for further improvement to come then she could prove a tough nut to crack here.
She is proven in the conditions, winning twice on soft ground while also showing that a better surface held no fears in those wins at the Curragh and Longchamp, and she remains unbeaten over this trip. Frankie Dettori sides with the daughter of Sea The Stars again over Epsom Oaks heroine Anapurna – on whom he is also unbeaten – and the decision of the mercurial Italian pilot to side with her over her stablemate looks significant.
Likely to prove a tough nut to crack here, she can add to her Group One tally with another top-level success.
(4.00) CORONET (4/1, Unibet) has been a late bloomer despite a string of classy runs which includes a Group Two win in the 2017 Ribblesdale Stakes and in the Middleton Stakes last term. However, John Gosden’s charge has mate the transition this term into a bona-fide Group One contender, and the Dubawi mare can land a hat-trick of top-level successes.
Only beaten one length behind Magical in the Fillies & Mares’ race on this card twelve months ago, she has taken her form this term up a notch and built on a much-needed return at Newmarket in May to win the Grand Prix De Saint-cloud with a defeat of Ziyad.
That form has been boosted since, with the winner going on to win a Group Two; while the fourth won a German Group One next time, and the fifth horse home has also won a Group Two since. The Gosden runner however bettered that performance when returning to France to beat With You in the Prix Jean Romanet, and she can strike a third win at the highest level.
3-4 at this ten furlongs trip, she handles soft ground and has a decent record at the Berkshire track where her form figures read 1332 – all over twelve furlongs – so it wouldn’t come as a shock to see her posting another big effort here.
1.35 – Hello Youmzain
2.10 – Withhold
2.45 – Star Catcher
3.20 – The Revenant
4.00 – Coronet
4.40 – Kynren
(2.50) VAN GERWEN (6/4, William Hill) had lost his way with Les Eyre, but the Bahamian Bounty gelding took a step back in the right direction when finishing runner-up at Nottingham three days ago on his first outing for new handler Paul Midgley.
Beaten just over one length behind Skeetah in heavy ground, he may just have been given too much to do; but racing off the same mark here over this slightly longer trip he might be able to go one better on his second start for his new yard having won from higher in the past.
(3.25) ARECIBO (11/2, William Hill) bumped into Dakota Gold when finding only that rival too strong in the Listed Rous Stakes earlier in the month, and dropping down in grade for this latest outing the Invincible Spirit gelding can take advantage to get back on the scoresheet.
David O’Meara’s charge landed his last success at Ayr back in July when beating Harome by an neck, after which he struck successive runner-up efforts at Ripon and Ascot, and he continued in good form despite disappointing in the Stewards’ Cup with further in-the-frame efforts and a solid run in the Ayr Gold Cup prior to that last win.
Despite having to give away weight all round to this field of rivals, it is a much easier race than he took in last time, and a repeat of that effort – or even his Ayr Gold Cup run here he finished eighth – might be good enough to see him get back on the scoresheet.
1.40 – Leoch
2.15 – Golden Hind
2.50 – Van Gerwen
3.25 – Arecibo
3.55 – Cape Islay
4.30 – Captain Jameson
5.00 – Soft Summer Rain
5.35 – Nataleena
(3.30) Sedgefield hurdles winner HENRYS JOY (9/2, Bet365) got off the mark over fences when scoring at Musselburgh back in January, beating Benny’s Secret by a short-head, and Donald McCain’s charge could be worth chancing to make a winning return having run well fresh in the past.
The Craigsteel gelding has finished third on both subsequent outings following that success, beaten just over one length back at Musselburgh behind Elmono, and then when tried in blinkers to cross the line nine lengths’ adfrift of Flowery at Wetherby when dropped back in distance.
He’s been dropped 1lb in the weights ahead of this reappearance, and he appeared to be steadily progressive towards the end of last time so may be able to pick up where he left off in a weak race to get back on the scoresheet here.
(5.10) SUPEREFFICIENT (11/4, Bet365) was only moderate in Ireland, but the Beneficial mare did manage to win a point-to-point for her previous yard before joining forces with Dan Skelton. The move seems to have delivered a jolt of improvement in the fortunes of the seven-year old who while is still a maiden has made the frame in three of her last four starts.
The latest of those saw her beaten less than two lengths behind Trapper Peak at Southwell at the beginning of the month, and that one franked the form on Friday. She could continue to find some improvement for her top yard, and the application of blinkers could help.
This doesn’t look a particularly strong heat, and she has the services of Gina Andrews for this assignment so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the pair go close in a moderate race.
1.45 – Mercy Mercy Me
2.20 – Armattiekan
2.55 – First Quest
3.30 – Henry’s Joy
4.05 – Never Be Enough
4.35 – Hurricane Rita
5.10 – Superefficient
(2.25) MISS HONEY RYDER (5/2, William Hill) won a pair of bumpers at Taunton back at the beginning of the year, and Warren Greatrex’s mare was subsequently far from disgraced when finishing fourth behind Gypsy Island in a Grade Three bumper at Punchestown in May when last seen.
The Stowaway mare was beaten the thick end of 15 lengths on that occasion, but the race has since thrown up several subsequent winners and she could find some improvement now switching to hurdling.
She looks the type who could do well over obstacles, and she can give a good account of herself here on her return from six months off.
(3.35) TIDAL FLOW (2/1, Bet365) won his first two starts over hurdles last campaign, scoring at Kempton and Newbury before finding the test of the Leamington Hurdle too much and he failed to beat a rival home.
Philip Hobbs’ Black Sam Bellamy gelding again ran a shade below his best at Newbury in March, but he bounced back equipped with first-time cheekpieces to find only one too good at Exeter in March, and making his return from a break and switching to the larger obstacles here, then he could well find further improvement.
He looks a chaser on looks and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him post a big effort on his first try over fences.
1.50 – Rosserk Abbey
2.25 – Miss Honey Ryder
3.00 – Ennistown
3.35 – Tidal Flow
4.15 – Beltor
4.50 – Beni Light
5.20 – One Fine Man
(3.10) UMNDENI (10/3, William Hill) wasn’t the most straightforward last term, failing to land a number of good opportunities to land the spoils; but Philip Hobbs’ charge rounded off the campaign with a win at Taunton back in April and may be able to follow up here on his return to action.
Also a winner at Fontwell, the Balko gelding ran out a wide margin winner latest, beating Admiral’s Sunset by the thick end of 30 lengths, and he turns out from the same mark back in a handicap although he doesn’t have the amateur rider’s claim this time around.
Nevertheless, he could be good enough to defy his mark without that assistance, and the Hobbs team have been in the winners already in the new season and every chance the Balko gelding can make a winning return here.
(3.45) ROUGE VIF (3/1, Ladbrokes) showed plenty of progressive form over timber last term, winning three times and only foiled in a hat-trick attempt when stepped up to Grade One company for the Top Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree where he finished third behind Felix Desjy.
Harry Whittington’s charge had also won a Ludlow bumper as well as notch up strikes at Southwell, Newcastle and Kelso in the Premier Kelso Hurdle, and the Sageburg gelding rates an interesting chase debutant as he sets out over fences on his return.
If he can translate his smart form over timber to this discipline then he ought to go well, and he could get back on the scoresheet here on his reappearance and first crack at chasing.
2.00 – Misty Whisky
2.35 – Dundrum Wood
3.10 – Umndeni
3.45 – Rouge Vif
4.20 – Valdez
4.55 – Dallas Cowboy
5.30 – Fair Star
(6.45) EARL OF BUNNACURRY (13/8, William Hill) travels over from Gavin Cromwell’s yard and can make a successful raid on this prize.
The Approve gelding has been in reasonable form of late on turf in Ireland, latterly finishing just over three lengths’ fourth behind Drakensberg at Leopardstown, and he was a winner on his last visit to this venue last November where he beat Jeremy’s Jet under a penalty.
He is back on that winning mark for his return to this venue, and the course and distance winner ought to go close for the top Irish handler.
(7.45) EL MISK (7/2, Coral) struck on tapeta on his debut back in April at Newcastle, and John Gosden’s charge can regain the winning thread here.
The lightly-raced Dansili colt was highly tried next time at Newcastle, but shaped as if possibly amiss; he was subsequently absent for four months before returning to action at Windsor with a runner-up effort, and he got back to winning ways back on the all-weather at Kempton last month.
The Gosden runner might have bumped into one at Yarmouth latest, but back on an artificial surface he could be the answer back up in trip having looked outpaced over the slightly shorter distance last time.
5.05 – Colonel Slade
5.40 – King Of Arms
6.15 – Yamato
6.45 – Earl Of Bunnacurry
7.15 – Whisper Aloud
7.45 – El Misk
8.15 – Nsnas