Just three meetings go to post across the UK on Sunday, 9th October, with the action coming from Ffos Las, Goodwood and Southwell. Our lucky 15 focuses on two of those cards, with two tips apiece from Ffos Las and Goodwood.
Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Sunday Lucky 15.
Odds correct at time of posting – 4pm Saturday 7th October
Black Poppy (2.35 Ffos Las) – 5/1
This is a tight small-field affair, and you can easily make a case for all six runners, but the one who stands out for us is BLACK POPPY. The Kayf Tara gelding was just touched off in a similar race when last seen and he has been a model of consistency throughout his short career.
Although he’s now a six year old, he’s only had eight races in his career, and only finished out of the places twice. The first of those he would’ve won but for falling two from the finish, and the other was in December last year when fourth behind a couple of runners who have progressed nicely since then (Balco Coastal and Peejaybee).
His three runs early this year resulted in two wins and a nose second to Mark Of Gold, where he would have arguably won had he not messed up over the final hurdle. Honneur D’Ajonc could give him most to think about, but he usually needs a run under his belt after returning from a break, so we’d sooner side with the consistent Black Poppy.
Lovely Breeze (3.00 Goodwood) – 4/1
LOVELY BREEZE will appreciate the drop back into calmer waters here, after failing to fire in the class 2 Ayr Silver Cup, and she can return to winning ways at her favourite course.
Hugo Palmer’s filly has a clear liking for Goodwood, with a 212341 (33% strike-rate) record here, which includes landing two of her three turf career victories at the Sussex course. That also includes a close second in this race last year. When you compare that to her 34126405080 (1-11) turf record away from Goodwood, you can see why we’re confident of a big run from her back at a course she always performs at.
She won on her last visit here at the start of September, running out a comfortable two length winner that day. After struggling at Ayr, she looks to be in with a huge shout of getting back to the winners enclosure here.
William Buick also has a fantastic record at Goodwood (including a 34% strike-rate there this season), and won on his sole previous ride on Lovely Breeze here last year. The fact he’s been booked for the ride only further boosts our confidence in Lovely Breeze winning here and she’s a cracking price to do so!
Camembert Electric (3.45 Ffos Las) – 4/1
Farceur De Maulne won nicely at Worcester on his last run back in May and could be the biggest danger if returning in similar form, but that was a career best effort, and with no guarantee of following that up we’d sooner side with CAMEMBERT ELECTRIC to land a third hurdle victory of the year.
Tom Lacey’s mare has won two of her four races this year, including a convincing win at Newton Abbot where she beat Little Jessture, who has since won three times to boost that form. This will be her first effort over this three mile trip, but she’s bred to appreciate the step up in distance and looks a solid option to take on the favourite with.
A lot of these will be in need of this reappearance run, but that shouldn’t be the case with Camembert Electric, who has previously won off the back of a break. He looks a fantastic price to land the honours here.
Pride Of Priory (4.45 Goodwood) – 11/4
It will be fascinating to see Goshen back here, but he didn’t overly impress in his last race in May, and we’d sooner take a chance on PRIDE OF PRIORY returning to the form that saw him land a hat-trick in the summer.
The William Haggas runner didn’t have the best of runs last time out, and would’ve surely finished closer to the winner with a clearer run. Previous to that, he had rattled in a hat-trick, including winning a similar race to this at Ascot back in August.
Tom Marquand has been on board for two of his five career victories, and has a healthy 16% strike-rate at Goodwood this season (7-43). Pair that with William Haggas’ impressive record at the Sussex course this season (24% strike-rate from his 25 runners), and you can be confident a big run is expected from the selection.
The main danger may come from Saratoga Gold, who rattled in a hat-trick and arrives here in search of a four-timer. However, this will be his toughest assignment to date and with that in mind, we’d sooner side with Pride Of Priory, who has proved his class at this level before.