Thursday 24 October horse racing tips – O’Brien’s 10/3 chance can Show rivals the way home at Ludlow
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for all of Thursday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Six more UK and Irish horse racing meetings take place on Thursday, and there is afternoon action over the sticks from Southwell, Ludlow and Carlisle, as well as from Thurles in Ireland.
Meanwhile, on the all-weather there is evening racing under the floodlights from the meetings at Wolverhampton on tapeta, and also on the Chelmsford polytrack.
Southwell (jumps) – 1.40 – 4.55pm (7 races)
Thurles (jumps) – 1.45 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Ludlow (jumps) – 2.00 – 4.45pm (6 races)
Carlisle (jumps) – 2.25 – 5.10pm (6 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 5.15 – 8.15pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 5.30 – 8.30pm (7 races)
THURSDAY 24 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(2.10) NOTACHANCE (5/2, Ladbrokes) shaped with some promise over hurdles last term, making the frame three times as well as scoring on his final outing of the campaign at Newbury in March where he beat Three Star General by one length.
One of those efforts in the frame came at this track and Alan King’s charge had finished runner-up in an Irish point to point prior to joining this yard, so there is hope that a switch to chasing might help to deliver some further improvement in the Mahler gelding.
He could follow up that win last time by opening his chase account at the first time of asking, and he rates an interesting recruit to chasing for his top yard.
(3.50) SID HOODIE (6/1, William Hill) arrives in good heart, winning her last two outings at Uttoxeter and Warwick, and the Rip Van Winkle mare can land the three-timer here.
Cheekpieces has clearly been a catalyst for improvement, and Charlie Mann’s charge has won three of five starts since the headgear has applied, and she latterly ran out a winner over Passing Dream at Warwick latest, scoring by just over one length.
A 6lbs rise in the weights does demand a shade more from her, but given her current rich vein of form she could find further improvement and can bring up the three-timer here.
1.40 – Mac Cennetig
2.10 – Notachance
2.45 – Garry Clermont
3.20 – For Jim
3.50 – Sid Hoodie
4.25 – Percy Thrower
4.55 – Kemble’s Cascade
(2.15) WESTERN SEA (6/1, Bet365) has found his groove over fences after a sticky start to his chase career, finishing a head runner-up at Tramore before going one better at Sligo in September with a defeat of Lord Schnapps.
He coped well with the step up in trip on that occasion, but the Westerner gelding will have no issue dropping back in distance for this latest outing, and switching to the handicap ranks for this latest run he could defy an opening mark of 113 given he remains open to plenty of promise.
1.45 – Belle West
2.15 – Western Sea
2.50 – Fulysse
3.25 – Fight For Love
3.55 – Peregrine Run
4.30 – Something Sweet
5.05 – Desert Maid
(2.25) This looks a cracking race on paper with several high-class hurdlers now making the switch to chasing, and GLOBAL CITIZEN (5/2, William Hill) could be the one to side with.
Ben Pauling’s Alkaadhem gelding won twice over timber last term, scoring a Listed win at Newbury in December before beating Silver Streak – who opposes here – in the Haydock Champion Hurdle Trial, although he was never a serious factor in the Champion Hurdle proper when last seen in March.
He boasts a point-to-point background, scoring a win in that sphere at Bellurgan Park prior to joining Jonjo O’Neill; but he has improved since switching to this yard, and the strong travelling sort can go close here with a clear round.
(3.30) BAFANA BLUE (13/2, Paddy Power) had been in good heart when last seen, winning twice with successes at Wetherby and Hexham, and finding only one too good at Perth latest behind Katgary back in May.
Maurice Barnes’ Blueprint gelding returns from five months off the track where he could pick off where he left off, and if continuing in similar vein on his reappearance then every chance he can make a winning return to action from the same mark as when last seen out where he steps up in trip for this outing which might help to unlock some further improvement..
1.50 – Champagne Noir
2.25 – Global Citizen
3.00 – Attention Seaker
3.30 – Bafana Blue
4.05 – Sebastian Beach
4.35 – Artichoke Heart
5.10 – Hot Gossip
(2.35) AGENT WESTY (4/1, Bet365) had shown only moderate form in a handful of runs over hurdles, but Evan Williams’ charge has seemingly improved for the switch to chasing where he got off the mark at the second attempt when scoring at Fontwell earlier in the month despite some sticky jumping.
He went on to win by nine lengths over Brown Bear, and his next outing at Plumpton saw him depart early in the race won by Wenceslaus with an unseat of his jockey at the eighth obstacle.
Jumping might again be an issue, but if he can deliver a clear round then he ought to go close here and looks worth chancing to bounce back.
(4.15) SHOW’S OVER (10/3, Unibet) was a chase-winner here a couple of seasons back when trained by Tim Vaughn, and the Curtain Time gelding returns to action following a hurdles win at Worcester latest last month.
Fergal O’Brien’s charge had also won at Newton Abbot over hurdles in July, and over fences at Sedgefield last winter, and he could follow up that latest success returning to the larger obstacles here where his 7lbs amateur rider takes off a chunk of weight.
Also placed at this venue as well as being a course-winner, he has a good record in cheekpieces and ought to give another good account of himself here.
2.00 – Humble Hero
2.35 – Agent Westy
3.10 – Legends Gold
3.40 – Kingofthecotswolds
4.15 – Show’s Over
4.45 – Affaire D’honneur
5.20 – Thaqaffa
(5.30) DAYSAQ (2/1, William Hill) wasn’t seen to best effect on his debut at Wolverhampton earlier in the month, but Owen Burrows’ charge can build on the outing to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Invincible Spirit colt was beaten only one length into fourth behind San Rafael, not ideally placed and caught further back than ideal. However, he stayed on well and caught the eye with his finishing effort which hinted at better to come.
That first outing should have taught him plenty, and open to further improvement on the back of that outing then he could go close here.
(6.00) AWA BOMBA (7/2, William Hill) is bidding for a hat-trick of wins here, and the Heeraat gelding can go close once again despite his additional penalty.
Tony Carroll’s charge has landed both wins at Southwell, latterly beating Muqarred by two lengths eight days ago under a 6lbs penalty, appearing to score a shade readily.
He has a further 6lbs penalty to carry for that latest outing, but he could still have more to offer and can land his three-timer if handling the switch to polytrack from fibresand.
5.00 – Sophar Sogood
5.30 – Daysaq
6.00 – Awa Bomba
6.30 – Tilghman
7.00 – Moment Of Silence
7.30 – Reine De Vitesse
8.00 – Zefferino
8.30 – Casual Reply
(6.15) KINSMAN (11/10,Bet365) offered plenty to work with on his debut at Yarmouth last month, finishing less than one length third behind Maqtal, and William Haggas’ charge can improve for the experience to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Exceed and Excel colt perhaps paid the price of a relatively poor draw on that occasion which saw him not best placed; but he should know more this time around and has the plum draw in the number one stall so every chance that he can go close with the potential for improvement to come on the back of that debut effort.
(6.45) BUWARDY (11/8, William Hill) improved markedly for his first start at Newmarket to find only one too good next time out at Chelmsford, and John Gosden’s charge can continue to find improvement where he can open his account here.
The Invincible Spirit colt was beaten just over one length on that first outing, missing the break and still showing his inexperience before his rider dropped his whip later in the race, so all things considered it wasn’t a bad run.
But, he is entitled to progress on the back of that latest outing and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him in the mix here with the possibility of improvement.
5.15 – Shepherd’s Purse
5.45 – Sharrabang
6.15 – Kinsman
6.45 – Buwardy
7.15 – Dark Kris
7.45 – Swinley
8.15 – Roving Mission