Thursday’s 3,346/1 Lucky 15 – Our Four E/W Tips For 15th September
Five meetings go to post across the UK on Thursday 14th September, with action coming from Ayr, Chelmsford, Newcastle, Pontefract and Yarmouth. Our lucky 15 includes a trio of selections from Ayr’s opening card of their Gold Cup meeting.
Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Thursday Lucky 15.
*Odds correct at time of posting – 3:30pm Wednesday 14th September*
Never Dark (2.25 Ayr) – 7/1
NEVER DARK was agonisingly close to winning at Doncaster last week and he can make amends here.
Having been doing most of her racing in better company, he dropped down to class 5 at Doncaster last time out and just failed to make all, going down by a short head to J R Cavagin. That was a good effort, and he’s been dropped 2lb here, so looks to have a fantastic chance of going one better here.
Daniel Tudhope has been booked for the ride and he’s been riding plenty of winners recently, plus he has a fantastic record at Ayr this year (6 winners from 25 rides). He can steer Never Dark to victory at the main expense of Burj Malinka and Refuge.
Recommended BetNEVER DARK (2:25 Ayr) 7/1 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Al Mubhir (3.00 Ayr) – 7/2
You can rule out a lot of these on age alone. The race has been won by three or four year olds in each of the eight renewals, so if you rule out all other aged horses here you’re left with four:
- Al Mubhir
- Love Is Golden
- Yorkshire Lady
- Mr Alan
Add in the fact there hasn’t been a horse winning at double-figure odds, it narrows it down to Al Mubhir and Love Is Golden. Of the two, AL MUBHIR looks by far the better option on just his second start in handicap company.
His second behind Savvy Victory was a solid performance, and with improvement likely he can go one better here. The high draw (13) should play to his favour, with the winner coming from stall 8 or higher in six of the last eight renewals.
Of the rest, some of the older horses are more than capable of chasing the selection home, with What’s The Story and First Impression probably the most likely ones to do so.
Recommended BetAL MUBHIR (3:00 Ayr) 7/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Misty Dancer (3.35 Ayr) – 9/2
Misty Dancer takes the William Hill Pick Your Places Maiden Fillies’ Stakes impressively!
She shot clear in the final furlong to win for Simon and Ed Crisford with Harry Burns in the saddle 👏
— Goodwood Racecourse (@Goodwood_Races) August 26, 2022
This should be a good race, and it’s difficult to separate the chances of Remembering and Misty Dancer, but considering MISTY DANCER is over double the odds, we’re happy to side with her.
She was the only one in with a chance of catching Mellow Yellow at Wolverhampton two starts ago, with the remainder of the field way back, and the winner that day looks an exciting prospect for William Haggas.
She then followed that run with a fine performance to win at Goodwood last month, and she looks to have every chance of following up here, in what looks a similar race to what she won in August.
Remembering has gone from strength to strength and ran out a comfortable winner at Catterick last month, but this is her most difficult test to date, and at the prices we’d sooner be with Misty Dancer.
Recommended BetMISTY DANCER (3:35 Ayr) 9/2 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Praiano (3.55 Yarmouth) – 15/2
This looks like a cracking race, and although most bookies are only paying two places, it may be worth siding with one of the outsiders in PRAIANO. Roger Varian has his yard in red-hot form of late, with ten winners and seven places from his last thirty-four runners, and he can enhance that record here with Praiano.
He finished seventh in the Stayers Handicap at York’s Ebor meeting, and that run can be upgraded considering he was hampered and had to switch right in the run-in. Soapy Stevens (12th) is the only horse from that race to have raced since, finishing a close third in a class 2 Handicap over this trip.
Before that, he finished second over this trip behind the talented Giavellotto, who has since finished a close third behind Eldar Eldarov and New London in the St Leger last weekend. That is a major boost to the form and we’re surprised to see Praiano as big odds as what he is here.
The race looks wide open and it wouldn’t be a major surprise to see any of these win, but at the odds we think Praiano is massively overpriced and he’s more than capable of a top two finish.