There are just three meetings across the UK on Thursday, 13th October, with the action coming from Brighton, Carlisle and Chelmsford. Our lucky 15 includes a trio on the jumps card at Carlisle, plus a confident fancy at Brighton.
Our expert tipster has produced their best bets across the cards, which make up our advised Thursday Lucky 15.
Odds correct at time of posting – 4:35pm Wednesday 12th October
Better Getalong (1.35 Carlisle) – 9/2
This is an open race, but Nicky Richards’ BETTER GETALONG has been running well all year and looks a solid option to win this. He already won here earlier in the year, and has placed in all three races since. The form of that win here back in February has worked out well, with the runner-up Romeo Brown winning a couple of class 2 races since and is now rated 125.
Young jockey Conor Rabbitt has made an impressive start to his career, including being on board our selection when winning here earlier in the year. He’s good value for his 10lb claim and that can be put to good use here.
Of the rest, Deluxe Range could give him most to think about if he’s fully fit after a 124 break, but that’s not guaranteed and we’d sooner side with Better Getalong, with his proven course form a major plus in this.
Granary Queen (2.05 Brighton) – 5/1
GRANARY QUEEN is a two-time winner at Brighton already, and having won narrowly at Lingfield off of top weight last time out she looks ready to go in again here.
It was a cracking finish at Lingfield last month, where the first three home were separated by a neck. That included Proud Fairy who also lines up here, but our selection was slowly away that day and still won, so if breaking well should have the better of her again.
Charles Bishop has been on board for four of her five career victories, including that win at Lingfield last time out and remains on board here, which is a big plus for her chances. Rich Waters is Saeed bin Suroor’s only runner on the card tomorrow and with his excellent record here, he looks the best of the rest. But having not won in over two years, he will have to improve a fair bit to get the better of Granary Queen, who’s in fine form and looks good value to land a quickfire double.
Court Dreaming (2.45 Carlisle) – 4/1
COURT DREAMING has a decent record at Carlisle, and looks a cracking option in this. He’s down to his lowest mark over fences and has been running well over hurdles this year.
His overall record here reads 5P1212 (2-6), which includes one win and a close second from his two efforts over fences. His two runs over hurdles this year have seen the same result as his chase record here – one win and a close second.
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 23% strike-rate with her chase runners at Carlisle, which includes landing three winners from her twelve runners here last season. Add to that the fact jockey Danny McMenamin has started this season in superb form, operating at a 24% strike-rate when riding over fences (4 winners from 17 rides), and you can see why we’re confident with Court Dreaming!
Spot On Soph (3.20 Carlisle) – 10/1
Dan Skelton’s runner Runwiththetide heads the betting, but she’s still yet to win over hurdles, and with that in mind we’re happy to take her on. The one we’ve come down on is Sam England’s SPOT ON SOPH, who has won twice in her career and ran well enough in a better race than this on reappearance.
Admittedly both her victories have come over fences, but there was plenty to like on her most recent run over hurdles to suggest she can win a race of this nature. She did best of those ridden patiently, and that was against better opposition that she will face here.
She receives almost a stone from the market leader, which should be enough to see her come out on top. She’s A Rocca could be the one to chase our selection home, with the drop in trip set to be a positive for her chances. But she will have to improve considerably to get the better of Spot On Soph, who can gain a valuable first win over hurdles.