Tuesday 15 October horse racing tips – Watson’s 11/4 shot can Force his way home at Kempton
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Tuesday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Tuesday’s fixture list of UK and Irish horse racing meetings sees six fixtures going to post around the country, and there is afternoon flat racing from Musselburgh; while over the sticks there are meetings from Hereford and Huntingdon, as well as from Punchestown in Ireland.
The evening all-weather action meanwhile comes from the Kempton polytrack under the floodlights.
Sadly, Leicester’s scheduled afternoon flat racing card has been abandoned.
Punchestown (jumps) – 1.55 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Hereford (jumps) – 2.00 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Musselburgh (flat) – 2.05 – 5.25pm (7 races)
Huntingdon (jumps) – 2.10 – 4.55pm (6 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 5.00 – 8.30pm (8 races)
TUESDAY 15 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(2.25) ARTIC PEARL (7/1, Bet365) was held back by his jumping during a spell chasing in the 2017/18 season, but he was a winner at Leopardstown over the larger obstacles last March, and Martin Brassil’s charge could be worth chancing back over fences on his seasonal debut.
A dual-hurdles winner here, latterly scoring when last seen in December where he beat Jake Peter by a half-length, the Shirocco gelding failed to complete in two chase starts at this venue last summer although he may have been amiss on the latter occasion.
He returned from seven months off the track to post that latest hurdles success, and while he hasn’t been seen out since he has shown he can go well fresh; while the form of that hurdles win has been boosted several times since.
He could be fairly treated off this mark back over the larger obstacles, and while question marks remain over his jumping he could be worth chancing to go close with a clear round.
(3.30) COKO BEACH (13/8, Bet365) was set some stiff tasks last term, but Gordon Elliott’s charge could be worth siding with to make a winning return to action with his sights lowered.
The Cokoriko gelding twice made the frame last term behind the smart Band Of Outlaws, finishing thrd at Naas in February prior to chasing home that rival in the Fred Winter Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival where he was beaten into the runner-up berth.
He failed to fire next time at this venue in the AES Champion Four Year Old Hurdle, trailing home last of five runners; but he could do better now back from a break and in a much more suitable grade.
He remains a promising individual who could have more to offer and may well be suited by the step up in distance so every chance he can get involved despite having to give away weight all round.
1.55 – Eclair De Beaufeu
2.25 – Artic Pearl
3.00 – A Wave Of The Sea
3.30 – Coko Beach
4.05 – Sixshooter
4.35 – Kilmurry
5.10 – Rhyme’n Rhythm
(2.30) DON’T SHOUT (8/1, Bet365) showed some ability in a couple of bumpers in the spring, and the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained gelding shaped encouragingly on his hurdles debut back from a break at Perth where the Oscar gelding finished third behind Road To Dubai.
He was beaten by ten lengths on that occasion, possibly needing the outing; but he should be sharper now and he is open to improvement over timber so could well take a forward step on the back of that first experience of timber.
He has different ground conditions to deal with here, but he was a solid runner-up on his second bumper start on good ground so may not be too inconvenienced by the conditions here and he could get off the mark now stepping up in trip.
(3.05) WORTHY FARM (10/3, William Hill) could be worth chancing on his reappearance, and Paul Nicholls’ charge can get off the mark over fences having won between the flags earlier in his career.
A dual-winning hurdler, which included landing a decent pot at Ascot back in Feburary, he failed to fire at Kelso on his next outing although may have been amiss and he’s been absent since. However, he switches to chasing on his return to action, and the Ditcheat handler has wasted no time in sending him straight to handicaps where he could be fairly treated from 130.
Given his point-to-point background he looks worth chancing on his return to action faced with fences, and if fully wound up ahead of this comeback appearance then he ought to go close with a clear round.
2.00 – Hahadi
2.30 – Don’t Shout
3.05 – Worthy Farm
3.35 – Gardiners Hill
4.10 – Chequered View
4.40 – Cut And Run
5.15 – Fidelio Vallis
(2.40) FOREVER A LADY (3/1, William Hill) was a winner at Ayr back in July from a mark of 59 and Keith Dalgleish’s charge could well get back on the winning trail following a couple of solid runs in defeat in recent times.
The Dark Angel mare bounced back from some lesser runs to finish third at Hamilton over six furlongs, and she stepped up on that effort back over an extra furlong when denied only by a neck behind Stamp Of Authority latest.
She has only been raised 1lb for that near-miss which puts her back on her last winning mark, and with conditions similar here she could go well from her handy draw from the number one stall. If she can hold her recent form, or indeed find a shade more then she could prove a tough nut to crack here and she can get back to winning ways.
(3.45) QUANAH (3/1, Paddy Power) stepped up on her previous efforts to open her account in heavy ground at Hamilton last month, and Liam Bailey’s charge could follow up here.
The Dandy Man gelding had struggled for form when trained by Mark Tompkins, but he has appeared to find some improvement for the move to this yard, finishing fourth in starts at Hamilton and Redcar prior to that breakthrough success.
He ran out a half-length victor on that occasion, running on well and beating a subsequent winner for which he’s only been raised 3lbs in the ratings. This drop back in trip isn’t sure to suit, but he has shown his best form to date in testing ground, and in a moderate contest where he appears to be one of the more progressive runners he could be worth chancing to strike again.
2.05 – Le Chiffre
2.40 – Forever A Lady
3.10 – Dreamseller
3.45 – Quanah
4.15 – Tor
4.50 – Woodside Wonder
5.25 – Smart Lass
(3.15) RENWICK (5/1, Ladbrokes) showed some fair form over hurdles in a handful of starts, winning twice, and Dan Skelton’s charge can make a winning transition to chasing here.
A Hereford winner back in November last year, he bounced back from a subsequent poor effort to double his tally following a break and wind surgery with a win at Uttoxeter in March. Although he disappointed again at Exeter, finishing down the field behind Here’s Herbie, possibly amiss, that race has since thrown up several winners and returning from another absence he could do better over the larger obstacles.
The Oscar gelding represents a yard which has started the new jumps season well, and he is chanced to find some improvement switched to this discipline where he can go well with a clear round.
(4.20) CHILL IN THE WOOD (9/2, Paddy Power) has run well on both starts at this venue, scoring here last April with a defeat of Like Sully, and although her form was rather patchy following that win she could be worth chancing here to follow up her recent return to winning form at Plumpton.
That win came on the back of wind surgery, and the Desert King mare ran out an easy ten lengths’ winner over Alexander The Grey. That form is only ordinary, and Dominic Ffrench Davis’ charge has more to do from her revised mark having been pushed up 7lbs in the ratings which sees her on a career-high mark.
This also looks a slightly stronger heat, but she arrives in form and could be worth chancing to follow up that last-time win back at this venue where she has run well in the past.
2.10 – Get Back Get Back
2.45 – Getaway Mag
3.15 – Renwick
3.50 – Lock’s Corner
4.20 – Chill In The Wood
4.55 – Another Frontier
(5.30) TAMBOURINE GIRL (5/4, William Hill) doesn’t have the best of the draw here, but the Cable Bay filly could take some beating nonetheless if finding further improvement on her two promising outings to date.
Roger Charlton’s charge finished runner-up on debut at Windsor back in June, denied only by a short-head; and she showed up well next time over this course and distance the following month where she finished just over two lengths’ third behind Hot Touch.
That winner has run well since in a Group Two contest, while the fourth horse home has won twice since and she sets a decent standard on what she has shown thus far. With the potential for further improvement to come, she can open her account here.
(6.00) X FORCE (11/4, Bet365) is giving weight away all round to this field, but Archie Watson’s charge is progressing well and arrives in search of a hat-trick of wins here.
The Bungle Inthejungle gelding had finished runner-up on each of his first two starts on turf before getting off the mark with a defeat of Dana Forever at Wolverhampton in June; that success was duly followed up by a victory at Chelmsford where he beat Hard Nut by one length.
He won a shade cosily despite the relatively small margin of victory, and that form looks fair. This looks slightly easier and a 4lbs rise in the weights doesn’t look harsh so every chance he has more to offer and no surprise to see him collect his three-timer here.
5.00 – Alabama Dreaming
5.30 – Tambourine Girl
6.00 – X Force
6.30 – Highfaluting
7.00 – Little Palaver
7.30 – Sir Busker
8.00 – Cashel
8.30 – Red Gunner