Tuesday 22 October horse racing tips – Don’t Desert Johnston’s 11/10 chance at Newcastle
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for all of Tuesday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
Five UK and Irish horse racing fixtures take place on Tuesday, with afternoon flat racing action from the cards at Yarmouth and the Curragh in Ireland; while over the sticks there is racing from Exeter.
Meanwhile, the evening all-weather action sees racing on the Newcastle tapeta as well as from Kempton on polytrack.
Curragh (flat) – 1.00 – 4.55pm (8 races)
Yarmouth (flat) – 1.40 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Exeter (jumps) – 1.50 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Newcastle (flat, aw) – 2.00 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 4.55 – 8.30pm (8 races)
TUESDAY 22 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(2.40) SIMPLY A BREEZE (5/1, Ladbrokes) offered something to work with when finding only one too good at this venue last month, and with that run under her belt the Casamento filly can go one better.
John Feane’s charge was beaten the thick end of three lengths on that occasion, but although the form has taken a couple of knocks since she could nonetheless be open to further improvement with that experience under her belt.
This could prove to be quite a warm contest, but the Casamento filly could be worth chancing to step up on that debut effort where she can go close.
(4.55) SUMMER’S DREAM (9/2, William Hill) has posted some solid efforts in defeat this term, perhaps none moreso than when finishing only a neck adrift of Scorpion Black at Gowran Park last week.
Tim Doyle’s charge had possibly found the trip stretching her the time before, but she finished off strongly last time over this trip, and having only been raised 1lb in the weights she could go close with a repeat of that effort.
The draw perhaps hasn’t been kind to the Arcano filly, but she arrives in better form than most of her rivals and she ought to be competitive again.
1.00 – Fame And Acclaim
1.30 – Convincer
2.05 – Youceeyouceecee
2.40 – Simply A Breeze
3.15 – Benignitas
3.50 – Blacklooks
4.25 – Countess Matilda
4.55 – Summer’s Dream
(3.25) Lightly-raced LORD HALIFAX (3/1, William Hill) has bettered his finishing position with each start, and the Famous Name gelding can open his win account at the fourth attempt.
Charlie Fellowes’ charge was last seen finishing runner-up behind Moment Of Hope at Wolverhampton back in July, beaten a neck, and now he tries handicapping where a mark of 72 looks workable.
A first-time tonguetie is also applied, and the headgear might help to elicit some further improvement so every chance he can find another jolt of progress to get off the mark now.
(4.00) MAC AILEY (10/3, Ladbrokes) produced a career-best effort stepped up to this longer trip in heavy ground to get off the mark at the 13th attempt, and a repeat of that effort might be good enough to see the Firebreak gelding follow up and double his tally.
Tim Easterby’s charge beat Ragstone Cowboy by just over two lengths, suited by the fast pace and emphasis on stamina, and he carries a 6lbs penalty for that success which might not prove a sufficient enough barrier to success if he can build on that performance.
He has similar conditions here to what he faced last time, and given he appeared to win a shade comfortably latest then he could follow up with the potential for further improvement to come.
1.40 – Queens Blade
2.15 – Made For All
2.50 – Float
3.25 – Lord Halifax
4.00 – Mac Ailey
4.30 – Sweet Forgetme Not
5.00 – Dutch Story
(3.00) Wind surgery seemed to be a catalyst for improved form by ESPALION (8/1, Paddy Power) who ended last season on a high with back-to-back wins at Chepstow, and Jeremy Scott’s charge might be able to land a hat-trick of wins returning from six month off the track.
The Khalkevi gelding had shown only moderate form prior to undergoing the knife, but he returned from a short break to run out a three lengths’ victor over Big Chip And Pin after which he struck again over the same course and distance with a defeat of Iron Horse by just over one length.
He found plenty for pressure that day, while the runner-up has won since, and while the handicapper has hit him hard with a 10lbs rise in the weights there may be more still to come and he could improve again to defy his new mark.
(3.35) REIKERS ISLAND (4/1, William Hill) spent the latter part of last season taking in stronger races than this, but the Yeats gelding can do better back in an easier grade and could prove the answer here despite the burden of top-weight.
Philip Hobbs’ charge had made an encouraging start to life over fences, getting off the mark at the second attempt over the larger obstacels at Wincanton prior to finish a solid fourth to Carole’s Destrier at Newbury in December.
Having struggled in Listed and Grade Three outings in his last couple of outings, pulled up on the latter occasion, he’s been given a break and returns to action in a much more suitable contest where he has been eased 2lbs in the ratings.
His yard has started the season well, and if he turns out here fully tuned up ahead of his reappearance then every chance he can take advantage of the lower grade to get back to winning ways,
1.50 – Chance It
2.25 – Getaway Fred
3.00 – Espalion
3.35 – Reikers Island
4.10 – Thistle Do Nicely
4.40 – First Figaro
5.10 – The Rebel Outlaw
(2.35) Better was clearly expected from GRAND BAZAAR (7/4, William Hill) who had been sent off as odds-on favourite for his debut at Haydock last month, but John Gosden’s charge could only finish third behind Panic Room where he was beaten just under four lengths.
The Golden Horn colt however wasn’t disgraced, and after a slow start he caught the eye finishing well suggesting that the experience was probably needed, and he should improve for that outing.
The drop to seven furlongs ought not to be a problem, but he could be seen to better effect over longer judging on his Epsom Derby entry, and if he can show progress as expected then it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him posting a big run here as he bids to get off the mark at the second attempt.
(3.45) DESERT SAFARI (11/10, Bet365) lost no caste in defeat when finishing third in the Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar earlier in the month, and Mark Johnston’s charge can quickly regain the winning thread.
The Slade Power colt had won both previous starts – both on the all-weather – when successful at Wolverhampton on debut, and then following up at Kempton in September prior to his solid run at Redcar latest.
He was perhaps just undone by the ground on that occasion, but he stuck well to his task and a repeat of that effort back in a lesser grade and returned to the all-weather might be enough to see him get back on the scoresheet here.
2.00 – Elysee Star
2.35 – Grand Bazaar
3.10 – Athollblair Boy
3.45 – Desert Safari
4.20 – In The Cove
4.50 – Primos’s Comet
5.20 – Be Proud
(6.00) PIKE CORNER CROSS (2/1, William Hill) is penalised for his latest success at Wolverhampton five days ago, but David Evans’ charge could follow up here nonetheless.
The Cape Cross gelding struck by a head from Impressionable, having finished third on his penultimate start at the same venue behind Cwynar. He held on well to register his latest success, but the drop back to one mile could be more in his favour and a 4lbs penalty for that success doesn’t look harsh if he continues in similar form.
A visor worn for the first time in that third-placed effort seems to have delivered some improvement, and if the headgear continues to have a positive effect then every chance he can defy his penalty to strike again quickly.
(6.30) RAAEB (4/7, Ladbrokes) made the perfect introduction when running out a debut winner at Doncaster in September, and Saeed bin Suroor’s charge almost followed up on his next outing where only Kinross proved too strong for the Raven’s Pass colt.
Beaten eight length on that occasion, the winner looked a smart prospect, and although well beaten he had in turn pulled clear of the third and rest of the field.
Open to plenty of improvement still, he could have better to come and every chance he can get back to winning ways here.
4.55 – Castel Angelo
5.30 – Caledonia Laird
6.00 – Pike Corner Cross
6.30 – Raaeb
7.00 – Desert Fox
7.30 – Total Commitment
8.00 – Arabist
8.30 – Mullarkey