Ultima Chase tips – keep this improving chaser on your Cheltenham Festival radar
Ultima Chase Tips
Daryl Carter (@DarylCarter7) gives the latest of his Cheltenham day 1 tips here as he runs the rule over the opening day’s biggest handicap, the Ultima Chase
Another tough puzzle to solve with a host of improving young chasers set to do battle. This race is often won by those who possess a touch of class.
Ultima Chase Tips – Ante-post favourite has class
VINNDICATION is a horse I expected to run in the Gold Cup and have an each-way chance so he must be of interest back in a handicap, right?
Wrong, it’s time to think again as he now looks one to avoid with his jumping frailties in the hustle and bustle off likely top weight. He’d be the highest-rated horse in the last ten years to win this but he;s no longer getting my vote unless the weights are seriously compressed.
Great chance but will he make the cut?
THE CONDITIONAL has proven his worth this season with some spectacular efforts including a fine second in the Ladbroke Trophy behind De Rasher Counter (157) when in receipt of just 7lb.
Plenty of his form this season would be enough to see him go close at this year’s Cheltenham Festival off a handicap mark of 139 but he might just miss the cut-off point with a mark of 140 needed to get into the race last year.
25/1 shot appears a great bet
DEISE ABA has been given a 7lb rise for his win at Sandown but was ultimately value for more considering the mistakes he made, including an untimely one at the second-last fence.
The runner-up ultimately failed to stay, but he had some useful staying types in behind and that was an impressive handicap debut. He looks some way ahead of his mark still and off a handicap rating of just 142, he could fulfil the promise he showed earlier in his career. Keep some Cheltenham free bets up your sleeve for this lad.
Could improve on last year’s sixth
ACTIVIAL finished sixth in the Ultima Chase in 2019 off a handicap mark of 151 and returns to the race having been drpped 6lb in four runs since.
He ran well enough in the Denman Chase behind Native River when last seen and, despite being a ten-year-old, he remains relatively unexposed over this three-mile with just the two chase starts in Britain. Might prove vulnerable to younger legs but rates an each-way player and one to consider using some Cheltenham betting offers on.
Class act should run well
It’s two years since ALPHA DES OBEAUX finished second in the World Hurdle behind Thistlecrack but he’s capable of running to a high level over fences.
He will almost certainly be at the head of the weights and the handicapper has been stubborn to give him any relief but his class may see him fare well on Cheltenham Festival day 1.
Gutsy improver hard to write off
CEPAGE has some worthwhile pieces of form at Cheltenham and shouldn’t be written off even off a career-high mark of 155.
The eight-year-old put in an improved performance when last seen to land a Grade 3 event at Cheltenham in gusty fashion but the step up in trip is an unknown prospect and not one you would consider on pedigree.
Ultima Chase Tips – Big-race Verdict
A wide-open contest as you could imagine at this time of the year but I’ve had a small bet on Deise Aba, who I think could have plenty more to come in the familiar Trevor Hemmings silks.