Wednesday 16 October horse racing tips – Stoute’s 3/1 chance can find the target at Nottingham
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across each of Wednesday’s six scheduled UK and Irish racemeetings.
Six more UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Wednesday, and there is afternoon flat racing from the cards at Bath and Nottingham; while over the sticks there are further meetings from Wetherby and Punchestown in Ireland.
The Listed Beresford Stakes is the feature race of the day at the first-named track.
In the evening, there is a brace of all-weather meetings with action on the polytrack at Kempton, while Southwell are racing on their fibresand surface.
Bath (flat) – 1.40 – 4.55pm (7 races)
Nottingham (flat) – 1.55 – 5.15pm (7 races)
Punchestown (jumps) – 2.05 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Wetherby (jumps) – 2.20 – 5.35pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 5.10 – 8.10pm (7 races)
Southwell (flat, aw) – 5.25 – 8.25pm (7 races)
WEDNESDAY 16 OCTOBER NAP SELECTION
(2.45) SALAMANCA SCHOOL (11/4, Paddy Power) shaped well on his debut at Ayr last month, finishing third behind Morisco, and Mark Johnston’s charge can improve for the experience to get off the mark here.
The Rock Of Gibraltar colt was beaten around five lengths, not helped by fluffing the start; but the runner-up has since gone close in a decent contest at York and there may be more to come from the Rock Of Gibraltar colt who ought to have learned from that first run and ought to improve.
This doesn’t look a particularly strong heat, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him step up on that debut outing to go close here.
(4.25) LADY ALAVESA‘s (5/1, William Hill) form is somewhat patchy, but Michael Herrington’s charge is capable of taking a hand if running up to her best and the Westlake filly ran well when last seen out at Chester in September where she finished runner-up behind Fannie By Gaslight.
That was in soft ground, and although beaten by almost four lengths she wasn’t helped by a slow start, so to finish where she did was a decent effort all things considered.
She now drops into a Class 5 contest here where she races from the same mark, and with the drop in distance unlikely to pose an issue then there is every chance she can get back on the scoresheet for the first time since January where she was an all-weather winner from a higher mark than this.
1.40 – Our Oystercatcher
2.10 – Amarilo Star
2.45 – Salamana School
3.20 – Diamond Hill
3.50 – Quel Destin
4.25 – Lady Alavesa
4.55 – Manucci
(2.55) The diminutive Sam Spinner was the best of these over hurdles, but lost his way last term amid signs of temperament although he rates an interesting contender here making his chase debut.
However BEAKSTOWN (13/8, Paddy Power) also makes his first start over the larger obstacles, and the Stowaway gelding can make a winning debut.
Dan Skelton’s charge showed progressive form over hurdles last term, winning twice following wind surgery which included the Leamington Hurdle at Warwick prior to being pulled up in the Ballymore Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.
The Skelton team have started the new season well, and the Stowaway gelding switches to chasing where he could find improvement over the larger obstacles having won previously in the point-to-point sphere so every chance he can make a winning return to action faced with fences now where he rates an exciting prospect.
(4.00) Nigel Twiston-Davies usually has his horses well forward in the early weeks of the jumps season, and CRIEVEHILL (3/1, William Hill) could be worth chancing to get back on the scoresheet over fences.
The Arcadio gelding struck his last win at Sandown in March 2018, but he has had only a handful of starts since over the larger obstacles although his latest fourth in the Kim Muir Chase at the Cheltenham Festival is a solid piece of form and if he can replicate that level back from a break then he could prove a tough nut to crack.
A drop in grade and having been eased in the weights add further credence to his claims, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a big run on his reappearance.
1.50 – Zeb Spirit
2.20 – Highway To Success
2.55 – Beakstown
3.30 – Keep Rolling
4.00 – Crievehill
4.35 – Justatenner
5.05 – Ecu De La Noverie
5.35 – Captain Moirette
(3.05) MAC MCCARTHY (9/2, Bet365) won each of his first two outings in handicaps, scoring wins at Chelmsford and Ffos Las respectively.
Richard Hughes’ charge hasn’t managed to add to his tally in a trio of subsequent runs, but he took a step back in the right direction when finding only one too good in first-time cheekpieces back at Chelmsford latest, and if the headgear has the same positive effect then he could get back on the scoresheet here.
That was in a claimer, and the Anjaal gelding returns to the handicap ranks where the booking of Ryan Moore catches the eye, and a big effort could be forthcoming in what looks a race lacking in any real depth stepping back up in distance.
(3.40) JUNOOH (3/1, William Hill) has got better with each run, getting off the mark at the third attempt in soft ground at Beverley latest, and Sir Michael Stoute’s charge could be worth siding with to follow up.
The Le Havre gelding had shown ability on his debut when finishing fifth at Newmarket in a decent contest, and he followed up that run with a fine second at Chelmsford over this trip before making the breakthrough last time with a six lengths’ defeat of Cathedral Street.
He remains unexposed switching to a handicap from a mark of 78 which could be lenient, and with the prospect of further improvement to come he gets the vote to strike again with conditions unlikely to faze him.
1.55 – Zegalo
2.30 – So I Told You
3.05 – Mac Mccarthy
3.40 – Junooh
4.10 – Ainsdale
4.45 – Wrenthorpe
5.15 – Van Gerwen
(2.35) IAMASTARTOO (7/2, Bet365) has been largely consistent without managing to get her head in front, making the frame in six of her ten career starts which includes a runner-up finish late last month at Navan behind Callthebarman.
The Well Chosen mare was beaten around four lengths, but she was snapping a run of three third-place finishes with that run and Noel Meade’s charge ought to continue to remain competitive with just a 1lb rise in the weights to contend with.
Her consistency ought to be rewarded before too much longer, and this looks a decent opportunity for her to make a breakthrough so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her go close once again and she can get off the mark.
(3.45) Gigginstown runners make up three of the four-runner field for this Grade Three chase, and JAN MAAT (15/8, Paddy Power) could be the pick of the trio to get back on the winning trail for the in-form Henry De Bromhead.
The Electric Beat gelding was a winner at Tipperary in July where he struck by six lengths over Cenotice, and he has found only the resurgent Wicklow Brave too strong in successive starts at Galway and Listowel respectively.
He was only beaten by three-parts of a length latest, but he finished clear of a subsequent winner and may still have more to offer as a chaser. A repeat of that last outing might be good enough here, and he can get back on the scoresheet.
2.05 – Beacon Edge
2.35 – Iamastartoo
3.10 – Shadow Seven
3.45 – Jan Maat
4.15 – Balko Des Flos
4.50 – Court Tycoon
5.20 – Fantasio D’alene
(5.40) CLIPSHAM TIGER (6/1, Paddy Power) is clearly a modest sort, but the Bungle Inthejungle gelding could be worth chancing to build on his career-best run at Beverley last month where he found only one too good behind Dependable.
Michael Appleby’s charge had shown precious little in previous outings, including on the all-weather at Chelmsford and Newcastle; but the application of a hood seemed to have a positive effect for his last outing where he was denied only by a half-length, and if he can step up on that much-improved effort then he could go close here assuming the headgear has the same positive effect.
(6.10) The unbeaten COBBER KAIN (2/1, Bet365) can land a hat-trick of wins, and the Sepoy gelding could prove a tough nut to crack here.
John Gosden’s charge has struck both wins at Chelmsford, latterly running out a two lengths’ winner over Freshwater Cliffs last month where he made most of the running and found plenty once challenged.
That form isn’t particularly strong however, and his opening rating switching to a handicap is no gimme given that he has to concede weight to this field. Nevertheless, he is open to improvement and while this is a tougher test he may well prove equal to the task at hand to land the three-timer.
4.40 – Twilighting
5.10 – Pepper Bay
5.40 – Clipsham Tiger
6.10 – Cobber Kain
6.40 – Khuzaam
7.10 – Serenading
7.40 – Sagittarian Wind
8.10 – Global Acclamation
(5.55) BAADIRR (Evens, Bet365) ran shockingly at Doncaster when last seen, finishing last of four runners behind Royal Commando, but William Haggas’ charge could be worth chancing to bounce back after a break.
The Showcasing colt had stepped up on his debut seventh behind the useful Light Angel to find only one too good in soft ground at Newbury in June, and he might be worth forgiving his last run which may have seen him fail to act on the fast ground.
This deeper surface might suit better, and given the form of his earlier runner-up effort he could be worth giving another chance with Cieran Fallon taking off a handy 3lbs.
(7.25) HAREEM QUEEN (11/8, Paddy Power) has shaped well on both starts to date over further, finishing fourth each time, and Karl Burke’s charge can make a winning return to action following six months off.
The Dark Angel filly was beaten just over two lengths on her debut at Newcastle back in March, and she took a small step forward switched to turf for her next outing at Doncaster when finishing four lengths’ fourth behind Archer’s Dream.
She hasn’t been seen since which is a shade concerting; but if she turns out fully wound up and takes to this fibresand surface then the form of that Doncaster run arguably sets the standard and a repeat might be good enough to see her get off the mark.
5.25 – Vallarta
5.55 – Baadirr
6.25 – Awa Bomba
6.55 – Dark Shot
7.25 – Hareem Queen
7.55 – Mongolia
8.25 – Savitar