Wednesday’s 3,433/1 Lucky 15 – Our UK Racing Best Bets On July 20

Horse Racing Tips on Wednesday, July 20

After two days of cancellations across the racing calendar, Wednesday looks set to host its full compliment of meetings across the UK and Ireland. Our 3,433 Lucky 15 best bets include one from across the water at Naas, as well as three others from Catterick and Lingfield.


Ohnojoe (1.20 Catterick)

There are a few ahead of OHNOJOE in the market who represent slightly more fashionable yards than Olly Williams’. However, in terms of the substance of form, his charge should be seriously considered here.

He made his one and only start to date at Thirsk at the end of June. Despite going off as a relatively unconsidered 40/1 shot, he ran a grand race to be third to Equity’s Darling despite running green. He finished about 2¼ lengths adrift of the re-opposing We’renotreallyhere, but John Quinn’s gelding had the benefit of a run.

Ohnojoe was otherwise at least 1½ lengths ahead of the remainder of his rival,. It was a very solid performance first time out and if he is more organised in running, he could seriously improve.

Overturning form with Quinn’s runner is distinctly possible with that run under his belt and he is fairly priced each-way.


Alcazan (3.20 Lingfield)

James Fanshawe’s Ischia is the least exposed here and could well set up, but at relatively prohibitive odds even for this race, she is opposed on the basis of having never run on the all-weather.

It is not a surface that every horse takes to and while Our Louise contests this off the same mark as a recent neck second over course and distance, preference is for the top-weight ALCAZAN. She has a victory over track and trip to her name on New Year’s Eve last year.

Roger Teal’s last three runners on the flat have produced 12/1 and 10/3 winners as well as a 33/1 runner-up, so the yard may be about to have a serious burst of form. This daughter of Al Kazeem has five wins to her name, all on all-weather surfaces, the most recent coming at Kempton in June.

That came off a mark of 66 and she made all from the front. Since then, she has a fine third over 7f at the same venue off 4lb higher, though the return to turf, where she has never been in the first three, did not work at Chester.

Back at her optimum trip of 6f on Lingfield’s polytrack, she should go close again. She is only 3lb above her last winning mark and her two runs at Kempton suggest she may still be progressive.


After Eight (3.55 Lingfield)

Party Island has made an excellent transition back to flat racing. With form of 21 over course and distance the last twice, he is worth taking seriously.

That said, his margin of victory last time out was very narrow and Andrew Balding runs AFTER EIGHT here, who gets an extra 11lb in weight allowance for being a three-year-old. In this colt’s short career so far, he is yet to finish outside the first three.

He began life with three runs on the all-weather in February and March. He was second in the first two before getting off the mark at Lingfield over 1m2f when odds-on. Since then, he has been third in two handicaps on turf when, on both occasions, he ran too freely.

That may remain a slightly worry over 1m4f here, but given his greater success has come on surfaces like this, a mark of 74 could prove lenient. This could still end up being his best trip and if he learns to settle, there should be plenty more to come.


Lady Tilbury (7.00 Naas)

It is surprising that LADY TILBURY, who won so well at both Cork and Tipperary, is such a price for this Listed contest at Naas.

The highlight of the day in terms of Grade, there are less exposed types who arrive with significant potential, but in four runs, David Marnane’s filly has generally equipped herself very well. She was only narrowly beaten on debut before scoring by three lengths on her second start.

She then had Mehmar behind at Tipperary, a horse who had pushed the well-regarded The Antarctic close on debut. Her form stacks up and though she was then tenth of 21 in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot, the winner might be very useful.

Moreover, she did a lot of the heavy lifting down the centre of the track, ultimately setting the race up better for others. Back in this company, she could be very dangerous again.