Friday 16 August horse racing tips – Vibes are Good for Evans’ 9/2 chance at Newbury
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Friday’s UK and Irish racemeetings.
Eight UK and Irish horse racing fixtures go to post on Friday, and the afternoon racing action comes on the all-weather at Wolverhampton, while there is further flat racing action on turf from Nottingham, Thirsk and Newbury where there is Listed action on the card.
The evening racing meanwhile comes from Newmarket’s July Course on turf, and from Chelmsford on the all-weather. There is also flat racing in Ireland from the Curragh where there is Group Three action with the Irish St Leger Trial and Royal Whip Stakes both on the agenda.
Completing the Friday line-up is a jumps racing card at Tramore in Ireland.
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) – 1.40 – 4.50pm (7 races)
Newbury (flat) – 1.50 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Nottingham (flat) – 2.00 – 5.20pm (7 races)
Thirsk (flat) – 4.55 – 8.05pm (7 races)
Tramore (jumps) – 5.00 – 8.10pm (7 races)
Newmarket (flat) – 5.15 – 7.55pm (6 races)
Curragh (flat) – 5.10 – 8.20pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 5.40 – 8.45pm (7 races)
(2.10) BEIGNET (3/1, William Hill) has had a few chances now to break her duck, but Richard Hannon’s charge can open her account at the ninth attempt here.
The Canford Cliffs filly is perhaps beginning to look a shade exposed now, but she has proven largely consistent, and she has made the frame in three of her last four outings which includes here on her penultimate start behind Blitzle.
Not seen to best effect latest at Sandown, this doesn’t look a strong race and may provide a decent opportunity for her to get off the mark where she turns out 2lbs below the rating from which she went close here previously.
(2.45) FAIRY FAST (10/3, William Hill) was a winner at Ripon back in May when trained by David O’Meara, but while she has been winless since that run she has posted a string of runner-up efforts in the wake of that success and may be able to get back on the scoresheet now.
Now with George Boughey, the Requinto filly most recently was denied by less than one length behind Requited at Lingfield earlier in the month where she was outpaced early before running on.
Despite her string of near-misses she remains feasibly weighted and can deliver another big run here, assuming of course that this doesn’t come too soon just three days on.
1.40 – Maid Millie
2.10 – Beignet
2.45 – Fairy Fast
3.15 – Above
3.50 – Dubai Souq
4.20 – Alma Linda
4.50 – Maximum Effect
(3.30) GOOD VIBES (9/2, Bet365) ran better than the bare result following a short break when finishing fifth in the Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes at Ascot latest, but David Evans’ charge had looked progressive prior to that run with back-to-back wins which included in a big field at York where the Due Diligence filly was an impressive winner over Mighty Spirit.
Fifth at Ascot where six furlongs may just have stretched her stamina having raced keenly, she has since seen that form franked with a subsequent Listed winner coming out of the race, and a return to the minimum distance could be in her favour.
Given her earlier progressive form, she is taken to bounce back to winning ways here where she could prove to be a tough nut to crack.
(4.35) BREATH OF JOY (4/1, Paddy Power) looked a potentially useful prospect when finding only one too good on her debut last month at Kempton, and with that run under her belt the Kodiac filly could go one place better here.
Beaten just over one length behind Hot Touch, she ought to come on for that experience, and the form has been franked since by the fourth who won next time out.
Open to improvement and switching to turf, she can build on that debut effort to get off the mark at the second attempt.
1.50 – Ottoman Court
2.25 – Marshal Dan
2.55 – Walter White
3.30 – Good Vibes
4.00 – Point Of Order
4.35 – Breath Of Joy
5.05 – Saikung
(3.40) POLYPHONY (11/4, William Hill) won at Musselburgh last September, and the Power filly has since made a winning reappearance at Ayr in May prior to landing a trio of silver medal finishes at Carlisle (twice) and here in his last outing.
John Mackie’s charge was denied only by a neck latest over course and distance behind Al Messila, with the pair pulling clear. That form has since been boosted by the third and fourth horses home both winning since, and a subseuqnet 2lbs rise in the weights remains workable.
He has the potential for better still and he remains a progressive sort who should continue to be in the mix; it would be no surprise to see him get back on the scoresheet here.
(4.45) Progressive BIRDCAGE WALK (4/1, Coral) is chasing a hat-trick of wins having already struck at Nottingham and Windsor, and the Sea The Moon filly can land the three-timer.
Hugo Palmer’s charge saw off the useful Teodor De Vega over course and distance in June, scoring by two lengths, and she subsequently followed up with another ready success over Gallic at Windsor where she was one length to the good.
While Ralph Beckett’s charge has improved since meeting defeat behind the selection, the pair meet here on the same terms, and with the potential for better still to come Hugo Palmer’s charge gets the vote to come out on top here.
2.00 – Clan Royale
2.35 – One Boy
3.05 – Ghaly
3.40 – Polyphony
4.10 – Not So Sleepy
4.45 – Birdcage Walk
5.20 – Dolly Dupree
(5.10) FOR THE TREES (4/1, Ladbrokes) has progressed with each start, finishing runner-up at Leopardstown in July before getting off the mark at Sligo latest earlier in August where Jessica Harrington’s charge ran out a near-two lengths’ winner over Believe In Beauty.
The Ivawood filly made all the running that day over the minimum trip, and she was able to be eased down late having secured the victory with a blistering performance that hinted at better still to come.
She steps back up to six furlongs for this handicap debut where she appears fairly weighted on her exploits to date, and with the potential for further improvement she gets the vote to follow up that success with another win.
(6.15) All six runners in this contest are trained by Aiden or Joseph O’Brien, with the former having two in the race and the latter making up the balance.
It could be CAPRI (7/2, Paddy Power) who comes out on top, and the Galileo colt can emerge from his spell in the doldrums to get back on the winning trail having struggled since his win the 2017 St Leger.
The Ballydoyle inmate was a Naas Group three winner on his reappearance last April, but he has been unable since to land a glove on a big prize although to be fair to him he has contested in some hot races behind the likes of Waldgeist, Enable and Cracksman.
He has had three runs this term, with a Listed third plae finish his best run to date; but he wasn’t disgraced behind Stradivarius in the Ascot Gold Cup where he finished eighth, and if he can build on that performance then he could get back on the scoresheet for all he has something to find with reopposing Master Of Reality who has twice finished ahead of the selection twice this term.
4.40 – Yulong Voice
5.10 – For The Trees
5.45 – Lil Grey
6.15 – Capri
6.45 – Sir Dragonet
7.15 – Ultra Pride
7.50 – Musalsal
8.20 – Downforce
(5.25) THREE COINS (6/1, Ladbrokes) has been contesting in stronger races than this since winning her debut at Ripon back in May, and with her sights eased Richard Fahey’s charge can get back on the scoresheet.
The Fountain Of Youth filly went close at Beverley on her penultimate start, finding only Seize The time too strong over five furlongs, and she ran better than the bare result suggests when finishing down the field behind Rose Of Kildare latest at Newmarket although she never seriously got involved.
This is easier back in novice company from the handicap ranks, and the only runner in the field with winning form to her name she could bounce back here.
(7.30) SPIORAD (9/4, William Hill) has won two of his last three starts which includes his latest outing at Redcar where the Invincible Spirit gelding was returning from wind surgery.
The lightly-raced four-year old had won at the same track in June, but he ran out an easy five lengths’ winner latest when fitted with a tongue-tie, and there could be better to come from him despite being penalised for this latest outing.
Given the manner of that success however, a 5lbs penalty doesn’t look prohibitive, and with the potential for further improvement still he can win again here.
4.55 – Mansfield
5.25 – Three Coins
5.55 – Alotabottle
6.30 – Montatham
7.00 – Nibras Again
7.30 – Spiorad
8.05 – Majeste
(5.00) BARRA (6/4, Bet365) has never fully convinced as a chaser, but Gordon Elliott’s charge could be worth chancing to bounce back from her effort in the Galway Plate to get back on the scoresheet.
The Vendangeur mare has shown herself to be a decent hurdler, and she promised much when beating Oathkeeper on her chase debut at Kilbeggan last July. Things haven’t gone to plan since however, and her jumping has largely been the root cause of her shortcomings.
A faller back at Kilbeggan two starts ago in their Midlands National when looking set to score, she contested the Galway Plate where she struggled to get competitive with her jumping holding her back.
This is easier though, and a smaller field will surely suit her where she can get a better look at the obstacles. The pick at the weights for this contest, she holds solid claims and if her jumping holds up then it wouldn’t be a surprise to see her get back to winning ways.
5.30 – Shes Flat Tothemat
6.00 – Wink Wink
6.35 – Tintown Robin
7.05 – Roney
7.35 – Imperial Choice
8.10 – Getaway Gorgeous
(5.15) EQUITATION (4/1, William Hill) had been in good form prior to a creditable sixth in a competitive contest last time, and the Equiano gelding can get back on the scoresheet here.
Stuart Williams’ charge had won at Windsor back in May, beating Danzan, and he hit the crossbar on subsequent outings back at Windsor prior to his three lengths’ sixth behind Show Stealer latest.
He fared best of the group which ran away from the pace, and he can compete here from the same mark where a repeat of that effort could be good enough to see him getting back on the scoresheet in a race where he drops back in grade.
(7.55) PINNATA‘s (7/2, Bet365) best form so far has come on the all-weather, but Stuart Williams’ charge ran arguably his best race to date on turf when finding only one too good at this venue last month on his return from five months off.
Although he was ultimately well-beaten by four lengths, the Shamardal gelding ought to strip fitter for that return, and he remains low mileage on turf so could have more still to offer on this surface where he is well handicapped on his all-weather form.
A hat-trick winner over the winter, including off a mark of 90, he turns out here on turf from just 77 and if he can recapture his best all-weather form then he could get back to winning ways on this surface.
5.15 – Swinley Forest
5.50 – Equitation
6.20 – Diyari
6.50 – Catch My Breath
7.20 – Capriolette
7.55 – Pinnata
(6.40) MERCENARY ROSE (11/4, Bet365) had a few of these behind when being denied only by a short-head at Goodwood earlier in the month, and Paul Cole’s charge is taken to go one better here.
The Sepoy filly has been in good form since her return, making the frame in four of her five starts this campaign, and she was thought good enough to contest a Group Three on her return where she pitched into the Nell Gwyn Stakes.
Possibly in need of that outing, she beat only one home; but she has run well since, and almost got back to winning ways for the first time since scoring on debut. She is 5lbs higher here, but she has the scope to improve further and every chance she can get back to winning ways here with a repeat of that latest effort.
(7.10) MUTHMIR (11/2, Coral) isn’t the force of old, and his losing streak is mounting up; but the Invincible Spirit gelding is taken to get back on the winning trail here.
William Haggas’ charge posted his last success at Haudock last June in the Listed Achilles Stakes, and he largely acquitted himself well in defeat thereafter. However, he hasn’t looked the same force in three outingsthis year, and he finished down the field at Ascot last time in the Heritage Handicap.
Making just his third start on polytrack, he could be suited by this smaller field, and he has a decent draw so may well be able to bounce back to winning ways here with the prospect of a decent pace in his favour.
5.40 – Collette
6.10 – Cool Sphere
6.40 – Mercenary Rose
7.10 – Muthmir
7.45 – Mubhij
8.15 – Victory Command
8.45 – Sandy Steve
9.15 – Chakrii