Friday 20 September horse racing tips – Dalgleish’s 7/4 chance set to shine at Ayr
Brian Healy gives his race by race selections and best bets for all of Friday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
The Ayr Gold Cup meeting continues into a second day on Friday where there is further Listed action on the card at the Scottish venue as well as the Bronze Cup consolation race.
There is also Listed action on Newbury’s Friday racecard, while Newton Abbot and Ballinrobe in Ireland both race over the sticks.
All-weather action meanwhile in the evening comes from the Newcastle tapeta, and also Dundalk’s polytrack surface.
Newbury (flat) – 1.15 – 5.05pm (8 races)
Ayr (flat) – 1.40 – 5.30pm (8 races)
Newton Abbot (jumps) – 2.00 – 4.45pm (6 races)
Ballinrobe (jumps) – 3.30 – 7.10pm (8 races)
Newcastle (flat, aw) – 5.15 – 8.20pm (7 races)
Dundalk (flat, aw) – 4.50 – 8.35pm (8 races)
(1.50) SMOKEY BEAR (2/1, William Hill) stepped up on a promising debut third at Windsor to go one better next time over the same course when finding only Endowed too strong by two lengths; Roger Charlton’s charge can get off the mark at the third attempt with the potential for further improvement still to come.
The Kodiac colt has seen that form franked by both the winner and third place horse, who have both registered wins since and this could be a decent opportunity for him to open his account at the third attempt in a race where he sets the form standard on his exploits to date, and he ought to remain competitive here.
(2.20) It could be worth giving another chance to ALMOST MIDNIGHT (11/2, Paddy Power) who ran too badly to be true at Newmarket latest, where David Simcock’s charge may have been amiss, and the Siyouni colt may be better judged on earlier exploits including when scoring at Thirsk in May.
Far from disgraced in the Queen’s Vase subsequently during Royal Ascot, he found only one too good at Ascot in July, and that winner has gone in again since along with the third, fourth and fifth horses so it looks decent form.
He failed to deliver latest, failing to beat a rival at Flat HQ, but he is better than what he was able to show on that occasion and having looked progressive prior to that disappointing run he is taken to bounce back here.
1.15 – Tommy Rock
1.50 – Smokey Bear
2.20 – Almost Midnight
2.55 – Macho Time
3.25 – Acquitted
3.55 – Tabarrak
4.30 – Quadrilateral
5.05 – Regular Income
(4.20) ALRIGHT SUNSHINE (7/4, William Hill) almost landed a big gamble two weeks ago at Haydock where the Casamento gelding was just outbattled on the run to the line by Time To Study, eventually succumbing by a neck.
Keith Dalgleish’s charge lost no caste in defeat, and he had won his previous two outings at Ripon and Musselburgh so he could be in line for some compensation in this slightly easier grade.
He perhaps didn’t help in rider in that Merseyside encounter by hanging left for most of the last furlong, and although he briefly got to the front he was unable to hold off the challenge of the winner who battled back well.
The handidapper has pushed him up 4lbs in the weights which will demand more, but he could be suited by this even longer trip and still with the potential for better to come he looks worth chancing to get back on the scoresheet here.
(4.55) DREAMSELLER (13/2, Ladbrokes) produced a career-best effort when equipped with first-time cheekpieces, beating Tails I Win at Wolverhampton earlier in the month, and Tim Easterby’s charge can follow up here returned to turf.
The Dream Ahead gelding had been a maiden prior to that success, but he had run several solid races in defeat which include finishing a half-length runner-up the time before at Thirsk behind Mecca’s Gift at Thirsk.
The cheekpieces are retained for this outing, and while he is 6lbs higher in the weights he ought to remain competitive and every chance he’ll be involved in the finish again given his largely consistent profile.
1.40 – Gravity Force
2.10 – Alix James
2.40 – Isabeau
3.15 – Last Empire
3.45 – Lucky Lucky Man
4.20 – Alright Sunshine
4.55 – Dreamseller
5.30 – Mitigator
(2.30) BERMEO (9/2, William Hill) won a hat-trick of starts around this time last year, which included at this venue, and Johnny Farrelly’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.
Third over hurdles on his return to action in May, he struck back over fences at Fontwell in June and has made the frame in subsequent runs over hurdles and fences at this venue and latterly finding only Royale Django too strong latest.
The fourth from that race has won since, and the handicapper has left him alone at the weights so he should remain competitive in this contest with stronger handling likely to help with James Best taking over from a claimer.
(3.35) SHANKSFORAMILLION (3/1, Bet365) hasn’t won since 2017 when the Needle Gun gelding reeled off a Worcester hat-trick; but recent efforts have suggested that Diane Hamer’s charge is back to something like his best and he can exploit this lowly rating to end his drought.
Runner-up latest at Worcester behind Show’s Over where he was beaten just over two lengths, he is due to go up 4lbs for that run; but he is 7lbs below his last winning mark, and a repeat of that last effort should see him firmly in the mix once again so another big run wouldn’t come as a surprise.
2.00 – Ruthless Article
2.30 – Bermeo
3.05 – Nordican Bleue
3.35 – Shanksforamillion
4.10 – Caius Marcius
4.45 – Guerrilla Tactics
(4.35) YOUNGNEDOFTHEHILL (13/2, William Hill) has finished runner-up on his last two starts, but the King’s Theatre gelding can get back to winning ways here.
Shane Nolan’s charge hasn’t tasted success since winning here back in August 2017, but recent efforts suggest that might change before too long and the form of his last outing has been franked with both the winner and third horses winning since.
He is only 1lb higher here, and he has placed from higher ratings in the past so ought to remain competitive and every chance he can end his lengthy losing run here.
3.30 – Harvest Bow
4.00 – My Midnight
4.35 – Youngnedofthehill
5.10 – Buttons And Bows
5.40 – Northern Emperor
6.10 – Ordinary World
6.40 – Allied Victory
7.10 – Pottlerath
(4.50) BAILLY (12/1, Bet365) hasn’t been seen out since beating only one home behind Servalan in a Listed contest at Naas back in July, but Ger Lyons’ charge could be worth chancing to bounce back here having looked progressive prior to that run.
The Charm Spirit filly was possibly amiss on that occasion, and given she had won the time before at the same venue in a handicap then she may be worth forgiving that latest run where she crossed the line some 15 lengths adrift of the winner.
Also a dual-winner last term, she tackles polytrack for the first time; but easing back in grade she could go close if returning to her best.
(6.30) HIDDEN SPARK (4/1, William Hill) got off the mark at Fairyhouse back in July, beating Silk Cravat by a half-length, and Diane Love’s Dream Ahead filly has run well in defeat in both starts since with a pair of in-the-frame efforts at Gowran Park.
She latterly found only Luminent too strong by a short-head, just caught on the line; but she is only 1lb higher in the weights here and her generally consistent profile suggests she should continue to remain competitive.
With a good 5lbs claimer on his back to ease his weight burden then he has to warrant respect in this contest and while he hasn’t shown much in two previous starts on this surface he could be worth chancing to continue his good spell of form.
4.50 – Bailly
5.25 – Zaamar
6.00 – Munaajaat
6.30 – Hidden Spark
7.00 – Pixel Power
7.35 – Cacique Royale
8.05 – Simsir
8.35 – Ally Cay
(5.50) HOOFLEPUFF (3/1, William Hill) showed some improvement for the switch to James Fanshawe, twice finishing third in ouitngs at Wolverhampton and Kempton prior to getting off the mark in a Wolverhampton claimer latest where he beat Vampish by four lengths.
The Gale Force Ten gelding has since joined Brian Ellison, and he turns out here under a penalty which makes life a shade tougher, but he could well have further improvement to come for his shrewd new handler and remains unexposed over this longer trip.
If the headgear continues to have the same positive effect as in recent outings then he can defy his 6lbs penalty to strike again here.
(6.50) MARVEL (Evens, Paddy Power) has hit the crossbar in each of his last three starts, including here latest when denied only by a neck behind Buniann earlier in the month.
Julie Camacho’s charge only gave way in the last half-furlong on that occasion, and the Poet’s Voice gelding has shown enough to suggest he can pick up a race. He could prove the answer in this contest where he remains open to improvement and he is unexposed on the all-weather so may have better still to come.
The presence of a good 3lbs claimer in the saddle can only enhance his chances of success at the weights, and he could be up to the task of getting on the scoreboard here at the fourth attempt.
5.15 – Blame It On Sally
5.50 – Hooflepuff
6.20 – Island Storm
6.50 – Marvel
7.20 – Blindingly
7.50 – Pentewan
8.20 – Breathoffreshair