Wednesday’s horse racing tips and best bets – Ashturia to prove hard to beat at Fairyhouse
Brian Healy gives his horse racing tips and race-by-race selections for Wednesday 16 November fixtures across the UK and Ireland.
The action cranks up a gear on Wednesday, and there are four scheduled meetings to go to post with jumps racing from Warwick and Chepstow as well as from Ireland at Fairyhouse.
Unfortunately, Hexham’s Wednesday jumps fixture has been lost to the weather leaving a fixture on the all-weather at Kempton, who are racing under the floodlights to complete the day’s line-up of race cards.
Fairyhouse (jumps) – 12.10 – 3.55pm (8 races)
Hexham (jumps) – 12.25 – 3.40pm (7 races) (ABANDONED)
Warwick (jumps) – 12.35 – 3.50pm (7 races)
Chepstow (jumps) – 12.50 – 4.05pm (7 races)
Kempton (flat, aw) – 4.10 – 7.40pm (8 races)
HEXHAM – ABANDONED
(12.40) ASTHURIA (10/11, Bet365) was set a very stiff task on her debut for Willie Mullins back in March, but the Sagacity mare rose to the occasion to finish a hugely creditable third behind Jer’s Girl in a Grade One contest here.
The ex-French trained mare sets a solid standard on that piece of form, and while the County Carlow trainer has had a low-key start to the new campaign, she should be very hard to beat if running to a similar level on her return to action in a much easier contest.
12.10 – Avenir D’une Vie
12.40 – Asthuria
1.10 – Neddyvaughn
1.45 – Whitber’s Choice
2.15 – Emma Beag
2.50 – Lake Takapuna
3.25 – Smadynium
3.55 – Some Neck
(1.00) SONG SAA (11/4, Bet365) won both of her first two starts over hurdles back in March, but her handicap debut at Perth in April was poor and the Midnight Legend mare trailed home tenth of 12 runners.
Tin George’s charge is forgiven that poor effort returning from a break where the softer ground here may coincide with an improved effort; and she shaped well on her return from an absence last term when chasing home Beyond Measure in a bumper at Huntingdon, so lack of a run shouldn’t be a concern.
With her stable going great guns at present, she remains unexposed and it wouldn’t be a surprise if she were to prove capable of making a winning debut over fences.
(2.40) ROYAL PLAZA (5/2, Bet365) has found winning difficult, and the King’s Theatre gelding remains a maiden; however, he has built up a string of solid in-the-frame efforts and can finally get off the mark here.
Alan King’s runners are in good heart, and he hasn’t done much wrong with recent runner-up efforts behind Pickamix and Vote Of Confidence in outings at Uttoxeter and Bangor last twice where he hasn’t been beaten too far in either run.
A 2lbs rise in the weights makes life a shade tougher given he has struggled to get his head in front; but he had drew clear of the third home last time having perhaps got to the front too soon, and he should go close with a repeat of that effort dropped slightly in trip.
12.30 – Get Rhythm
1.00 – Song Saa
1.35 – Toberdowney
2.05 – Top Notch
2.40 – Royal Plaza
3.15 – Yanmare
3.45 – Cockney Wren
(12.50) Better was expected from ex-French flat winner GARO DE JUILLEY (6/5, Bet365) on his Cheltenham debut last month, but he spoiled his chances by racing with the choke out early and Paul Nicholls’ charge didn’t look the most straightforward of customers as he fought Sean Bowen throughout.
He may have benefitted from that experience however, where he finished fifth behind the potentially smart Thomas Campbell and next-time winner Khezerabad; and entitled to progress for that first encounter over hurdles, he could have better to come for a yard who excels with their ex-French imports.
The Ungaro gelding certainly showed a good level of ability in two runs on the level for Christophe Weber last term, and it is far too soon to write him off. He can leave that debut run behind to go close in this contest with Nick Scholfield taking over in the saddle.
(2.25) It could be worth chancing a return to form by FINANCIAL CLIMATE (16/1, Bet365, each-way) who has gone well fresh in the past, and although he hasn’t won for some considerable time since going back-to-back last February/March, he remains capable of useful form at his best.
Oliver Sherwood’s Exit To Nowhere gelding produced one of his better efforts at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day when finishing third behind Perfect Candidate, and he largely failed to back that up aside from a solid sixth to Any Currency back at Prestbury Park in April.
Pulled up when last seen out behind Valadom at Uttoxeter in May, he makes his return here having been dropped 4lbs in the ratings and his sights are eased into a Class 4 handicap now, having competed in stronger races last term. His last win came from 5lbs higher at Sandown in March 2015, and his last Uttoxeter appearance has thrown up plenty of winners since, so this course and distance winner looks to hold solid claims in this lesser grade if fit to go on his return to action.
12.50 – Garo De Juilley
1.20 – Compadre
1.55 – Verygoodverygood
2.25 – Financial Climate
3.00 – Present Trend
3.35 – Azert De Coeur
4.05 – Court King
(5.40) JERSEY HEARTBEAT (12/1, Bet365, each-way) was given a tender introduction when finishing sixth on debut at Doncaster earlier in the month, running green but not given a hard time; and Richard Hannon’s charge can build on the experience to go close on this latest outing.
The Bated Breath filly shaped with some ability, but she could never quite go the pace of the leaders and should be suited this additional furlong. Entitled to progress for the initial run, she tries polytrack now and could have more to offer for her in-form yard.
(6.10) QATAR MAN (11/8, Bet365) has found one too good on both starts this term, but Marco Botti’s charge has done nothing wrong in either start and can get off the mark now at the third attempt.
The Archarcharch colt hasn’t been beaten far in either, going down by a nexk to Hajaj at Chelmsford on his debut in August, and following up with a three-parts of a length defeat behind Aventinus next time over the same course and distance.
That winner has gone close since in stronger company, while the third has won next time up so the form looks strong; and with improvement likely he sets a fairly stiff standard for the others to match.
4.10 – Top Diktat
4.40 – Imperial City
5.10 – Leshlaa
5.40 – Jersey Heartbeat
6.10 – Qatar Man
6.40 – Hathal
7.10 – Wrangler
7.40 – Southern Stars