Monday 22 July horse racing tips – Palmer’s 9/4 chance can Walk over Windsor opposition
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Monday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
The week gets underway with a five-fixture schedule of UK and Irish horse racing action, taking in meetings at Ayr on the flat, and Cartmel over the sticks in the afternoon.
Meanwhile, the evening action comes on the flat from Beverley and Windsor, and also Ballinrobe in Ireland.
Ayr (flat) – 1.30 – 5.15pm (8 races)
Cartmel (jumps) – 2.15 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Ballinrobe (flat) – 5.35 – 8.40pm (7 races)
Windsor (flat) – 5.45 – 8.50pm (7 races)
Beverley (flat) – 5.55 – 9.00pm (7 races)
MONDAY 22 JULY NAP SELECTION
(2.00) The drop to sprinting seems to have worked wonders for TARNHELM (9/1, William Hill) who is 2-2 over six furlongs, and Wilf Storey’s charge can make it a hat-trick.
Both wins have come at Carlisle, and she appeared to score a shade readily latest despite missing the break. She only had a head to spare at the line, but she could post another big run over this trip given that she remains unexposed as a sprinter.
An 8lbs rise in the weights demands more, but the Helmet filly is going the right way and she can continue her good spell to land the three-timer.
(3.05) ANNEXATION‘s (11/4, Paddy Power) three runs to date haven’t been devoid of promise, but there could be better to come from Ed Dunlop’s charge now that he steps up in trip for his handicap debut.
The Wootton Bassett colt was latterly beaten around six lengths into fourth behind Drummond Warrior at Windsor last month, shaping as if a stiffer test would suit than the six furlongs of that contest.
He steps up to seven furlongs for this outing, and an opening mark of 64 looks workable on his exploits to date; he ought to be competitive and this could be a decent opening for him to get off the mark.
1.30 – Master McGrath
2.00 – Tarnhelm
2.30 – Hard Solution
3.05 – Annexation
3.35 – Retirement Beckons
4.10 – Ventura Royal
4.45 – Asian Angel
5.15 – Burn Some Dust
(2.45) POINT N SHOOT (5/1, William Hill) has won two of his last three starts, scoring at Sedgefield in April before possibly being amiss at Southwell next time out behind The Drone where he was pulled up.
Nigel Hawke’s Broadway Flyer gelding was racing from out of the handicap that day, and the performance facilitated a wind surgery in the wake of that run. He subsequently bounced back following a short break to score at Fontwell, and it would be no surprise to see him posting a solid run here.
He won by six lengths latest, and the wind operation could yield some further improvement which will be needed if he’s to defy a 7lbs hike up the weights. He could however be worth chancing to strike again.
(3.20) BLACK ANTHEM (Evens, William Hill) was a chase winner for Brian Barr prior to joining forces with Dr Richard Newland, and the Royal Anthem gelding wasted no time in getting off the mark for this yard when scoring at Stratford on his return from three months off the track on his yard debut.
The seven-year old struck by three-parts of a length, racing lazily in front but always on, and he can race from the same mark here so could be hard to beat.
Sam Twiston-Davies takes over in the saddle from claimer Charlie Hammond, but that is no bad thing and he can make it 2-2 with another success in a race which probably won’t take a lot of winning.
2.15 – Dagian
2.45 – Point N Shoot
3.20 – Black Anthem
3.50 – Sonic
4.25 – Jeu De Mots
5.00 – Winter Lion
5.30 – Frightened Rabbit
(6.05) MATER MATUTA (5/4, Ladbrokes) has some useful form to her name, and she found some improvement following the application of cheekpieces to post back-to-back bronze medal finishes at Leopardstown and Naas in June.
Jim Bolger’s charge was beaten just under two lengths behind Simply Beautiful in the latest of those runs, unable to sustain her effort; but the winner has since run well in Listed and Group Three company, and this looks an easier assignment than those she has faced to date.
She could take some beating, and with the potential for better still then she can get off the mark here.
(7.10) TURNBERRY ISLE (11/8, Bet365) has contested in some very useful in his career, and the Galileo colt got back to winning ways when opening his account for the season at Killarney five days ago with a defeat of Tony The Gent.
Aidan O’Brien’s charge isn’t one of the yard’s leading lights, but he is a capable performer and turned out quickly back in handicap company under a 6lbs penalty, he could be worth siding with to follow up here with a repeat of that latest effort.
This field looks no stronger than the one he vanquished during the recent Summer Festival at the County Kerry track, and he ought to remain competitive despite his hike up the weights.
5.35 – Eastern Racer
6.05 – Mater Matuta
6.40 – Faerie Laws
7.10 – Turnberry Isle
7.40 – Belle Cora
8.10 – Khudha
8.40 – Convara
(6.15) MILD ILLUSION (4/1, William Hill) didn’t shape at all badly on her debut at Newbury last month, finding only Special Secret too strong by just over four lengths despite looking in need of the experience.
Jonathan Portman’s Requinto filly did well considering he was was slowly away and then hampered at the start, and he met with trouble in running later in the race so it was a much more creditable effort than the margin of victory might otherwise suggest.
The winner was admittedly impressive, and even with a clear run he probably wouldn’t have won; but he did run on, and he finished clear of the rest despite not being given a particularly hard time from the saddle.
He ought to have learnt plenty from that first run, and with the potential for improvement on the back of that experience then he ought to be competitive again, so it would be no surprise to see him go one better.
(7.50) BIRDCAGE WALK (9/4, Paddy Power) has shown race-by-race progress, twice finishing runner-up in starts this term before getting off the mark at Nottingham last month when beating Teodora De Vega by almost two lengths in heavy ground when stepped up to ten furlongs.
The Sea The Moon filly found only one too good on both previous starts at one mile at this venue when fitted with a hood, and Hugo Palmer’s charge can build on that last success to double up here where she remains unexposed over the longer trip.
A 5lbs rise in the weights demands more, but she’s progressive and handles softer ground so she looks to have plenty in her favour as she bids to win again.
5.45 – Whistler Bowl
6.15 – Mild Illusion
6.50 – Philipine Cobra
7.20 – Daschas
7.50 – Birdcage Walk
8.20 – Two Bids
8.50 – Bruyere
(5.55) VOLCANIQUE (8/1, William Hill) hasn’t set the heather alight in four starts in maiden and novice company, but now her sights are set handicapping and facing a much stiffer test of stamina, Sir Mark Prescott’s charge could prove a different proposition.
In four runs last term, she collectively only managed to beat three rivals; but she is bred to be useful and to appreciate a much stiffer test behing by Galileo and a Montjeu mare who was a Group Three winner.
She could prove a typical handicap improver for this shrewd yard, and it would be no surprise to see her post a much better run on her reappearance faced with this longer distance.
(7.00) AFANDEM (5/1, William Hill) got back to winning ways for the first time in almost three years when scoring at Carlisle back in May, and Tim Easterby’s charge has largely continued to run well in defeat.
The Vale Of York gelding has had four subsequent runs since that success, and he arrives here on the back of successive runner-up efforts where he was beaten a head and half-length respectively, finishing well in the latter.
He is only 2lbs higher here, and a repeat of either of those last outings could be good enough to see him get back on the mark.
5.55 – Volcanique
6.25 – Dream Kart
7.00 – Afandem
7.30 – Maqaadeer
8.00 – Kylie Rules
8.30 – Red Seeker
9.00 – Bigbadboy