Monday 29 July horse racing tips – Balding’s 15/8 can dance into Ffos Las winners’ circle
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Monday’s UK and Irish racemeetings including day one of Galway.
Five UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Monday, and the afternoon flat racing action comes from the card at Ayr, while Newton Abbot race over the sticks.
In the evening meanwhile, Windsor race on the flat as usual alongside Ffos Las who are also racing on the level; while Galway in Ireland host a mixed flat and jumps racing card as the Galway Festival gets underway.
Ayr (flat) – 2.00 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Newton Abbot (jumps) – 2.15 – 5.15pm (7 races)
Windsor (flat) – 5.00 – 8.20pm (7 races)
Ffos Las (flat) – 5.10 – 8.30pm (7 races)
Galway (mixed) – 5.20 – 8.40pm (7 races)
MONDAY 29 JULY NAP SELECTION
(2.30) HOUSE DEPOSIT (4/1, William Hill) lost his way towards the end of his tenure with Declan Carroll, but the Sepoy gelding hinted that he could be on the way back on his first start for new handler Roger Fell when finishing fifth of eight runners behind Golden Parade last week at Doncaster.
He was beaten around eight lengths on that occasion, but he probably found things happening too quickly for him over six furlongs on quick ground.
He ought to be suited then by this softer surface, especially with more rain forecast, and taking a sizeable drop in class he can bounce back to winning ways here.
(3.30) Lightly-raced BOSTON GEORGE (10/3, Bet365) is worth forgiving his latest effort here earlier in the month where the one mile trip might have stretched his stamina, and Keith Dalgleish’s charge can prove better than he showed on that occasion.
The Raven’s Pass colt had got off the mark at the second attempt when successful at Newcastle last October, and he went close on his return from almost seven months off the track at Wetherby where he was denied by two lengths behind Destination.
Both those runs were over seven furlongs, and dropping back to this trip from the mile could see him in a better light; while his runner-up effort two starts ago came on softer ground so he should handle these conditions.
He is worth another chance on his performances previous to that last outing, and no surprise if he bounces back here.
2.00 – Makyon
2.30 – House Deposit
3.00 – Land Of Oz
3.30 – Boston George
4.00 – Shoot For Gold
4.30 – Strong Steps
5.05 – Jacob’s Pillow
(2.45) FIFTY SHADES (2/1, Bet365) boasts the best recent form of this field, and the Tajraasi gelding can get back to winning ways.
Christian Williams’ charge won twice in the spring as well as making the frame on several other occasions, and he arrives here following a short break in the wake of his latest runner-up effort behind Hepijeu at Fakenham where he was denied by just over one length.
He has only been raised 2lbs in the weights following that run, which leaves him still on a workable mark, and with less to prove than his rivals he gets the vote to get back on the scoresheet.
(3.15) TEQANY (5/1, Bet365) probably needs to raise his game a little, but Fergal O’Brien’s charge can give a good account of himself nonetheless.
The Dark Angel gelding was a three-time winner in Ireland prior to joining this yard, scoring both over hurdles and fences, and he may just have needed the run when finishing third behind Chieftan’s Choice at Stratford earlier in the month.
Beaten just over two lengths, he ought to be much sharper now with that run under his belt, and he is only 1lb higher in the weights so remains with scope. A step up in trip could also help, and he can find further progress on the back of his return to go close.
2.15 – Parody
2.45 – Fifty Shades
3.15 – Teqany
3.45 – Teaser
4.15 – Nabhan
4.45 – As You Like
5.15 – Noel’s Boy
(6.05) SMOKEY BEAR (2/1, Bet365) shaped well on his debut at Windsor earlier in the month, eventually finishing third behind Old News, and with that experience under his belt Roger Charlton’s charge can find improvement.
The Kodiac colt travelled well in the race before ultimately being beaten two lengths, and he did well given he met with traffic problems before finding only one pace under pressure.
However he’ll have learned plenty for that outing, and with the potential for improvement to come he could get off the mark at the second attempt.
(6.40) Connections perhaps wisely turn MUKHA MAGIC (4/1, Paddy Power) out under a penalty following his win last week, and Gay Kelleway’s charge can follow up here.
The Mukhadram gelding has shown race-by-race progress throughout the season, making the frame in starts at Lingfield and Nottingham prior to scoring at this venue latest with a wide-margin defeat of Goodwood Sonnet where he struck by seven lengths.
The application of a visor seems to have delivered a jolt of improvement to the three-year old who could be well-treated at the weights despite a 7lbs penalty if he continues to show the improvement he has done in the past couple of outings so every chance he can follow up here.
5.00 – Mistress Nellie
5.35 – Swinley
6.05 – Smokey Bear
6.40 – Mukha Magic
7.15 – With Caution
7.50 – Molls Memory
8.20 – Mums Hope
(5.45) BERLIN TANGO (15/8, Coral) looked in need of the experience at Salisbury earlier in the month, finishing just over six lengths’ fifth behind Pyledriver.
Andrew Balding’s charge ran on well once the penny dropped, and the Dansili colt is sure to have learned plenty for that experience so there is every chance he can find a jolt of improvement on the back of that first effort.
He can make his presence felt in what looks a relatively weak contest, and it would be no surprise if he were get off the mark now at the second attempt.
(6.15) DESERT LAND (7/4, Paddy Power) is improving with every start, bettering his finishing position each time and the Kodiac colt can get off the mark now.
David Simcock’s charge was last seen finishing runner-up at Leicester earlier in the month where he perhaps did too much too soon, and despite rallying late he couldn’t quite hold off the winner’s thrust.
He still crossed the line four lengths clear of the third horse home however, and if he can settle better this time around then he could prove a tough nut to crack in this contest so every chance he can open his win account now.
5.10 – Delachance
5.45 – Berlin Tango
6.15 – Desert Land
6.50 – Nigg Bay
7.25 – Toshima
8.00 – Queen’s Soldier
8.30 – Jaganory
(7.05) FANCY FOOTINGS (5/1, Paddy Power) built on a pair of runner-up efforts on his first two starts for Joseph O’Brien to strike at the third attempt, scoring a shade readily at Limerick earlier in the month with a half-length defeat of Travelwise.
Previously with Gordon Elliott, the Dandy Man gelding kept on well having hit the front approaching the last half-furlong, and the form has since been franked with the runner-up winning his next two starts; while the fourth and fifth home have both gone close since.
He’s been raised 7lbs for that win, but he ought to remain competitive nonetheless given he appeared to win a shade readily. The drop back to seven furlongs from one mile ought not to be a problem either, and he can follow up that latest success with the potential to do better still given his lightly-raced profile.
(7.40) Willie Mullins has won the last two renewals of this contest, and the County Carlow maestro saddles four in the race as he bids for a hat-trick of wins. The pick of the quartet could prove to be MR ADJUDICATOR (5/1, William Hill) who was a Grade Two winner over hurdles in France last month, beating stablemate Bapaume in the Prix La Barka.
The Camacho gelding also won a Grade One hurdle race as a juvenile prior to finishing runner-up in the 2018 Triumph Hurdle, and his earlier form on the flat for Joseph Murphy prior to joining his current yard was useful and included wins at Listowel and Killarney.
Following that French success he was returned to the level to contest at Bellewstown earlier in the month where he finished third to Royal Illusion where he was given too much to do, and he could be thrown in here on the pick of his hurdles form competing from just 81.
The longer trip here looks in his favour, and with a top amateur rider taking off a valuable 5lbs then he looks to hold solid claims of getting back to winning ways in this discipline.
5.20 – Authorized Art
5.55 – Al Sakb
6.25 – Innisfree
7.05 – Fancy Footings
7.40 – Mr Adjudicator
8.10 – Switch Around
8.40 – Risk Factor