Monday’s horse racing tips – 11/4 Fortinbrass can be golden at Southwell
Brian Healy gives his Monday horse racing tips and best bets for 2 January 2017 fixtures across the country.
Afer a busy Sunday of horse racing action to herald in a new year, Monday’s fixture list is a relatively quiet one with just three scheduled meetings going to post.
Ayr’s Monday meeting has survived an early-morning inspection and goes ahead as planned, and the meeting joins Plumpton’s Sussex National fixture as the day’s jumping action.
There is all-weather racing also with a card on the fibresand at Southwell.
Southwell (flat, aw) – 12.10 – 3.40pm (8 races)
Ayr (jumps) – 12.30 – 3.30pm
Plumpton (jumps) – 12.50 – 3.50pm (7 races)
(1.10) FORTINBRASS (11/4, Bet365) knows how to get the job done around this venue, winning three times and making the frame on six other occasions over course and distance; and John Balding’s charge should go close again.
Lesser recent runs have come on turf and polytrack, but the Baltic King gelding showed improved form returned to this surface to chase home Vroom last month, beaten just over four lengths in a claimer; but he had won a silimar contest to this back in April, and he has won in the past from higher marks, so it wouldn’t come as a surprise if he were to go close here.
(2.40) MARSHGATE LANE (7/4, Bet365) was a three-time winner in the first half of 2016, including at this venue; and the Medaglia d’Oro gelding can bounce back from a disappointing return at Lingfield in December where he was entitled to have needed the run.
Despite beating only one rival home, he was only five lengths adrift of the winner in a much deeper race than he takes in here dropping back into claiming company; and entitled to build on the return he could take a lot of beating here with previous experience of the surface a big plus.
12.10 – Canadian Diamond
12.40 – Arizona Snow
1.10 – Fortinbrass
1.40 – Piazon
2.10 – Vision Of Beauty
2.40 – Marshgate Lane
3.10 – Macho Mac
3.40 – Prisom
(1.00) It could be worth taking a chance on TRANSIENT BAY (7/1, Bet365) to bounce back from a poor effort on his return from eight months off when pulled up at Uttoxeter last time.
Philip Kirby’s charge was a three-time winner last term, including scoring here in March, and the Trans Island gelding was entitled to have neededed that first outing of the new campaign behind Black Ivory.
While he is entitled to strip fitter for the run, he arguably needs to improve also to feature; but as a course winner with proven form in these conditions, he should get this far having made the frame over slightly shorter at Uttoxeter in April, and if he can bounce back from that run last time, he could go well in this contest at a price.
(2.00) NORTONTHORPELEGEND (11/8, Bet365) has been in excellent heart of late, making the frame at Kelso for his former trainer prior to joining this yard where he is 2-3 in runs this term.
Third at Wetherby on his debut for Rebecca Menzies, the Midnight Legend gelding has posted back-to-back wins at Sedgefield and Catterick in November, and he arrives here in search of a hat-trick of wins.
Having looked to win with a little to spare last time over Bonzo Bing under a penalty, he has been pushed up a further 7lbs; but clearly thriving he could be up to defying his new mark and another big effort looks on the cards.
12.30 – King Of Fashion
1.00 – Transient Bay
1.30 – Little Bruce
2.00 – Nortonthorpelegend
2.30 – Isaacstown Lad
3.00 – Asuncion
3.30 – Templenaboe
(1.20) Very useful hurdler BARON ALCO (11/8, Bet365) has made an excellent start to his chasing career, finishing just over one length off Marracudja when finishing third at Cheltenham in October prior to winning easily over this course the following month.
Gary Moore’s charge found only the high-class Whisper too strong back at Cheltenham last month, and with that form being significantly boosted by the subsequent Grade Two win of Nicky Henderson’s charge on Sunday, the Dom Alco gelding could be hard to beat despite having to give weight away all round.
(2.50) DAWSON CITY (8/1, Bet365) has found winning difficult since posting back-to-back wins over hurdles in the 2014/15 season, but he has been largely consistent in making the frame although invariably finding one too tood.
Polly Gundry’s charge made the frame in five of his six starts last term, and he returned from a summer break to finish fifth behind Beware The Bear at Ascot in November.
Having been brought down in the recent void race at Wincanton where there were no finishers, the Midnight Legend gelding has more on his plate in this contest on form; but he has looked on more than one occasion that he has further wins in him, and with trip and ground no issue he should go well under Wayne Hutchinson.
12.50 – Action Replay
1.20 – Baron Alco
1.50 – Chelsea Flyer
2.20 – Sober Sailor
2.50 – Dawson City
3.20 – Brown Bear
3.50 – Sir Hubert