Saturday 10 August horse racing tips – Normile’s 3/1 chance can rule the roost at Ayr with return to winning ways
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all eight of Saturday’s UK and Irish horse racing meetings.
Eight UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post across the UK and Ireland, and the afternoon action centres on Ascot where it is the annual Shergar Cup meeting; while the Group Three Rose Of Lancaster Stakes takes centre-stage on the card at Haydock.
There is also all-weather action in the afternoon from Chelmsford, while further turf racing action on the level comes from Redcar and Newmarket’s July course.
In the evening, there is further flat racing action from Lingfield and Ayr; while Kilbeggan goes to post over the sticks.
Ascot (flat) – 1.05 – 4.00pm (6 races)
Redcar (flat) – 1.15 – 4.35pm (7 races)
Haydock (flat) – 1.25 – 4.45pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 1.35 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Newmarket (flat) – 2.00 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Lingfield (flat) – 5.10 – 8.15pm (7 races)
Ayr (flat) – 5.20 – 8.25pm (7 races)
Kilbeggan (jumps) – 5.35 – 8.35pm (7 races)
(2.15) BIG KITTEN (13/2, Ladbrokes) has shown his best form on the all-weather, scoring twice at Newcastle; but William Haggas’ charge showed he is capable of mixing it on turf when only beaten four lengths into sixth in the John Smith’s Cup last month.
The Kitten’s Joy gelding went close over this trip at Kempton in June, where he was beaten just under two lengths by Desert Wind, and a return to the distance could be in his favour.
He has been eased 1lb in the weights following that last outing, and if he can back up that last York outing with a repeat then he ought to be firmly in the mix here.
(4.00) Lightly-raced VICTORY DAY (2/1, Bet365) can get back on the scoresheet having been beaten only a head in a competitive York handicap behind Recon Mission latest; that horse also runs on this card and could boost the form.
William Haggas’ Bated Breath gelding stepped up on his juvenile efforts to get off the mark readily at Ripon on his return in May, beating Abate by almost four lengths, and he was perhaps just given a shade too much to do on the Knavesmire where he finished well and he pulled two lengths clear of the third.
He’s been raised 6lbs for that, but there is a suspicion he has more to offer in the handicap ranks, and he can go one better here where he could still be ahead of the assessor.
1.05 – Recon Mission
1.40 – Billy Ray
2.15 – Big Kitten
2.50 – Breden
3.25 – Sapa Inca
4.00 – Victory Day
(2.20) SPIORAD (7/4, Paddy Power) has shown some improvement for David O’Meara having joined the yard from Dermot Weld in Ireland, and the Invincible Spirit gelding can find another jolt of progress to get back on the scoresheet here.
Having possibly needed his first run for his new handler at Beverley in April, he stepped up on that outing to win at Redcar in June where he beat Red Seeker by three lengths. A subsequent third of eight runners behind Rousayan followed where he was arguably unlucky having met traffic problems and afterwards he underwent wind surgery.
This is his first run back, and he sports a first-time tongue-tie for this reappearance, so with the potential to find improvement on the back of that wind operation and racing from the same mark as his last outing then he could go well.
(3.30) GOLDEN PARADE (11/4, Bet365) has really got his act together since being dropped back to sprint trips and fitted with cheekpieces, winning back-to-back outings at Wolverhampton and Doncaster respectively, and the Pivotal gelding can land a hat-trick here.
Having ran out a ready winner at Wolverhampton, he stepped up on that performance back on turf latest to beat Coolagh Magic by two lengths under a penalty, and a further 7lbs rise in the weights may not be enough to prevent him from landing the three-timer here.
He appeared to win readily again last time, hinting that there was still more to come, and he is still unexposed as a sprinter so he could be worth keeping onside again and no surprise if he collects his hat-trick.
1.15 – Calippo
1.45 – Burning Topic
2.20 – Spiorad
2.55 – Mutaraffa
3.30 – Golden Parade
4.05 – Country
4.35 – The Fiddler
5.05 – Kitty’s Cove
(2.30) Feliciana De Vega and MISS O CONNOR (2/1, Coral) both come into this race defending unbeaten records, and the latter is taken to preserve hers with the benefit of race-fitness on her side.
The Roderic O’connor filly looked a useful recruit when winning on debut in Ireland for John Feane, scoring readily at Gowran Park, and having since joined William Haggas she found some improvement to strike at Nottingham last week where she hacked up to an eleven-lengths victory over Al Moataz.
She very much looks a Pattern-class filly and she is sure to improve further. She acts well on softer ground so these conditions will suit, and with the benefit of a recent run she can make her fitness advantage tell although there are plenty of dangers in opposition in this race besides Ralph Beckett’s French Listed race-winner.
The William Haggas camp have won two of the last five renewals of this race however, so they know what is required, and their representative here looks to have a very bright future.
(3.05) Forecast rain will certainly suit ADDEYBB (11/10, William Hill) who can get back on the scoresheet here.
William Haggas’ Pivotal gelding looked every inch a Group performer when sauntering to victory in last season’s Lincoln at Doncaster, after which he followed up in good style in the Bet365 Mile before finding the step up to Group One company just beyond his reach.
Following a fair return at Chester in the Huxley Stakes, the Pivotal gelding got back on the scoresheet with an impressive win in the Listed Wolferton Stakes during Royal Ascot where first-time cheekpieces helped to perk him up.
Subsequently far from disgraced behind Elarqam in the York Stakes, finding only that rival too strong in a race that wasn’t run to suit, he ought to find this a bit easier and his chances will be enhanced by the prospect of further rain given he acts particularly well on soft ground.
He could well prove a tough nut to crack in this Group Three, and he can get back on the winning trail.
1.25 – Barossa Red
1.55 – Young Fire
2.30 – Miss O Connor
3.05 – Addeybb
3.40 – Fantasy Keeper
4.15 – Spirit Power
4.45 – Jonah Jones
(2.45) ENCRYPTED (6/1, Paddy Power) is 2-2 at this venue, and Hugo Palmer’s charge can make it a hat-trick of wins at this track despite the burden of top-weight.
The Showcasing gelding won here last August prior to going close at Doncaster in the Portland where he was beaten less than one length, and he lost little in defeat at Ascot on his next start before resuming winning ways on his final run of the campaign at Lingfield witha defeat of Intisaab.
In need of his reappearancebehind Kachy in the All-weather Champion Sprint, he took a step forward on the back of that run when finishing just over six lengths’ fourth to Invincible Army in the Group Three Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle.
Back in handicap company here, a good 5lbs claimer helps to ease some of his weight burden and a repeat of his Chipchase Stakes performance may be good enough to see him get back on the scoresheet here.
(3.55) JADEERAH (11/2, William Hill) remains a lightly-raced sort who could have more to offer, and John Gosden’s charge is taken to get back on the winning trail here.
The Frankel filly disappointed here last December, but she was possibly amiss on that occasion and had looked progressive previously; and having looked in need of the reappearace at Newmarket in June, she duly stepped up to win back here last month where she ran out an impressive winner over Beauty Of Deira.
Not disgraced in the Listed Valiant Stakes at Ascot late last month where she faded after trying to make all, she may have been guilty of doing too much and a front-running role might not have seen her in the best light given she had taken a lead for her previous success.
With the likelihood of a brisk pace to this race, she could well get a decent tow into the contest rather than try to set the fractions, and she may be worth chancing back at the scene of her win to repeat the dose.
1.35 – Global Storm
2.10 – Alma Linda
2.45 – Encrypted
3.20 – Space Walk
3.55 – Jadeerah
4.30 – Karnavaal
5.00 – Junior Rip
(2.35) TOMFRE (5/2, William Hill) has looked a potentially useful sort in racking up a pair of wins at Newmarket and Pontefract this term, and Ralph Beckett’s charge can find another jolt of improvement to land the three-timer.
Third on debut at Windsor in June, the Cable Bay colt has since got the better of Flash Harry by a head, and then progressed to beat Pop Dancer by two lengths latest; that rival has since gone on to win his next two starts.
He appeared to do the job readily that day, and now stepping into the handicap ranks with an opening mark of 86 looking potentially lenient, he is taken to improve again stepping up in trip where he can land a hat-trick of successes.
(3.10) BEATBOXER (5/1, Ladbrokes) progressed from a solid juvenile season where he won twice, to get back on the scoresheet in first-time tongue-tie and hood at Haydock in May.
John Gosden’s Scat Daddy colt had possibly failed to stay ten furlongs on his reappearance at Haydock, but he made full use of the return to one mile to beat Munhamek readily in a race which has since thrown up plenty of subsequent winners.
Not seen at his best in the Britannia Stakes subsequently, this smaller field scenario could be more to his liking and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him bounce back to form here despite having to concede weight all round.
2.00 – Thread Of Silver
2.35 – Tomfre
3.10 – Beatboxer
3.45 – Light Blush
4.20 – Nahaar
4.55 – Waldstern
5.30 – Matchmaking
(6.15) JOHAN (Evens, Coral) looked a potentially useful prospect when finishing fourth of nine runners on his debut at Newmarket last month, and with that run under his belt William Haggas’ charge can improve to get off the mark at the second attempt.
The Zoffany colt was beaten only around two lengths despite looking green under pressure having set out to make all; but despite fading late, he was still nine lengths clear of the rest, and not beaten far behind a highly regarded Godolphin runner.
Sure to improve for that experience, this looks a decent opportunity for him to open his win account with the potential of better to come.
(7.15) THOMAS LANFIERE (6/1, William Hill) has looked limited in three runs to date in novice and maiden company, but David Simcock’s charge could prove a different proposition now sent handicapping, and the No Nay Never colt is chanced to do better.
He failed to beat a rival last time out at Yarmouth, where he was always behind and never involved in the race; but turned out in a handicap for the first time where an opening mark of 60 may be workable, he can find some progress now with a good 5lbs claimer helping to ease his burden at the weights.
This doesn’t look the strongest of races, and there is a suspicion that he could have a bigger performance in him so he is chanced to open his account now.
5.10 – Albanita
5.45 – Five Diamonds
6.15 – Johan
6.45 – Poetic Motion
7.15 – Tomas Lanfiere
7.45 – Magical Ride
8.15 – Kodiak Attack
(6.25) MACS BLESSINGS (7/2, Bet365) has posted several creditable placed efforts in recent outings which includes a win at Catterick back in July, and Stef Keniry’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.
The Society Rock gelding has followed up that success with near misses at this venue and back at Catterick, latterly finishing around three lengths’ adrift of Alotabottle at the Yorkshire venue last week where he may just have been given too much to do.
A drop back to six furlongs and the application of first-time blinkers might help to sharpen him up, and racing off an unaltered 57 despite that last outing he can go close if this doesn’t come too soon.
(7.25) ROYAL REGENT (3/1, Paddy Power) knows how to win at this venue, and Lucy Normile’s charge could be worth chancing to add to her tally at the Scottish track.
The Urgent Request gelding is a four-time winner at this venue, as well as being placed on a further six occasions, so he certainly seems to appreciate the Ayrshire air which brings out the best in him. His last success came back in August last year with a defeat of Gworn, and although he’s been a shade disappointing since he did run a much better race latest behind Nicholas T here last month where he finished three lengths’ third. That winner has gone in again since, and having been eased again in the weights he looks dangerously handicapped now given that he won the corresponding contest from 7lbs higher twelve months ago.
Soft ground holds no fears, and with the services of a good 3lbs claimer adding further credence to his claims then it would come as no surprise to see him running well here.
5.20 – Be Bold
5.55 – Fuwayrit
6.25 – Macs Blessings
6.55 – Dandys Beano
7.25 – Royal Regent
7.55 – Chinese Spirit
8.25 – Clearance
(6.05) WESTLAND ROW (2/1, Bet365) stepped up on his previous efforts to get off the mark over fences at this venue last month, and the Oscar gelding can follow up.
Gordon Elliott’s charge – one of two in the race for the Meath handler – ran out a four lengths’ winner over Minella Times on that occasion, and he can continue to find improvement in this discipline.
A three-time hurdles winner, he won readily latest having always travelled well before quickly asserting, and if he can transfer that performance back over the smaller obstacles here then he could be a tough nut to crack on these terms.
(7.35) MAKE MY HEART FLY (9/4, Paddy Power) has shown promise in all three chase starts to date , finding only one too strong on her return to chasing at Tipperary in July, and then losing little caste in defeat when finishing ten lengths’ third to Wicklow Brave latest during the Galway Festival.
A four-time hurdles winner, Gordon Elliott’s charge is unexposed as a chaser, and the Stowaway mare may not have been seen to best effect latest. However, she has shown enough to suggest she can win races over fences, and she ought to find this easier than that Grade Three contest last time.
She has the potential to improve further in this discipline, and every chance she can open her chase account here.
5.35 – Mooltazem
6.05 – Westland Row
6.35 – Luis an Zandt
7.05 – Guiri
7.35 – Make My Heart Fly
8.05 – Rocky Court
8.35 – Mountainmore