Saturday 14 September horse racing tips – Count on 3/1 Otto to strike Bath win for Amanda Perrett
Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Saturday’s UK and Irish horse racing fixtures, including the final day of the St Leger Festival and day one of Irish Champions Weekend.
Eight UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post on Saturday, headed by the fourth day of the Doncaste St Leger Festival meeting, and the season’s final Classic takes centre-stage on an action-packed afternoon on Town Moor.
There is also flat racing from Lingfield, Chester and Bath; while in Ireland it is day one of Irish Champions Weekend, where Group One action includes both the Matron Stakes and the Irish Champion Stakes.
Meanwhile, there is all-weather action from Chelmsford, while the Listowel Harvest Festival draws to a close for another year with a jumps racing card.
Completing the Saturday fixture list is an evening flat racing card from Musselburgh.
Lingfield (flat) – 1.10 – 4.35pm (7 races)
Chester (flat) – 1.30 – 5.00pm (7 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) – 1.35 – 5.05pm (7 races)
Listowel (jumps) – 1.45 – 5.40pm (7 races)
Doncaster (flat) – 1.50 – 5.55pm (7 races)
Bath (flat) – 2.00 – 5.30pm (7 races)
Leopardstown (flat) – 3.05 – 7.10pm (8 races)
Musselburgh (flat) – 3.30 – 7.15pm (8 races)
(2.15) MR NICE GUY (4/1, Bet365) has been in fair form the last twice, beaten just over one length into fourth two starts ago at Bath and then finding only Bug Boy too strong latest at Chepstow when stepped back up to twelve furlongs.
Sylvester Kirk’s charge was beaten around three lengths on that occasion, staying on well from the back but proving no match for the winner. However he could be worth chancing upped further in trip to show some improvement, and the Nathaniel gelding can get off the mark now.
He turns out here from the same mark, but rider Poppy Bridgwater can use her full 5lbs this time around, and every chance she can go close here.
(2.50) GOLDEN LIPS (2/1, William Hill) has bettered her finishing position in each of her three starts to date, latterly finding only one too strong at Thirsk last month when beaten just one length behind Divina Gloria.
Harry Dunlop’s Golden Horn filly always raced prominently there, helping to force the pace before taking up the running entering the last two furlongs although she was unable to hold on for the win.
The third has run well in defeat since, and while the form may only prove ordinary she has shown enough to think that she can pick up a small race. This looks a decent opportunity for her to do so, and open to improvement she is taken to go close under Josephine Gordon.
1.10 – Junoesque
1.40 – Lady Of Shalott
2.15 – Mr Nice Guy
2.50 – Golden Lips
3.25 – Narak
4.00 – Fighting Temeraire
4.35 – Whisper Aloud
(2.05) SEXTANT (13/2, Ladbrokes) may have found the soft ground against him when disappointing behind Technician in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury last month, but Sir Michael Stoute’s charge had looked progressive on better ground previously where he racked up three wins from his previous four starts following a gelding operation.
The Sea The Stars gelding had shown some useful form as a three-year old, winning at Newbury, and he has since racked up further wins at Ascot twice and Windsor prior his last outing back at Newbury in that Group Three contest.
He should be more appreciative of this drop back in trip and better ground, and taking a slight ease in grade he can bounce back to winning ways in this Listed prize.
(3.15) PRAXEOLOGY (10/3, William Hill) looks worth chancing to bounce back to form having run better than the bare result the last twice in competitive handicaps at Goodwood and York respectively.
The Dark Angel colt had previously racked up wins at Ripon and Salisbury prior to tackling handicap company at Goodwood where he finished fourth behind Homespin. He had been sent off favourite for that contest, and he ran creditably although may have done too much too soon.
He again possibly just failed to get home at York latest where he set out to make all, but he faded late to finish down the field, and this drop to the minimum trip could see him in a better light now.
He could be worth chancing to atone for those defeats from a mark which still offers some scope, and no surprise to see him back in the winners’ enclosure here.
1.30 – Deb’s Delight
2.05 – Sextant
2.40 – Celestial Force
3.15 – Praxeology
3.50 – Redrosezorro
4.25 – Mickey
5.00 – Scofflaw
(2.10) PRINCE OF ROME (4/1, William Hill) has come back to something like his best form in recent starts back on the all-weather having struggled on turf in the wake of a pair of course wins last Autumn.
Richard Hughes’ charge has found the frame here and Wolverhampton following wind surgery and he has seemingly benefitted from the application of cheekpieces to post creditable runs in defeat both times.
Beaten a short-head back over this course, he then finished just over one length adrift of the winner when finishing third to Rocket Action, and he could get back to winning ways here from the same mark and racing from the plum stall.
(2.45) WAR GLORY (11/2, Bet365) has won his last two starts at this venue, latterly beating a few of these to win the Chelmsford Cup last month; Richard Hannon’s charge can follow up having been raised just 3lbs for that success.
The Canford Cliffs charge emerged from a spell in the doldrums on turf to register that last win, but he had hinted at a return to form at Ascot the time before when finishing just over three lengths’ fifth in the Shergar Cup Mile, and he ran out a narrow winner back on this surface latest where he got up on the line for the victory.
His 3lbs rise up the ratings looks workable, and he clearly goes well on this polytrack surface given he boasts a decent track record; he ought to remain competitive then as a result, and he can go close.
1.35 – Mr Duepearl
2.10 – Prince Of Rome
2.45 – War Glory
3.20 – In The Cove
3.55 – New Angel
4.30 – Attainment
5.05 – Jeweller
(2.55) OUR JERRY (11/2, Paddy Power) comes into this race on the back of a last-time win, and the Jeremy gelding can follow up with a repeat of that effort where he struck at Stratford back in June.
Evanna McCutcheon’s charge had also won at Cork back in March, and his latest success where he routed Chilli Romance by eleven lengths was a career-best effort. That runner-up hasn’t done the form any real harm with four consecutive runner-up efforts since that defeat, and he is actually 1lb lower in this contest where he makes his return from three months off the track.
He looks one to keep onside, and a repeat of that Stratford run could be good enough to see him strike again.
(5.10) DEMI PLIE (7/2, Coral) did little wrong here on Sunday, finding only Miss Mcilroy too strong by one length over hurdles, and Padraig Roche’s charge is taken to regain the winning thread back over fences here.
The Mastercraftsman mare is unexposed as a chaser, leaving an unseated rider at Tramore on her chase debut well behind when striking at Downpatrick next time. She followed up that win with a near-miss effort behind Megalomaniac back at Tramore prior to that last hurdles start and a return to chasing could see her back on the scoresheet.
Although she is higher in the weights here for this return to chasing, a good amateur can take off 5lbs and a return to three miles rates a positive. She can go well as a consequence, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her returning to winning ways here.
1.45 – Winner Takes Itall
2.20 – Quartz Du Rhey
2.55 – Our Jerry
3.25 – Bay Hill
4.00 – Humm Baby
4.35 – Act In Time
5.10 – Demi Plie
5.40 – Bentham
(3.00) THREAT (6/5, Paddy Power) proved too good for his field when running out a ready winner of the Gimcrack at York, and Richard Hannon’s charge can follow up here.
The Footstepsinthesand colt was also a debut winner at Newmarket, and he lost little in defeat in subsequent runner-up efforts behind Arizona and Golden Horde respectively in Group Two starts at Ascot and Goodwood prior to getting back on the scoresheet on the Knavesmire.
The third and sixth horses home in the Gimcrack haven’t done the form any harm by running well at this meeting on Thursday, and his earlier Goodwood form has also yielded a couple of subsequent winners.
He steps up in trip here, but he could be suited by the extra furlong and he ought to prove a tough nut to crack in this contest.
(4.10) The Richard Hannon/Andrea Atzeni combination won this race twelve months ago, and they can combine again with FORBIDDEN LAND (10/3, Bet365) who is yet to win but has run well in defeat in her four starts thus far.
The Acclamation gelding has finished in the frame on all four outings, latterly finding finding only Imperial Empire too strong by a short-head but hinting that an even stiffer test might suit.
That was a good performance given he went left early and pulled hard which hinted that he was still a shade raw. He finished off to good effect though, and along with the winner fought out a protracted duel to the line.
He’s been raised 2lbs for that run, and while he is the sole runner in the race without a win to his name, he can right that wrong with the potential to improve for this even longer trip.
1.50 – Equitation
2.25 – Sir Dancealot
3.35 – Logician
4.10 – Forbidden Land
4.45 – Qaysar
5.55 – The Trader
(4.15) There is no Enable in the field to thwart Magical this time around, but the rapidly improving HEADMAN (4/1, Paddy Power) could be worth chancing to continue his winning streak for Roger Charlton and the red-hot Jason Watson.
The Kingman colt is a three-time winner this term – all at this trip – which includes Group Two successes at Saint Cloud and Deauville latterly where he won cosily despite only having a head to spare at the line.
That win came despite rearing up at the start and not being ideally placed in the race, but he came through for the win, finding plenty for pressure and he can continue to show improvement on the back of recent successes to prove a force upped to Group One company.
This is undoubtedly his toughest test to date, but it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see him progress again and he can make his presence felt here.
(4.50) Unbeaten LANCASTER HOUSE (2/1, Paddy Power) can continue his red-hot form and extend his winning record to 4-4 with another success.
Aidan O’Brien’s charge has shown progressive form with every start, building on wins at Galway and Tipperary to run out a ready winner of a Listed contest at Listowel on Monday past.
He had almost three lengths to spare at the line over runner-up Wargrave, and there ought to be more to come from the son of Galileo where this return to one mile is unlikely to pose an issue.
Open to considerable improvement and thorougly unexposed, he takes on some classy rivals but may prove equal to the task of registering another success with the promise of better still to come judging on that latest success.
1.55 – Nurse Barbara
2.30 – Trossachs
3.05 – Mogul
3.40 – Leo De Fury
4.15 – Headman
4.50 – Lancaster House
5.25 – Laurens
6.00 – Ice Cold In Alex
(3.10) OVERPRICED MIXER (9/4, Bet365) has shown progressive form from race to race, twice finishing runner-up in starts at Chepstow and Kempton where he was denied a head on both occasions before making the breakthrough at Thirsk latest.
The Harbour Watch colt had three-parts of a length to spare on that occasion over Strawman, making all and looking to win with something in hand. That runner-up has since won to give the form a boost.
Jamie Osborne’s charge had been beaten the time before by the reopposing Bronze River who was making his debut, and he is slightly worse off at the weights this time around. However, he could have more to offer and is perhaps worth chancing to reverse that form now although there likely won’t be much between the pair again.
(3.45) COUNT OTTO (3/1, Ladbrokes) had rattled the crossbar in back-to-back runs prior to a very creditable fifth in a stronger race than this at Ascot last weekend, and the Sir Prancealot gelding can get back to winning ways here assuming he can run to a similar level.
Amanda Perrett’s charge was an Epsom winner back in July, beating the reopposing Little Boy Blue, and he has largely run well including when finishing sixth to Poyle Vinnie at Goodwood. Subsequently runner-up at Newmarket and Epsom, he was beaten just over one length latest behind Swindler and a repeat of that effort may be good enough.
He drops back into Class 3 company here, and although turned out from the same mark as at Ascot he has the services here of excellent 7lbs claimer Angus Villiers, and he will relish this quick ground so every chance of a big run and a return to the scoresheet.
2.00 – Knockabout Queen
2.35 – Top Buck
3.10 – OVerpriced Mixer
3.45 – Count Otto
4.20 – Tell William
4.55 – Mojave
5.30 – More Than Likely
(4.40) HYDROPLANE (7/2, Paddy Power) racked up a hat-trick of wins during July, winning at Salibsuyr, Wolverhampton and Newmarket all in the space of a fortnight, and Sir Mark Prescott’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.
The Pour Moi gelding saw off Artistic Language under a double-penalty for the latest of his three wins where he also sported first-time cheekpieces, scoring by two lengths; he subsequently was only denied by El Misk at Kempton earlier in September where he was beaten two lengths.
He steps up markedly in trip here, and a visor replaces the cheekpieces which may help eke out some further improvement. Also only 1lb higher in the weights for this latest outing and a return to turf then he looks to hold strong claims of a quick return to winning ways reunited with Luke Morris who has steered him to all three victories.
(6.15) Dual-winning hurdler NORMAL NORMAN (13/2, William Hill) could be worth chancing to get off the mark on the level at the fourth attempt, and John Ryan’s charge arrives here on the back of a near-miss at Kempton last month where the Shamardal gelding was beaten just over one length behind Bear Force One.
That was his first run in almost six months, and he possibly needed it having been last seen pulling up in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle behind Klassical Dream on his previous outing.
Also a dual-bumper winner, one of his hurdles wins came at this venue and he makes his handicap debut here on the flat from what could prove a lenient opening mark; while the step up to one mile could prove in his favour and he can open his account in this discipline.
3.30 – God Of Dreams
4.05 – Invincible Bertie
4.40 – Hydroplane
5.15 – Be Proud
5.45 – Mighty Spirit
6.15 – Normal Norman
6.45 – Kermouster
7.15 – Zeb City